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Adam Hobbs

@hobbsadam.bsky.social

PhD | Political Science | UCR VAP at Whitworth University Political economy and political behavior Professional website: adamlhobbs.com

45 Posts228 Follower521 Folgt
Adam Hobbs@hobbsadam.bsky.social · 7mo ago

I’ve always wondered how much productivity and resources have been wasted because scholars test the same hypotheses over and over again because no one published their null results.

Ryan Briggs@ryancbriggs.net · 7mo ago

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.
Adam Hobbs@hobbsadam.bsky.social · 10mo ago

We are seeking papers for our Spring workshop! It’s a great opportunity to share your work with other graduate students and get feedback.

Grad Students in International Political Economy@gradstudent-ipe.bsky.social · 10mo ago

📢 Call for proposals now open for #GSIPE workshop Spring 2026! Submit your proposal: lnkd.in/e_dc2B-T 📅 Deadline: Dec 31, 11:59pm ET #IPE #PoliticalScience #GradSchool #ResearchCommunity #AcademicOpportunities #ScholarlyWork

Adam Hobbs@hobbsadam.bsky.social · 12mo ago

We have dropped our lineup for the fall. Come check out some of the great papers we have lined up. #IPE #polisky

Grad Students in International Political Economy@gradstudent-ipe.bsky.social · 12mo ago

📅 Fall 2025 #GSIPE Workshop lineup → gsipe-workshop.github.io/schedule/ 🎯 2025 IPE job market profiles → gsipe-workshop.github.io/jobmarket_20... For more info on the GSIPE virtual workshop where all research stages are welcome, see here: gsipe-workshop.github.io #IPE #GradSchool #PoliticalEconomy

UCR Political Science@ucrpolisci.bsky.social · last yr.

Check out this new @bjpols.bsky.social article from Asst. Prof. @nicholasnapolio.bsky.social: “Executive Policymaking Coalitions, Veto Activation, and Collective Action Problems.” The article explores how agency coalitions activate veto points and leverage congressional collective action problems.

Nico Napolio@nicholasnapolio.bsky.social · last yr.

The final paper from my dissertation is now out in @bjpols.bsky.social! I argue that federal agencies collaborate in the policymaking process in order to induce collective action problems in Congress and to pit oversight committees against each other so that agency policies stick.

Adam Hobbs@hobbsadam.bsky.social · last yr.

We are soliciting presenters for the fall workshop! If you want to share your research, please consider submitting. #polisky #ipe

Grad Students in International Political Economy@gradstudent-ipe.bsky.social · last yr.

📢 Call for Papers: Fall 2025 IPE Workshops! Submit your research on International Political Economy (broadly defined) by August 8, 11:59 PM EST. 👉 docs.google.com/forms/d/1yfL... We're excited to learn about your work! #IPE #AcademicResearch #GradStudents

Adam Hobbs@hobbsadam.bsky.social · last yr.

This has been the curious thing, at least in my region. Homes aren’t selling, but prices aren’t really coming down. Are sellers over-leveraged? Did the COVID market distort owners’ perceptions of their homes value?

Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies@harvard-jchs.bsky.social · last yr.

US home prices have greatly outpaced incomes: in 2024, the price-to-income ratio hit 5, well above the ratio of 3 that has traditionally been considered affordable. As prices rose, existing home sales dropped to a 30-year low. New report out today: www.jchs.harvard.edu/state-nation...

Adam Hobbs@hobbsadam.bsky.social · last yr.

My coauthors and I have a cool paper on the connection between foreign real estate investment and redistributive attitudes today in Montrose 4 on the 7th floor at 3:20. We find that being primed with FREI increases oppostion to redistribution.

Bild
Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies@harvard-jchs.bsky.social · last yr.

The Trump administration has cut off federal funding to nonprofits that are key enforcers of anti-discrimination laws. Last year there were more than 34,000 fair-housing complaints, a record high for the third year in a row. @jenniferludden.bsky.social @npr.org www.npr.org/2025/03/15/n...

HUD choked funding to enforce fair-housing laws. Legal aid groups may not survive

Most housing discrimination claims are handled by local nonprofits around the country. They say the Trump administration has hobbled them, and are challenging the cuts as unlawful.

npr.org

Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies@harvard-jchs.bsky.social · last yr.

"Cost burdens are spreading from the poorest households to working folks, particularly young people... a full-time job is no guarantee that housing will be affordable." An interview with our director Chris Herbert about the country's rental affordability crisis. news.harvard.edu/gazette/stor...

Number of those burdened by rental affordability hits record high — Harvard Gazette

Public policy expert discusses possible ways to cut costs amid national housing crunch

news.harvard.edu