Jeff E. Guy

@jeffyguy.bsky.social

The defining struggle of our time is between those who defend the Enlightenment and those who wish to destroy it. fiat enthusiast #FBR

I'm currently reading David Kynaston's series, Tales of a New Jerusalem. It's good stuff. A lot of bottom-up history is the same bullshit with the protagonists flipped, but this is a ground-up story of ordinary people leading ordinary lives.

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In case the stakes weren't already high enough, every four years we're going to decide who gets to write American history in accordance with their contemporary prejudices.

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What is it about the road to hell? If the state forces stores to charge more for items scanned by a human, then it will fire all the humans and add more self-checkout. Oh, that's right. It's paved with good intentions.

Miles Grant@milesgrant.bsky.social · 4d ago

Went to highwayside gas station for road trip grab & go dinner with kids & groaned aloud when I realized it was self-checkout - would’ve gone anywhere else Dems everywhere should copy this bill to require a 10% discount for self-checkout

The New York State Senate
FIND YOUR SENATOR
Assembly Bill A1l501
2025-2026 Legislative Session
Requires food retail establishments provide a ten percent discount when a customer uses a self-service checkout kiosk
DOWNLOAD BILL TEXT PDF

Leopold Aschenbrenner and Peter Thiel have both created and then bankrupted hedge funds. We need a word for people with esoteric knowledge in one field who assume they are authorities on completely unrelated ones. Google claims this is Nobel disease, but it feels like reverse Dunning-Kruger.

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In high school, all the kids knew me as a Jets fan who liked the Ramones. But now, after all these years, they can finally know me as <whisper>a Jets fan who likes the Ramones</whisper>

Whining about umpires is as old as the game, but it's changing it in new ways. Players and fans, expect a perfect call when a batter lays off a pitch 1/8th of an inch outside the strike zone. Instead of whining, defend the plate with that large wooden stick in your hands.

Warsh thinks Central banks should be boring and regulated to a less prominent role. He wants markets to set rates on their own. But without guidance, and with limited information, investors will be forced to price additional uncertainty which will push rates needlessly higher.

President Volodymyr Zelensky rolled out the red carpet for Laura Loomer, gave her 40 minutes then had his people give her a tour centered around her personal interests. She left impressed. The Henny Youngman of Ukraine has become its Winston Churchill.

Warsh is a bullshitter. He strings together technical terms that he doesn't seem to understand. Bond traders see right through it FT: "Beyond reiterating a commitment to the 2 per cent inflation target, the new Fed chair demonstrated an aversion to explaining his or the committee’s thinking."

Some poor bastard is going to write the definitive biography of Donald Trump and I pity them. It will take decades to get to the bottom of thousands of controversies. Bone spurs? That could be three months right there.

"This time is different" is both ironic and non ironic. Those who say it in earnest experience an outcome that is the opposite of their expectations. Listeners who've heard it before start prepping for the fire sale....

This is helpful, but even better would be mandatory liability insurance. If your gun harms or kills someone, they or their survivors should be able to sue the pants off your insurance company. Actuaries will ensure that unhinged people don't have access to guns.

Colin Gray, Father of Teenage Shooter in Georgia, Sentenced to 15 Years in Prison

Prosecutors argued that Colin Gray bore responsibility for the 2024 shooting because he had given his son a gun and failed to act as the teen’s mental health deteriorated.

nytimes.com

It takes a while for events to move my credit accumulation model. The restart of Trump's War has only now become visible: inflation expectations are rising, long yields are climbing, bonds are selling off, equities are softening, and credit is weakening. Overall, the system is fragile but functional