Juan Campos

@jccampos17.bsky.social

ML Engineer @ SRCFTBL

The Championship starts today. Who got the toughest opening run? I simulated the first five game weeks of 2026-27 and scored every club's fixtures by the same measure: the points an average Championship side would expect to take from them. Hardest — Watford, 5.55 points Softest — Portsmouth, 8.21

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⚽ UEFA Champions League 12 teams still fighting to qualify directly for the Round of 16 . For almost all of them, win or go to playoffs. Only Real Madrid and Liverpool can afford not to win.

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After yesterday’s draw by Manchester City, Arsenal now hold an 80.1% chance of winning the Premier League title. If they beat Liverpool today, Arsenal would go 8 points clear at the top and their title probability would jump to 84% 📈 Today’s match probabilities 👇

📊 How tough has your team’s start to the season been? I used xStandings’ expected points model to measure the difficulty of each team’s opening 7 matches in the Premier League. The darker the red, the harder the fixture. 🧵

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⚽️ Just launched xstandings.com Inspired by FiveThirtyEight, xStandings simulates the rest of the season to forecast final standings: ✅ Title, playoff, relegation odds ✅ Match-by-match win/draw/loss predictions ✅ “What if” explorer for upcoming games

xStandings — Predict Soccer Standings

xStandings simulates every match to forecast league standings. Explore your team’s chances for top 4, title, or relegation — updated weekly.

xstandings.com