Jason J

@kc5knd.bsky.social

NWS Meteorologist/Master Instructor. Probabilistic forecasting, severe wx, radar, ML/AI, a little bit of this n that!

Not quite a killing freeze as we only got briefly to 31.46°F right before sun started shining over the neighbors house. On the other hand, so good to see snow again (even if for a fleeting moment) on higher elevations of the Front Range! #cowx #winteriscoming

Home outdoor temperature sensor showing we briefly got below freezing this morning. View of the Front Range mountains with snow at higher elevations behind the Flatirons outside of Boulder.

Took advantage of last warm day & holiday to set a cycling PR by 7 minutes on Big Dry Creek Trail near home to Standley Lake this morning. Tail wind with cleaned & freshly oiled chain/gears helped. No new snow on peaks but smoke from controlled burn was in the air. REALLY need a good rain/snow soon!

Map showing completed leg from near home to Standley Lake on Big Dry Creek trail, colored by speed.View looking northwest from Standley Lake up Eldorado Canyon showing a hint of snow on some of the peaks. Smoke from a controlled burn somewhere down near Golden or the SW Denver metro area

Day 1 of the Shimanami Kaido done. 27.27 mi/40km down, bit more than halfway. Totally worth it if you are a cycleist & in Japan. Great views along the entire route, staying at Wakka w/ a Hiroshima Lemon Ale as a reward. 7pm, & it’s off to bed, 1 more day of cycling! #japan #shimanamikaido #cycling

First day of the Shimanami Kaido done. 27.27 miles/40 km and well worth doing!Dinner downed (pizza in Japan? Absolutely!), showered, and watching sunset over Ikuchi Island, waiting for my reward after the ride.Hiroshima lemon ale as a reward for a bike ride.

And colored mechanical pencil lead?? I bought all but one pack of each color since I can’t have a hand analysis computer screen. These will do quite nicely and save my prismacolor pencils for that much longer…

Colored mechanical pencil refills in Kyoto. I bought all but one of each color

I want one of those tablets please…(found at the science museum attached to the Japan Meteorological Agency building) Japan again showing us all the cool things we could have

You know Japanese curry will be great when there is a massive pot on stove that looks like it’s been there for generations. Cook takes ladle of curry out of said pot into smaller one, dilutes it w/ water, then simmers it some more. Add tonkatsu pork & <chefs kiss>. Nasu Oyaji カレー食堂 茄子おやじ 花レ, Kyoto

Japanese curry with pork tonkatsu and rice, served at Nasu Oyaji カレー食堂 茄子おやじ 花レ Kyoto.

Always interesting forecasting for a family member travelling overseas. They sent Apple WX app for the 9th Asking if it’s true. 🤷🏻‍♂️ ! Temp spread likely due to precipitation uncertainty as old tropical system meanders around Japan. (Yes, my EC code is broken for control member; working on it)…

Interesting watching #ElkFire nr Lake City & how it’s moving in terrain w/ light winds/different fuel densities. Vegetation thins out on slopes of valley wall; heavier timber loads NW of city could produce spotting from embers. Love going fishing at Lake San Christobal & Alpine Loop is a Jeep to-do

Watch Duty map showing the Elk Fire making a run to the southwest. Luckily the slopes around the city don’t have much vegetation limiting the potential a little bit for the fire to get into the city itself. Just Will have to watch for spotting/flying embers into the city.Satellite view of the terrain and vegetation around Lake City, CO

Just to repeat what everyone else east of the Front Range in Colorado is saying; it was hot today. 105°F felt every bit as hot as back in TX. The 64° this morning was ok except for ozone and particulates trapped near the ground. #cowx

105° high at my casa is hot, just like everyone else in and around Denver is saying…

I continue to fail to understand why someone will opt to FaceTime with no headphones & full volume in an airport. Now I know your significant other misses you, “can’t wait for you to get home to take over care of our toddler because he has been hell all week” & “your mom has been zero help”…

The cycle continues; droughts end in floods. Family across Hill Country & several have said they have never seen it rain so hard with so little lightning. Tipping gauges struggle to keep up; 1 shows around 5” in 7 days while different gauge 1 mi W has almost 10” near one set of family #txwx #flood

Lower Colorado River Authority rain map showing totals from 2 to 17 inches across their forecast domain. Likely underestimates because tipping rain gauges struggle to keep up in heavy rainfall.Mason, TX airport Remote Automated Weather Station showing almost 10 inches of accumulation over the past7 days; around 6 inches greater than the closest LCRA gaugeLlano (not pronounced yawn-oh but Lan-oh with a hard L) river near Mason, place where I spent many a summer swimming and fishing.  Hydrograph showing the flashy nature of the river and a peak into minor flood stage. Lower than many other rivers in the area but still significant.

When you ask for tasters & the server comes back with “The bartender pours ‘heavy’” 😳. This after trying a flight ranging from 4 to 9% ABV! Red Rock Brewery in SLC has some good brews, definitely a nice way to wrap up TDY in support of World Cup operations by “The Bureau”!

Asked for tasters of a couple of Red Rock Brewery beers and end up with two additional flights glasses (a tripel and Russian imperial stout)

Google is gonna get someone stuck or killed. With 550 closed N of Ouray, it now says Imogene Pass (pucker factor 10 at spots even in my Rubicon) is quickest way to get to Telluride vs 550-62-145 route. 17 is open for limited traffic and gets folks around the closure so 😬 #cowx #goldmountainfire

Google Maps is now routing traffic from Ouray to Telluride across Imogene Pass, a difficult trail even for base 4x4s (and not recommended for most AWD vehicles)! That will not end well…

Glad I got my 15 mile outdoor bike ride in this morning; first part of this week is looking smoky due to the fires in Utah. Bummer because it's a lot more enjoyable being outdoors on the mtn bike than inside on the Peloton. #wildfire #smoke #COwx

Trying to keep things separate is hard when you work for the NWS, family are ranchers in Texas a county away from a confirmed NWS case. And you start searching for information on NWS. Which results this time; National Weather Service or New World Screwworm? The Venn diagram doesn’t overlap…