John Sugden
@johnsug.bsky.social
Armchair analytics for ultramarathons I'll likely never run
about 5 hours left if runners want to go onto loop 4, else about 9 hours to finish with a fun run #bm100
Assuming Pale Guy hasn't left camp yet (will update when Keith shares more); 42 minutes until loop one cutoff #bm100
Congrats to Hans and Anthony who both beat the #BC100K course record! (Hans by 4:55, Anthony by 0:23)!
Black Canyon 100k live-ish results while I wait for Barkley updates
My old stats; doesn't really bode well if no one has finished loop one yet (historically, only 4% of runners who finished loop 1 after 9 hours would go on to finish all 5 loops) #bm100
Not a helpful chart, but approximately 8.5 hours in; we could see first loop finishers soon if conditions aren't too nasty #bm100
#bm100 cutoffs Conch: Feb 14 5:00 am ET Start: Feb 14 6:00 am ET Loop 1 cutoff: Feb 14 7:20 pm / 19:20 ET Loop 2 cutoff: Feb 15 8:40 am ET Loop 3 cutoff: Feb 15 6:00 pm / 18:00 ET Fun Run cutoff: Feb 15 10:00 pm / 22:00 ET Loop 4 cutoff: Feb 16 6:00 am ET Loop 5 cutoff: Feb 16 6:00 pm / 18:00 ET
"The weather forecast for Frozen Head is: Heavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 4°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (gales from the S on Sat night, calm by Mon morning)." #bm100 www.mountain-forecast.com/peaks/Frozen...
this year was brutal -- looks like the fewest total loops completed (and average loops per runner) since 1995 #bm100
final tracker (more or less -- still don't know who was the tenth runner to complete the first loop) -- congrats on a fun time in Frozen Head, John Kelly! #bm100