It's good centrist Democrats rallied around AES. Some folks won't be satisfied. How do I know? Because in 2016 Bernie Sanders came to my campus and told all of us who caucused for him to vote for Clinton and I was regularly told secret Sanders spoilers cost her Nevada (she won Nevada, by the way).
Ian M Hartshorn
@ianmhartshorn.com
Associate Prof Political Science. Current project: labor solidarity after trade liberalization. Cases and texts, international and domestic institutions, qualitative data. Part-time rancher, with one head of (cat)tle. VP of NFA-UNR. Join your union!
I suspect the Iraq War was the first time there were folks forward deployed with pretty regular email access. I had friends serve and remember these stories very well. "Go to war with the military you have" even when it's wars of choice.
Keeping people constantly deployed has a mounting cost. www.ms.now/news/conditi...
I saw something on CNN that was describing cities in Michigan as having 'voted uncommitted against Biden' --I still have absolutely no idea what that means. Uncommitted wasn't a party, it didn't appear on a ballot. Discourse around it is weird 'lost-cause' 'stab in the back' rhetoric.
Still true btw for those who have an odd and totally not racist obsession with bringing up Dearborn or Uncommitted every day
I also support ranked choice, but this one also seemed to be about ballot listing deadlines. Michigan has like 10 days early voting, kind of like Nevada, she dropped out a month ago, but still was on the ballot. I wonder if it's possible to get people off faster when they drop.
Win by ~1%. Third candidate: 4%. A classic plurality-voting pathology: small splinter groups can be decisive. Every primary should use a consensus-building procedure like approval voting or ranked choice.
Having orthodontia in your 40s is just too weird. "Gonna strap this thing to your face, move your teeth bones around' This would have been much more tolerable at the age where everything else in your body was going haywire.
They are SO EXCITED they get to do this with a guy with a foreign name again because they couldn't make it stick with Mamdani.
JD Vance: "We don't want the next administration, whoever -- god forbid you're gonna have President El-Sayed in three years ... "
I've been called disingenuous twice on this stupid website in the past week, both times for making little puns or jokes. My puns are VERY GENUINE.
Electability: the quality of one who has been elected. Look, I deal with some squishy concepts in my work but this one is even beyond me.
Looks like a 10-15 point polling miss in Michigan regardless of who wins. And people have been writing a lot of electability takes using this data. It’s dangerous out there folks be safe
Yeah. That’s a polling miss. Is Michigan hard to poll? Are democrats?
Is Michigan gearing up for a polling miss? El-Sayed up by double digits in polling averages...been like 3-5 ahead most of the night?
AES might lose in a squeaker and nobody is gonna be normal about it.
I mean yes. These things. And also maybe horny cartoon people. (Please don’t yell at me horny cartoon people, I know you were here first)
If you show up to Bluesky without following anyone, you'll be treated to a series of posts about art, music, and dogs. If you show up to X without following anyone, you'll be bombarded with right-wing conspiracies and white supremacist slop. It's weird which one is seen as a "political bubble"
Me seeing a relative or former student getting married in their early 30s: "What? They are just a kid!" Age at which I got engaged: 32.
Is Michigan gearing up for a polling miss? El-Sayed up by double digits in polling averages...been like 3-5 ahead most of the night?
They sold people on some imaginary college classes that promoted fringe ideologies, but when they got the reigns of power what did they ban? Plato. Ethics in Public Policy. American History. Judge them by their actions.
Everything is big in Texas. Including the racism, bigotry & law breaking across Texas’ public universities. And the resistance. The lawsuits are here. First one hit Tech. This one hits A&M. UT just matter of time. @texasaaup.bsky.social @aaup.org
This is one of those problems that more research can almost certainly fix. Mosquito control is so good you can dump chemicals in lakes that kills very little else. I can put biodegradalbe larvacide in standing water on my property and not so much as disrupt the tadpoles, all thanks to research.
If tick eradication becomes a centrist-brained obsession, I'm here for it gift link: www.theatlantic.com/health/2026/...
I'm ALWAYS wrong about Democratic candidates (was pretty sure it'd be Harris in 2020) so let's be wrong again: I think if Buttigeig is running it's because he thinks Harris is not.
FIFA: too autocratic and self-dealing for Middle East Monarchies.
