In South Carolina, Republicans control all levels of government save the majority-minority 6th Congressional district. Yet, they describe the Democratic Party as better at “getting their way.” What’s going on? open.substack.com/pub/winthrop...

The Depth (height?) of Republican Dominance in South Carolina and the Struggle Faced by Democrats

"We control absolutely every lever of power and have the majorities to do whatever we want ... Look out! The Democrats are about to take control!" - some Republican political consultant ... probably

open.substack.com

In addition to the GOP special Senate primary in SC, I keep getting asked about Democrats’ chances in the general election. People need to understand the nature of current Republican dominance in South Carolina open.substack.com/pub/winthrop...

The Depth (height?) of Republican Dominance in South Carolina and the Struggle Faced by Democrats

"We control absolutely every lever of power and have the majorities to do whatever we want ... Look out! The Democrats are about to take control!" - some Republican political consultant ... probably

open.substack.com

A harsh message testing poll from Graham in the SC Senate GOP primary. Will her opponents accuse her of push polling? open.substack.com/pub/winthrop...

Harsh Message Testing Polls in the SC GOP Race to Replace Lindsey Graham and Inevitable Accusations of Push Polling

I received a poll framing Darline Graham positively and all her opponents negatively. Was it message testing or a push poll. My guess: a message test that had the "side benefit" of "pushing" voters

open.substack.com

Confederate Flag 2: Electric Boogaloo 2nd post on modern attitudes towards the flag and why political observers shouldn’t ignore it. open.substack.com/pub/winthrop...

Day 2: Race, Politics, and Attitudes on the Confederate Flag - The Ultimate Partisan & Racial Rorschach Test

The gap between Democrats and Republicans is now wider than that between Blacks and Whites regarding the meaning of the confederate flag. What does that mean and why is the flag back in force?

open.substack.com

Lindsey Graham’s complex relationship with South Carolina Republicans and a slightly different look at his career on The Winthrop Poll Substack open.substack.com/pub/winthrop...

SC Public Opinion and the Late Lindsey Graham

Senator Graham had a complicated relationship with his fellow South Carolina Republicans, to say the least.

open.substack.com

Race, Politics, and Attitudes on the Confederate Flag: Flying the Confederate flag in the 1940s, 50s, & 60s sent a clear racial message and it wasn't a good one. How do we interpret its resurgence? (@huffmon.bsky.social) winthroppoll.substack.com/p/day-1-of-2...

Race, Politics, and Attitudes on the Confederate Flag

Flying the confederate flag in the 1940s, 50s, & 60s sent a clear racial message and it wasn't a good one. What does that mean now that there's a bigger Dem/Gop than Black/White split about the flag?

winthroppoll.substack.com

On The Winthrop Poll Substack: some context on the confederate flag on the dome & grounds of the SC State House. Tomorrow, current attitudes towards the flag. Is it seen as “Heritage” or “Hate?” … yes. That’s tomorrow. Background up today. open.substack.com/pub/winthrop...

Race, Politics, and Attitudes on the Confederate Flag

Flying the confederate flag in the 1940s, 50s, & 60s sent a clear racial message and it wasn't a good one. What does that mean now that there's a bigger Dem/Gop than Black/White split about the flag?

open.substack.com

Today, some context on the confederate flag on the dome & grounds of the SC State House. Thursday, current attitudes towards the flag. winthroppoll.substack.com/p/day-1-of-2...

Race, Politics, and Attitudes on the Confederate Flag

Flying the confederate flag in the 1940s, 50s, & 60s sent a clear racial message and it wasn't a good one. What does that mean now that there's a bigger Dem/Gop than Black/White split about the flag?

winthroppoll.substack.com

The confederate flag is being marched through Washington DC by white supremacists and hoisted at run-of-the-mill political rallies. Today and Thursday, we look at the 20th century history of the flag (esp in contemporary SC) & attitudes towards it. winthroppoll.substack.com/p/day-1-of-2...

Race, Politics, and Attitudes on the Confederate Flag

Flying the confederate flag in the 1940s, 50s, & 60s sent a clear racial message and it wasn't a good one. What does that mean now that there's a bigger Dem/Gop than Black/White split about the flag?

winthroppoll.substack.com

The NC Center for Politics & Public Service regularly surveys North Carolinians (among many other things). A recent post is in how unaffordable gas has become. A great deep dive & remember, repeated pain at the pump is an indirect indictment of poor public transportation. @ncpolitics.bsky.social

The Pump Is Becoming a Political Pressure Point in North Carolina Gasoline is something voters experience every time they fill up. In a campaign increasingly defined by affordability, that everyday experience could have political consequences. #ncpol ncpoliticscenter.substack.com/p/the-pump-i...

The Pump Is Becoming a Political Pressure Point in North Carolina

Gasoline is something voters experience every time they fill up. In a campaign increasingly defined by affordability, that everyday experience could have political consequences.

ncpoliticscenter.substack.com

Abortion has come up as a topic in the race to replace Lindsey Graham as the GOP nominee for US Senator. Here’s a look at how Republican attitudes on abortion in the SC general population (& gen pop as a whole)do not match those of likely special primary voters. open.substack.com/pub/winthrop...

