Our projection on the latest Ireland Thinks / @independent.ie polls: ⭐ Fine Gael — 42 Seats ☘️ Sinn Féin — 42 🟩 Fianna Fáil — 38 🟪 Social Democrats — 21 💬 Independent — 10 🟢 Independent Ireland — 8 🌳 Aontú — 7 🌹 Labour — 6 irishelections.ie/general/
Ireland Election Projections
@irishelection.bsky.social
Tool to project your own results of the Irish elections 🗳️ https://irishelections.ie/
Our projection on the latest IrelandThinks poll for @independent.ie ⭐ Fine Gael — 42 Seats ☘️ Sinn Féin — 40 🟩 Fianna Fáil — 38 🟪 Soc Dem — 23 💬 Independent — 10 🟢 Ind Ireland — 8 🌹 Labour — 7 🌳 Aontú — 4 🌱 Green — 2 irishelections.ie
Our projection based on the latest RedC / @businesspost.bsky.social poll ☘️ Sinn Féin — 44 Seats ⭐ Fine Gael — 36 🟩 Fianna Fáil — 32 🟪 Social Democrats — 28 💬 Independent — 10 🌹 Labour — 7 🟢 Independent Ireland — 7 ✊ PBP-S — 5 🌳 Aontú — 4 🌱 Green — 1 irishelections.ie
Our projection of Dublin Central (left) compared to real life (right). The system works!
Our model works with any set of numbers so you can see how we think the transfers would play out. On Gavan's current numbers, we have the Soc Docs taking Dublin Central. irishelections.ie/bye-elections/
Gavan Reilly@gavreilly.com · 2mo ago🗳️ By-election tallies LIVE! 🚨 🔵 Dublin Central bit.ly/DublinCentral26 🟣 Galway West bit.ly/GalwayWest26 Updates here throughout the day(s)!
Our calls of Dublin Central and Galway West as polls closed. Based on national swing, Fine Gael should take Galway West and the Social Democrats should take Dublin Central. irishelections.ie/bye-elections/
An IrishElections projection on the latest Ireland/Thinks Sunday Independent poll ☘️ Sinn Féin — 44 Seats 🟩 Fianna Fáil — 41 ⭐ Fine Gael — 36 🟪 Social Democrats — 21 🌹 Labour — 9 🟢 Independent Ireland — 8 💬 Independent — 6 🌳 Aontú — 4 ✊ PBP-S — 4 🌱 Green — 1 From irishelections.ie/general
Our Projection based on the latest RedC research / @businesspost.bsky.social poll: ☘️ Sinn Féin — 50 Seats ⭐ Fine Gael — 37 🟩 Fianna Fáil — 35 🟪 Social Democrats — 23 💬 Independent — 12 🌹 Labour — 9 🟢 Independent Ireland — 4 🌳 Aontú — 3 ✊ PBP-S — 1 From irishelections.ie
An IrishElections projection on the latest Ireland/Thinks Sunday Independent poll ☘️ Sinn Féin — 50 Seats 🟩 Fianna Fáil — 45 ⭐ Fine Gael — 37 🟪 Social Democrats — 16 💬 Independent — 8 🌹 Labour — 7 🟢 Independent Ireland — 6 🌳 Aontú — 4 ✊ PBP-S — 1
A projection for the next NI Assembly based on the latest LucidTalk - @belfasttelegraph.co.uk poll ☘️ SF — 23 🦁 DUP — 17 🤝 AP — 12 🔷 UUP — 10 🌹 SDLP — 11 Ⓣ TUV — 12 ✊ PBP — 2 🌱 GP — 2 ⚫ Ind — 1 From devolvedelections.co.uk/northern-ireland/
An IrishElections projection based on the latest IrelandThinks poll for @independent.ie 🟩 Fianna Fáil — 46 Seats ☘️ Sinn Féin — 44 ⭐ Fine Gael — 39 🟪 Social Democrats — 18 🌹 Labour — 9 💬 Independent — 8 🟢 Independent Ireland — 5 🌳 Aontú — 3 ✊ PBP-S — 2 irishelections.ie/general/
We've finalised our Presidential projection with Connolly, Gavin and Humphreys as the only candidates to be nominated. Play around with transfer rates and first preferences to see who could win! Presets will be added once polls come in. irishelections.ie/presidential/
Irish Election Projections
Create and share your own Irish election projections. Interactive, educational, and up-to-date!
irishelections.ie
A projection based on the latest Red C/Business Post poll: ☘️ Sinn Féin — 42 Seats 🟩 Fianna Fáil — 40 ⭐ Fine Gael — 38 🟪 Social Democrats — 20 💬 Independent — 11 🌹 Labour — 9 🟢 Independent Ireland — 8 ✊ PBP-S — 4 🌱 Green — 1 🌳 Aontú — 1 From @irishelection.bsky.social
We've introduced an Irish Presidential Election projection! Enter your first preferences and play with their transfer freindliness to project a winner. irishelections.ie/presidential/
A projection based on the Ireland Thinks poll for @independent.ie: 🟩 Fianna Fáil — 44 Seats ☘️ Sinn Féin — 40 ⭐ Fine Gael — 38 🟪 Social Democrats — 19 💬 Independent — 11 🌹 Labour — 10 🟢 Independent Ireland — 7 🌳 Aontú — 2 ✊ PBP-S — 2 ⚪ Other — 1 irishelections.ie/general/
Irish Election Projections
Create and share your own Irish election projections. Interactive, educational, and up-to-date!
irishelections.ie
🗳️🇮🇪Who’s Winning? We Actually Have the Data. We’ve launched irishelections.ie — the place where Irish election projections make sense. 📊 Real-time seat forecasts 📈 Constituency breakdowns 🤓 Politics, but with fewer opinions and more numbers 👉 irishelections.ie
Irish Election Projections
Create and share your own Irish election projections. Interactive, educational, and up-to-date!
irishelections.ie