Jim Sannes

@jimsannes.bsky.social

Trading Analyst at FanDuel. Former writer & podcaster for numberFire & FanDuel Research. Six-time FSWA award winner. Northwestern graduate living in Lawrence, KS.

I grew up a huge Elliott Sadler fan. Tonight's truck race is the first time I have gotten to bet a race he is in. My lone bet on him is the partial fill I got on his "No Top 10" price. Seven-year-old Jim is disappointed in me.

I've always had a soft spot for Field of Dreams because my mom is from Iowa. Byron Buxton is my favorite athlete of all time. It bums me the eff out that he's not playing tonight.

Since turning 35, I've: - Pulled a hammy playing softball - Started wearing a headband and gloves while biking due to sweat Never gonna beat the "washed" allegiations.

Have Austin Hill +75000 to win today. Went to check cashout options. Cashout offer implies his win odds are 0.8%. I've got him 1.0% post-qualifying. Wouldn't have taken it, anyway, but glad not to have the "It's +EV!!!" demon in my head.

Average 1st round QB since 2010: 22.3 years old 32.5 games w/ 10-plus pass attempts 81.1 QBR Ty Simpson: 23.3 years old 16 games 76.0 QBR The average *successful* first-rounder has been 22.1 years old with 35.4 games and a QBR of 82.2.

1st round QBs since 2010 with less than 25 games with 10-plus pass attempts who were at least 22.5 years old: - Mac Jones - Mitchell Trubisky - Carson Wentz - Ryan Tannehill - Ty Simpson (23.3, 16 games) Simpson's 16 games are the fewest of that group, and he is older than all but Tannehill.

Biggest thing I've learned from past NFL drafts: Don't bet against draft-day steam. That's when *actual* information leaks. If someone's odds shorten significantly, it's good to resist the temptation to "buy low" on someone else.

Forecast this weekend for NASCAR in Kansas has highs in the 50s/60s. As someone who has sweat profusely/gotten rained on at every NASCAR race I've been to the past decade, I am in heaven.

If the leaders are going to run half throttle, and I am in the back of the pack I am: - Getting a group of five drivers - Pitting now - Packing it full of fuel - Going 100% throttle to put pressure on them