Paul Hannon

@jonesclarke.bsky.social

An economics editor at The Wall Street Journal.

Will we ever break the association between Ireland and booze? From the head of the IMF: “thank you for inviting me to the land of Guinness. It has a special place in my own life. When the wind of perestroika blew into Bulgaria, my very first purchase in hard currency was a can of Guinness.”

In the space of 10 minutes, a black cab and then an Uber driver cancelled on me. I have ended up taking a slightly trickier tube ride. But not sure I understand why this is an option for a driver - it basically means you can’t rely on any booking, so why ever use one of the apps?

Europe’s iconoclasts didn’t just want to remove images they disapproved of, they wanted a permanent reminder that they disapproved of those images. This looks like a lot more work than just removing the sculpture.

Bild

This is a bit of a surprise - the eurozone economy has grown more rapidly than its US counterpart in the second quarter - 1.8% annualised versus 1.5%. As an energy importer, it was thought to be more vulnerable to the fallout from the U.S.-Iran conflict.

Today’s revision to fourth-quarter US growth means it is now estimated to have grown more slowly than did the eurozone in the same period (0.7% annualized versus 0.8%). Of course, it grew a lot faster in each of the middle two quarters, after lagging in the first. Messy year.

Really don’t understand why the OBR does this: “UK public sector debt as a share of GDP is nearly double the advanced-economy average.” It is if you use a simple rather than weighted average. The UK is not notably more indebted than the G7. It is more indebted than Estonia.

At 2.2% in 2025, the US economy grew at the slowest pace since the pandemic year of 2020. GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 | U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

Germany’s economy grew last year for the first time since 2022, despite a decline in exports while imports jumped. Perhaps the start of something. Gross domestic product up 0.2% in 2025 - German Federal Statistical Office

Bank of France Gov Francois Villeroy is not happy with Europe’s response to the new disorder: “Let us draw at least one lesson from the excesses across the Atlantic: we must act faster, more clearly and more forcefully.”

The report shows a sharp rise in research security measures – policies designed to protect sensitive research and prevent foreign interference. In 2025, countries reported 250 such policies — almost ten times more than in 2018.

They only have two centuries of experience to draw on, but GWR still surprised that a lot of people travel to and from Oxford. Maybe if they had some tangible sign of demand, like ticket sales, they could provide an adequate number of seats.

This may be obvious, but the trick to the BOE’s QT announcement seems to be that sales of long-term gilts are pretty much the same as last year (20% of £21 billion vs 33.3% of £13 billion) even as total sales rise. Some people might have wanted to see no further sales at the long end.