Joyce Karam

@joycekaram.bsky.social

Editor-in-Chief, AL-MONITOR | Professor, GWU https://www.linkedin.com/newsletters/china-middle-east-briefing-7305587918826319872/

NEW: #China cuts deals with Yemen’s Houthis as Iran-US war drags on • Chinese 🚢going thru Red Sea • Direct talks w Houthis • Offloading Iranian oil in Malaysia • Adjusting to long war • Buying Saudi oil while arranging security w Iran. More: www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...

China cuts deal with Houthis, adjusts for long US war with Iran

China is cutting its own deals and gaining wartime leverage as the Trump administration scrambles to contain the war and reopen Hormuz.

al-monitor.com

Middle East braces for heavy night of escalation as - Trump preps for strikes on Iran - War engulfing Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Jordan - Explosions reach Egypt port - Israel's Netanyahu meets Hegseth - Lebanon-Israel ceasefire shaky

UPDATE • Iraq PM cancels visit to Saudi Arabia • 20 killed in Saudi/US strikes in Iraq • Trump vows to hit Iran hard • Oil prices ↗️ • Hezbollah-Israel clashes in Lebanon • Houthis hit another Saudi tanker • Iran rejects Oman Hormuz proposal www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...

Zaidi cancels Riyadh trip after US-Saudi strikes on Iran-backed militias in Iraq

The move comes after Riyadh joined Washington in targeting Iraqi militias, dealing a setback to Baghdad's efforts to strengthen ties with Gulf Arab states.

al-monitor.com

Trump’s Iran conundrum • Can’t take back Hormuz • Can’t leave Iran controlling Hormuz • Can’t eliminate nuclear prog. • Can’t allow high enrichment • Can’t eliminate Houthis • Can’t afford closure of Bab Mandab • Can’t trust IRGC • Can’t overthrow without ground troops

UPDATE • Trump considering 'massive attack' on #Iran: Axios • US warns of possible airspace closure,✈️cancelations • Trump links Saudi nuclear deal to Abraham Accords • Houthis target ships in Red Sea • Oil prices soar > $100 www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...

Trump says Saudi nuclear deal 'totally subject' to Israel normalization

Saudi Arabia has previously said normalized relations with Israel would require an irreversible path to Palestinian statehood.

al-monitor.com

🚨 BREAKING: US, Saudi Arabia sign landmark nuclear power agreement The multi-billion dollar agreement will now undergo congressional review, with expected provisions on uranium enrichment likely to draw scrutiny from some lawmakers. www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...

US, Saudi Arabia sign landmark nuclear power agreement

The multi-billion dollar agreement will now undergo congressional review, with expected provisions on uranium enrichment likely to draw scrutiny from some lawmakers.

al-monitor.com

UPDATE: Iran- Houthis- Lebanon • US F-35s, F-16s arrive in region • Iran targeted Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain • US hit Iran targets overnight • 10-day ceasefire proposal • Houthis declare Red Sea blockade • Lebanon President meets Trump tom. www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...

As Houthis declare Red Sea blockade on Saudi Arabia, oil markets brace for impact

The Iran-backed group said the maritime embargo on the Gulf's biggest crude exporter would be effective immediately.

al-monitor.com

On Middle East, Lindsey Graham was • Anti-regime in Iran • Anti-Assad in Syria • Very pro-Israel • Good ties w Turkey (NATO) • Pro Kurdish • Supported Iraq war • Pushed hard to bring Saudi Arabia into Abraham Accords • Close ties w UAE • pro Morocco • Good ties w Qatar

Meanwhile, US is bombing Iran after Iran struck ships in Hormuz. MOU signed 3 weeks ago seems ink on paper Sanctions relief revoked Inspectors kept out Hormuz open but unstable Unclear if frozen funds released Centcom hasn’t released targets yet

Precarious moment for Lebanon - Framework agreement links Israeli withdrawal to Hezbollah disarmament - Hezbollah reacting with protests, blocking roads as army clashes with protesters - If agreement works, it could end up in a peace deal but bumpy road ahead, many spoilers

One week into US-Iran MOU • Iran denies it accepted inspectors • Cargo 🚢 attacked in Hormuz • Iran gets big oil waiver • Saudi Arabia seeks Gulf-Iran summit • Lebanon-Israel talks stuck • Iran denies agreeing to buy US Soy beans w frozen funds More technical talks ahead

Two officials confirm the ongoing round of Lebanon-Israel talks is worst of the 5 • Sources say delegations were coming with agreed constructive thinking but atmosphere in room has been charged, negative • Key standoff around Israeli withdrawal, handing over pilot zones to Lebanese army

Trump team openly inviting Iran, Syria to oversee #Lebanon file: • Vance signs off US-Iran 'deconfliction cell' on Lebanon • Trump appeals to Sharaa to help with Hezbollah • Lebanese state marginalized ahead of Lebanon-Israel talks tomorrow www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...

US, Iran to form 'deconflicting cell' on Lebanon, sidelining Lebanese state

The agreement came during talks between Iran and the United States following a preliminary deal reached last week to end the war across the Middle East, including in Lebanon.

al-monitor.com