More incendiary stuff. Prince Ali, the FA president from Jordan, who was a rival to Infantino in his first election in 2016, alleges FIFA attempted to effectively blackmail theJordanian FA, withholding funds until they had provided backing to Infantino for next year’s election.
Do you know what's really funny? Mamdani's subsidized grocery stores are basically relying on location and reputation to have needy people self-select into them. This was EXACTLY the reform to universal subsidies the World Bank and IMF told Middle East countries to do all through the 2000s.
Read it here if you haven't yet. Today is the very best day of all days to read it for the first time. short-stories.co/@raybradbury...
There Will Come Soft Rains by Ray Bradbury
The voice-clock sang, breakfast was ejected, but no doors slammed. The garage chimed and lifted its door to reveal the waiting car. The house sat alone in a city of rubble and…
short-stories.co
Today, August 4, 2026, is the setting of Ray Bradbury’s short story “There Will Come Soft Rains” about a fully automated house continuing on after the family who lived there and the world around it died in a nuclear blast.
Folks dismiss stuff like this but it does contribute to some people building a permission structure to vote contrary to how they have previously. I don't know how many people especially with deep polarization, but some.
NEWS: Former Senator Jeff Flake (R-AZ) has endorsed Senator Jon Ossoff (D-GA) for re-election Flake: “I’m still a conservative Republican. But character matters. And I want someone in that seat who takes the institution seriously and will protect the institution.”
The 2026 @aaup.org Faculty in the South Survey is live. If you are faculty in Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Tennessee, Kentucky, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas, Oklahoma, and Texas please take a second to fill it out: forms.gle/iLheVskd4wcA...
2026 AAUP Faculty in the South Survey
The Georgia conference of the American Association of University Professors [AAUP] and its partners in states across the South have been at the forefront of fighting attacks on higher education. To as...
forms.gle
That “political scientist” who peddles gutter racism & Islamophobia hasn’t held an academic position in 7 years, claimed someone else wrote her model and was responsible for errors, and hasn’t predicted an election correctly since 2018. She calls herself a “renowned” political scientist. She ain’t.
I'll live long enough to get emails from the DNC that says 'Ian, please give today, see this urgent warning from Hasan Piker!'
James Carville Tells Fox News He’s Out of the Democratic Party if Hasan Piker Stays: ‘One of Us is Going to Leave’
Just got pretty aggressively carded at Costco. Kids love to drive their electric suv to a suburban Costco and buy 200 dollars worth of toilet paper frozen fruit for smoothies and ALSO 4 bottles of midtier wine to get the party started. Classic teen activity.
I do love that a central piece of right wing rhetoric in the past decades has been 'protecting our daughters' from all sorts of things, but clearly not your colleague who throw scalding water on her. 🤷♂️
Look, in the summertime the chapter union communications team is pretty small. Is it: ✅ Sarcastic with a weird reference to labor organizations from the 1800s? It's me. ✅ Much more succinct and include a nice graphic? It's my Communication Studies professor president @apason.bsky.social
What's a benefit of being in a union? You get the information first and from faculty you trust! Didn't get the emailed newsletter? You might need to update your contact information! Reach out!
I have great news about two things you can do from almost anywhere: www.utahmuslims.com/take-shahada www.dsausa.org/get-involved/
Take Shahada — ISGSL
utahmuslims.com
I think 50% chance this is sarcasm but I like how conventional wisdom is now that running a Muslim socialist is actually an electoral cheat code. 6'2 white Navy SEALs are like "it's not fair I wish I was a Muslim socialist!"
Since Hegseth doesn't tell us shit, someone needs to work up an estimate of Patriot reserves based on Paul's sleep schedule.
Ughhhhh I don't want to be woken up by the gentle thuds of interceptions
Along with Joe Biden and every guy I know who did a tour of Iraq. Not saying it's good or bad, but that's up there with 'oy vey' on things that have jumped into the vernacular...
Wow, you got us! Arabs say Inshallah!
Ok, story time, for folks who care about public benefits: Social Security is not a universal benefit, when it started it was not envisioned as benefitting federal workers or other public workers. In the 1950s the vast majority of these workers had defined benefit pensions.
I played around with a (AI Powered) retirement calculator and it didn't even have a setting for 'no Social Security.' Public sector workers in 12 states have no Social Security.