Alaska house flips to an independent who Dems funded to take on Begich
Montana could have been the 56th senate seat. Alani ain’t seeing pearly gates
One clear case of media bias against Dems has been 2022 and 2026 midterm cycle. In 2022, polls were rosier for Dems but media narrative was Dems bottom about to fall out. In 2026 polls are showing GOP bottom falling out but media narrative is like who knows if GOP keeps the house
The real October surprise is Ukraine bowing up the Russian bot farms ending right wing propaganda across all social media
More than a decade of make America great again campaign; two Trump terms with two trifectas, solid conservative court, and things have only gotten worse for everyone. Fitting end would be Texas going blue
MLC@chicyph80.bsky.social · 4w agoTrafalgar with a new poll showing Talarico up by 3.5 in Texas Senate lol When Trafalgar can’t even find Paxton ahead 🤣🤣đź¤đź¤
Pew extremely motivated to vote is D+17 and at least in Trump years that translated into final election outcomes
Political Poll Bot@pollresults.org · 4w agoDonald Trump Approval Sep 28 - Oct 4, 2026 Disapprove 68% Approve 30% Pew Research Center (A/B) 5062 A View Poll
except for the data centers, seems GOP is hell bent on destroying the domestic and international economy from tariffs to wars so I don’t even know what’s their policy platform for the midterms or even 2028
I don’t believe in fake Trafalgar polls but ‪so many people think polarization will continue when it wasn’t even true in the 2024 presidential year ‬
We been doing several wars for fun and admittedly it’s par for the course for a GOP admin but how is Hegseth still our defense secretary is beyond me. GOP at least used to take their wars seriously
funny thingabout the polling discourse is that GOP lost big in 2006 under exact same conditions if not worse what we have right now. The only big difference is that economy was fine in 2006 unlike right now
Electorate hated Dems ending one forever war so much we elected another Republican to start a brand new one but this time with added benefits of ruining the entire world economy
Vote GOP so we can all go to war with Canada is an excellent midterm message
Not sure if it has any implications for the general but at least the GOP base has been showing pure dislike for their incumbents across the board; something I don’t recall seeing like ever in any primary
Something people aren’t realizing yet but US congress is a dead institution and all the future president gets free rein to do whatever corruption they want; if both chambers of congress don’t flip this cycle.
Is it just me or ossoff is the sole major candidate actively running against tariffs and Iran war; tying both of them to current economic conditions. The job market recession, high inflation, struggling economy are direct result of these two, it’s perplexing Dems aren’t going all in on it
My two cents on MI polling miss is that states like Alaska Montana Maine Nevada are also hard to poll states. So far atlas intel and NYT have been the sole pollsters who have a better track record in polling
The only two things of note from WA primary I would say is * Dems won WA-03 outright so the variety of outlets who are still rating that seat as a tossup should finally eat the crow * WA-05 could very well be in play
Jack@jackisjake.bsky.social · 3mo agoDoesn’t even feel like WA primary is today and honestly I haven’t been paying that much attention to it. The only notable thing is turnout is way down from 2022 so it does look like WA gonna do its own thing like in 2024 so no need to read too much into it anymore
Doesn’t even feel like WA primary is today and honestly I haven’t been paying that much attention to it. The only notable thing is turnout is way down from 2022 so it does look like WA gonna do its own thing like in 2024 so no need to read too much into it anymore
This entire admin and party turning out to be bloodthirsty who wants wars 24/7 all 365 days, D+11 seems tame to me
Scott MacFarlane@macfarlanenews.bsky.social · 4mo agoNEW: Emerson Polling shows Democrats with 11-point advantage on generic ballot
Randomly remembering Feb 2024 polling when Haley was winning general by like 18 points and winning Wisconsin by 15. In retrospect GOP would have been better off had Haley won the nomination. They would have solid majorities in congress and she would have governed like Trump but with competence
lol this is like yet another candidate who will make Michigan senate seat a nail biter in a blue wave environment
Abdul El-Sayed@abdulelsayed.bsky.social · 4mo agoCredible allegations of sexual assault cannot be ignored. Voters in Maine deserve a choice for US Senate that doesn’t force them to make a moral compromise between sexual violence or corporate servitude.
A lot of election nerds on either side of the aisle completely forgot that Kamala Harris always over performed on the ballot regardless of the national environment while Vance underperformed in one single election he ran in a red state under a blue president
Republicans control everything right now and the only thing they managed to do is start new wars and pass a tax cuts for the rich. Not one single policy they passed has improved any of our lives in any meaningful way
Matthew Gertz@mattgertz.bsky.social · 5mo agoI guess we're really never getting the strait opened.
The side effect of GOP voters being crazy is that nearly all national attention will go to the Texas race and Iowa Ohio Alaska will go heavy under the radar
It’s so funny Trump made the house dysfunctional and as GOP senate was looking pretty decent Trump decided to nuke that chamber as well
George Pearkes@peark.es · 6mo agolol, here we go *TRUMP ENDORSES PAXTON IN TEXAS GOP SENATE PRIMARY RUNOFF
Everything aside, we have a very strong case in the making that this is a failed presidency
Poll Tracker 📊@polltracker.bsky.social · 6mo agoNYT/Siena poll Generic ballot Democratic 50% (+2) Republican 39% (-4) President Trump approval Disapprove 59% (+3) Approve 37% (-3) (Shift from January 2026) www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Can’t even ask Dems to vote, the courts will just strike down election results if they don’t like them
Virginia Supreme Court struck down the new maps passed by the voters