Lary Doe

@larydoe.bsky.social

Behavioral Economist, Runner, 🐈Servant, Husband to a Strong Woman. ProgRock Enthusiast. GO BLUE DEVILS!!!

Not once did they say "tax". FoxNews is responsible for the dumbing down of America. Not a single one could have passed my Freshman Econ class. *They just repeat the lies with a smile on their lips.

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Epstein lunchtime thought- Your 16-yr old daughter disappears for days at a time, and you don't ask many questions? "How'd you get money/clothes/whatever?" Feels like a question I'd be asking the victim's parents...

Lumber as of 9 a.m. EDT. Add in 9% passthrough due to Tariffs on Canadian products. 25% on the stuff coming from Baltic region. Mills in Pacific NW are running at reduced capacity for maintenance. Housing affordability becomes harder when the Gov. places barriers to pricing.

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The messaging creep on the Epstein files is getting worrisome. Hearing Neera Tanden throwing Merrick Garland under the bus is deeply concerning. Blaming pendulum swing policies between Trump 45 and Biden as a culprit? Now we wait and wonder who has something additional to spew?

Just a reminder that the House of Representatives takes 160 days for recess. That's 147 days they are in session!? Please, tell me more about waste, fraud and abuse.

@elerianm.bsky.social is unfortunately drinking the Cool-Aid. Continued promotion of the idea Jay Powell or the Federal Reserve should be party to any political influence is foundationally incorrect. Bessant, Trump, Liz Warren... none should be "insisting" on policy.

Top economist Mohamed El-Erian breaks ranks with Wall Street and says Powell should resign to preserve Fed independence

El-Erian, president of Queens' College at Cambridge University, said he was aware that his view did not align with the Wall Street consensus.

cnbc.com

Revenue from the Federal Estate/Gift Tax was $34B in 2023. Retirement funds and Homes make up the majority of assets. Homes, post-tax dollars. Retirement varies by composition of asset. My point is these types of taxes can lower generational wealth being transferred or destroyed.

It was really disheartening to listen to a @marketplace.org podcast, "Financially Inclined", that undermined the expertise of Ph.D. holders. Not a specific person, but saying that only those who have attended Medical School deserve the title Dr.? Odd statement. May rethink my next donation.

Lessons from Karate Kid Legends? Women are set pieces with no agency. They only make "bad decisions". (Must be saved by "hero", even Mom!) The "Bad Boy" has no adult telling him he doesn't own women. #ToxicMasculinity gets re-enforced by these stupid tropes.

Well Donald... This is the point Economists will say begins the full effect of your economic choices. It's now all you, not Biden, not Obama(?). Can't hide from your choices...

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Sunday Data Point - #Medicare Payments Calculating the payments back to States from the Federal doesn't include Medicare. 2023 data shows CA outpacing receipt of payments by $10's of Billions over other States. For those arguing CA net-payer status? It's not quite what people argue.

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This 👇🏻 is why checking your sources for data is important. While the headline numbers are accurate, the current Administration is opting to hide methodology to create a narrative. *Those worried about Government Reports? It's still good data, but the "news releases" are the questionable stuff!!

Checking Trump admin claim native-born workers accounted for all job gains in first half of 2025

The Department of Labor's graphic used non-seasonally adjusted data.

snopes.com

Epstein "Client List" Thought - I know my former boss's name is in Epstein's phone book, like many who could pull some string. Those individuals, the ones who donated money to a legitimate cause 25 years ago, shouldn't be dragged for things they didn't know. Seek justice, just be careful.

Fed Gov. Chris Waller assumes a perfect distribution of Tariff split - 1/3 Manufacturer, 1/3 Importer, 1/3 End Customer being a 1 time increase. In a lab or book, absolutely correct... but It ignores competitive advantages and imperfect pass-through, where not all are equal. 1/2👇🏻

Seriously Comcast? Even with TVs using the streaming app (it's slow garbage that lacks functionality), the bill is getting abusive. *Don't care about local sports, but for "reasons" I'm stuck paying for them.

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OK, what are people buying? Is the higher income cohort carrying the economy? Unemployment is steady at 4.1%. All the data supports NO cut in Fed Funds Rate in July.

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Core CPI is up 2.9% Y/Y. Airline and Hotel pricing is falling, lower demand. There has been some normalization of pricing since Covid. Overall volume of retail sales is lowering. Consumption down alongside price creep. The tariff inflation still isn't in the data, by September?

👇🏻This lacks a basic understanding of how campaigns work. The issue needs to be limiting the calendar days, ad spend and maybe not piss away money on 2000 consultants? It's an industry in and of itself with no benefit. If they weren't campaigning, then they'd have to do their jobs!

End Citizens United@endcitizensunited.bsky.social · last yr.

Corporations aren’t people, money isn’t free speech, and we need to End Citizens United. Repost if you agree.

Fiscal Dominance - Federal Reserve versus Government in a game of Chicken. Central Bank can't respond in a way Trump wants. Trump can't stop increasing Federal Deficit. As they said in Highlander "There can be only One!" Rates will need to stay high until inflation effects of tariffs show in data.

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