Joseph Bryan

@koalatystats.bsky.social

Trying to predict the future | B.S. in Statistics from UGA | Bad at Social Media, but I try my best https://koalatystats.substack.com/

I NEED A HERO - Week 7 Route Based Heroes Step 1: Create the most predictive receiving metric in all of football (PWOPR) Step 2: Predict Fantasy Points Per Game with it Step 3: Find the players who need to positively regress www.pff.com/news/identif...

Identifying fantasy football, DFS breakout candidates ahead of Week 7

Using route-level PFF data and the Predicted Targets Model, these players could be in line for large fantasy performances in Week 7.

pff.com

Week 6 Coach, I Was Open! - Who was open in Week 5 & didn't get the targets they deserved? - Is throwing it to player's my model says you should throw it to a good thing? - Who made THE most insane mathematical plays last week? FREE PFF Article! www.pff.com/news/fantasy...

Fantasy Football: Identifying the players who could see more targets in Week 6

Joseph Bryan's "Coach, I Was Open" model deducts which players could receive more targets in Week 6, including Travis Kelce.

pff.com

How do you quantify NFL offensive coaching? Step 1: Quantify “offense” - I used Principal Components Analysis on various important offensive metrics like EPA, Yards per Play, Series Conversion Rate, etc..... 🧵

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🧮NFL 2025 PROJECTED Play Calling Tendencies🧮 Play calling is VITAL to fantasy and real life outcomes Using the last 15 years of NFL play-by-play data I created play calling projections for the 2025 season 🐨

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🚨2025 Pre-Draft Wide Receiver Model🚨 🔥 .47 Cross Validated R^2 to 3 Year NFL FPpG 🕵️FREE In-Depth Stack writeup 🧑‍🔬FREE Access to most of the data I used to make the model 🧵🧵🧵

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Route Based Heroes model this week: - Rome Odunze: 20.2 PPR - Darnell Mooney: 20.2 - Garrett Wilson: 18.4 - Quentin Johnston: 15.8 - Josh Palmer: 13.8 - Christian Watson: 13.4 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 www.pff.com/news/fantasy...

"Route-based heroes": Identifying players who could break out in fantasy and DFS in Week 14

Utilizing the "Coach, I was open" model and WOPR framework to look into the players who could break out in fantasy and DFS in Week 14.

pff.com