Abortion is Rising as a Topic in the GOP Race to Replace Lindsey Graham. Let's Look at Abortion Attitudes Among Conservatives in South Carolina

Identifying as Pro-Life and being a staunch opponent to abortion doesn't mean you oppose all abortions under different unique circumstances. That said, what matters is the opinion of the activists.

open.substack.com

To be included in the Poll of Polls list, CNN requires proof of very strict methodology standards. Some big names here: Reuters, Ipsos, CBS, Washington Post, and Pew. Oh, and a friendly neighborhood survey center that just started doing national polling.

Late Sen Lindsey Graham had a complicated relationship with SC Republicans. Multiple county parties censured him at one time or another. Here’s a deeper dive into public opinion of Sen Graham and a peek at his voting record, which helps explain things open.substack.com/pub/winthrop...

SC Public Opinion and the Late Lindsey Graham

Senator Graham had a complicated relationship with his fellow South Carolina Republicans, to say the least.

open.substack.com

We have started a Substack! It’s a way to take deeper dives into our polls of South Carolina, the South, or the nation. This will go WAY beyond the headline coverage. Start by reading about us, then take a deep dive into SC opinion on late Sen. Lindsey Graham. winthroppoll.substack.com

The Winthrop Poll | Scott Huffmon, PhD | Substack

Discussion of South Carolina, southern, and U.S. politics and political attitudes. Click to read The Winthrop Poll, by Scott Huffmon, PhD, a Substack publication. Launched 4 hours ago.

winthroppoll.substack.com

We have started a Substack! It’s a way to take deeper dives into our polls of South Carolina, the South, or the nation. This will go WAY beyond the headline coverage. Start by reading about us, then take a deep dive into SC opinion on late Sen. Lindsey Graham. winthroppoll.substack.com

The Winthrop Poll | Scott Huffmon, PhD | Substack

Discussion of South Carolina, southern, and U.S. politics and political attitudes. Click to read The Winthrop Poll, by Scott Huffmon, PhD, a Substack publication. Launched 4 hours ago.

winthroppoll.substack.com

Don’t forget that Lindsey Graham seriously considered running for president in 2016. Neither the SC general population nor SC Republicans thought that was a great idea.

More confederate symbols and partisanship: the difference between GOP and Democrats on whether confederate flag is a symbol of racial conflict is larger than the difference between Blacks and Whites. This is true in the South, the nation as a whole, and our state (which kicked off the civil war)

Confederate symbols and partisanship: the difference between Republicans and Democrats on leaving Confederate monuments just as they are is larger than the difference between Blacks and Whites. This is true in the South, the nation as a whole, and our state (which kicked off the civil war)

Graham always had a complicated relationship w/ the hard core conservative wing of his party. This shows Graham’s approval across a 1-10 ideology scale. I show one from fall 2024 and fall 2025. Note how the highest approval is at 9 (2nd most conservative) and slightly dips at 10

Graham always had a complicated relationship w/ the hard core conservative wing of his party. This shows Graham’s approval across a 1-10 ideology scale. I show one from fall 2024 and fall 2025. Note how the highest approval is at 9 (2nd most conservative) and slightly dips at 10

A look back on Lindsey Graham’s SC general public approval ratings. Always “good enough” within his party until they unexpectedly skyrocketed. What happened? That poll was just after the Brett Kavenaugh hearings where Graham became Trump’s attack dog & won the hearts of the SCGOP

Lindsey Graham’s approval in SC general population by partisanship over time with Tim Scott’s GOP approval for reference.

Want to know why Lindsey Graham’s approval among general population GOP skyrocketed in our Oct 2018 poll? ‘Cuz this happened in Sept 2018 (skip to 50 seconds and then hang on) youtu.be/RTBxPPx62s4?...

Seth McKee & @huffmon.bsky.social wrote "Lindsey Graham and Southern Politics in State & Nation" in which they "situate the political career of Graham within the broader milieu of the changing partisan dynamics of Congress, #scpol, and southern politics." static1.squarespace.com/static/62fff...

Want to know why Lindsey Graham’s approval among general population GOP skyrocketed in our Oct 2018 poll? ‘Cuz this happened in Sept 2018 (skip to 50 seconds and then hang on) youtu.be/RTBxPPx62s4?...

Lindsey Graham’s approval in SC general population by partisanship over time with Tim Scott’s GOP approval for reference.

A look back on Lindsey Graham’s SC general public approval ratings. Always “good enough” within his party until they unexpectedly skyrocketed. What happened? That poll was just after the Brett Kavenaugh hearings where Graham became Trump’s attack dog & won the hearts of the SCGOP

In South Carolina, it’s actually *Democrats* driving down acceptance of birthright citizenship for children born to those who immigrated here illegally. Still more than double SC Republicans, but significantly lower than Democrats nationally. Table 9c www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll...

Winthrop Poll showed typical South Carolinian struggling with economy. How can this be when the economy seems to be doing well & spending is up? Likely answer is K shaped economy. Recovery in some industries but not others & among high income but not low www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll...