Jordan H.

@jordanehoser.bsky.social

Canadian. Economics, geopolitics, nerd. Everything is better when everyone is included.

Not that I think it will happen, but, 96 hours from CENTCOM Commander Adm. Cooper's in-person visit to the White House on Oct. 29th would be Nov. 2nd. If planners are counting on the element of surprise, it would be surprising. It would also be bafflingly stupid, which is commonplace for Trump.

Jordan H.@jordanehoser.bsky.social · last wk.

"US forces in the Middle East are prepared to launch new, potentially major, military operations against Iran “within 96 hours of receiving” an order from President Donald Trump" www.cnn.com/2026/10/26/p...

US has plans for major Iran strikes if Trump chooses

🇵🇱 Tusk announced the intervention of pro-Russian forces in the conflict around the Constitutional Tribunal "They find support in the world among pro-Russian forces. And today, they are supported by an army of Russian bots. They even received public compliments from Kremlin's chief ideologue."

Bild

Iran has designated MI6 as a hostile group and the Royal Navy and Royal Air Force as "terrorist organizations" in response to the British designating the IRGC as a terrorist organization.

Bild

Nov. 1st: "Speaking to reporters while attending a Halloween party at Mar-a-Lago, Trump said, “We've knocked out their nuclear. We still have to take care of, I would say, one or two sites, but we can do that in ten minutes.”

US House Speaker Mike Johnson: “Let me make a prediction. What's going to happen on Tuesday night? The polls are wrong. We're going to defy history. “We're going to keep the House majority.” With polling that is way beyond the MoE, if that happened there would be deep shenanigans.

Very specific threat to Puerto Cortés, Honduras for the morning of Saturday October 31st. The US Embassy has advised citizens to "avoid travel to Puerto Cortés from 6:00 p.m. on October 30 until 6:00p.m. on November 1, if possible."

BildThreat Alert – U.S. Embassy Tegucigalpa, Honduras (October 30, 2026)
By U.S. Embassy Tegucigalpa
4 MINUTE READ
October 30, 2026
Location: Puerto Cortés, Honduras

Event: The Honduran Ministry of Security released a statement on October 30 about a potential threat to bridges and access routes leading into the Port of Puerto Cortés and into the city center during the early morning hours of Saturday, October 31, 2026.  Honduran authorities have acted on these reports and have increased security in the area.  The Embassy has advised U.S. government personnel to avoid the city of Puerto Cortés between the evening of Friday October 30, 2026, and the evening of Sunday November 1, 2026.  The Embassy continues to closely monitor the situation in collaboration with the Ministry of Security t.

Actions to Take:

Avoid travel to Puerto Cortés from 6:00 p.m. on October 30 until 6:00p.m. on November 1, if possible.
If you are in Puerto Cortés, avoid bridges and the access routes leading into the port and the city center, especially during early morning hours.
Expect increased security presence and delays.
Follow the instructions of local authorities.
Be aware of your surroundings and vigilant about your personal security.
Monitor local media for updates.
Review your personal security plans and stay aware of your surroundings.
Enroll in the Smart Traveler Enrollment Program (STEP)  at step.state.gov.

Rubio recognizes Poland as a full participant in the G20 in Atlanta. "President Trump believes [Poland's] economic success and growing global influence is exactly what the G20 needs..." This happened after the Polish constitutional courts situation escalated. Video: Radio Free Europe

Polish Police refute the claim that a letter issued an order that "suggests the use of officers in a situation related to the Constitutional Tribunal." And that the letter "is related to current threats associated with acts of sabotage and diversion." Which is maybe even more insane??

We categorically refute the information that refers to a letter dated 29 October of this year, addressed by the Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Police to the provincial police commanders, and suggests the use of officers in a situation related to the Constitutional Tribunal.  
In reality, the letter stating the full readiness of police officers from 2 to 8 November of this year is related to current threats associated with acts of sabotage and diversion.

I don't know what's going on in Poland at this time but I'm guessing it might explain why Trump and associates were so praiseworthy of the country and gangbusters about moving US troops there. PM Tusk has the mandate there and he is the good guy. Don't get that mixed up in all that's unfolding.

Spokesperson for the Pakistani military: There is cautious optimism regarding mediation efforts between the US and Iran. Warnings are issued about powerful elements trying to thwart the mediation efforts.