NEWS from @crisisgroup.org. After 7 years as UN Director, I'm moving to a new program on Global Issues and Institutions. @fortid.crisisgroup.org becomes Head of UN Affairs, backed by @mayaungar.bsky.social. . AND we need a Senior Analyst covering geopolitics 👇 jobs.crisisgroup.org/o/analyst-gl...

Trump isn't the first global leader to try (& try) to find a path to peace in the Russo-Ukraine war. New @crisisgroup.org War & Peace podcast welcomes @clingendael.bsky.social's Bob Deen to discuss the roles global powers have tried to play & might yet play with guest host Alissa de Carbonnel & me.

A Bigger Table? The Case for More Global Diplomacy over Ukraine | International Crisis Group

This week on War & Peace, Olga and guest host Alissa de Carbonnel speak with Bob Deen, Head of the Security Unit at the Clingendael Institute, about diplomacy to end the war in Ukraine and how countri...

crisisgroup.org

NEW BRIEFING | Gaza’s Ceasefire is Vital, but Only a Start Trump’s Gaza ceasefire is holding. But unless the truce is bolstered by sustained international diplomacy and pressure, the plan may collapse, leaving the decimated strip in limbo. www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

🔴 We just published the Autumn Update for our Watch List for the European Union. This special @crisisgroup.org report highlights global crises that the EU has the potential to address in 2025. Here are our latest updates: www.crisisgroup.org/global/watch...

‘Israel needs to deliver’: Europe’s private fears over Trump’s plan for Gaza via @politico.eu www.politico.eu/article/isra...

‘Israel needs to deliver’: Europe’s private fears over Trump’s plan for Gaza

Officials and diplomats are hoping the ceasefire lasts but don’t want to ease the pressure on Israel just yet.

politico.eu

‘Two years on, Gaza has paid the price for global inaction.’ As we mark Hamas’s attacks against Israel on 7 October 2023, @crisisgroup.org’s CEO and President @comfortero.crisisgroup.org reflects on what has unfolded since - and the urgent choices now before us. 1/9 🧵 mailchi.mp/crisisgroup....

🗒️ NEW ANALYST’S NOTEBOOK | EU Commission Draws up Plans to Pressure Israel over Gaza Offensive @lisamusiol.bsky.social examines EU proposals to sanction Israel and curb trade benefits, and the likely resistance from some member states. www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

EU Commission Draws up Plans to Pressure Israel over Gaza Offensive | International Crisis Group

Crisis Group expert Lisa Musiol examines EU proposals to sanction Israel and curb trade benefits, and the likely resistance from some member states

crisisgroup.org

Read here a quick take on the EU proposal to pressure Israel over Gaza offensive. The ball is now in the court of EU capitals. Failing once again agree on more prerssure would mean standing by as Israel continues to destroy Palestinian life in Gaza. www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-...

EU Commission Draws up Plans to Pressure Israel over Gaza Offensive | International Crisis Group

Crisis Group expert Lisa Musiol examines EU proposals to sanction Israel and curb trade benefits, and the likely resistance from some member states

crisisgroup.org

#EU ambassadors roll-over #Russia sanctions on more than 2,500 sanctioned persons and entities by 6 months, without any political delistings.

Kaja Kallas@kajakallas.bsky.social · 12mo ago

We just extended our sanctions on Russia. At the same time, we are finalising work on the 19th package – looking into additional curbs on Russian oil sales, shadow oil tankers, and banks. We’ll keep choking off the cash for Putin’s war.

Why the impact of Poland and its NATO allies' decision to shoot down Russian drones may well be stabilizing. Expanding a bit on my Bluesky thread from yesterday with an entry in the @crisisgroup.org Analyst's Notebook series.

Drones over Poland | International Crisis Group

Crisis Group expert Olga Oliker analyses the implications of the decision by Poland and its NATO allies to shoot down Russian drones over Polish territory on 9 September

crisisgroup.org

@crisisgroup.org at its best, separating the signal from the noise. Read my colleague @olyaoliker.bsky.social 's take on the drone incident in Poland. Some headlines suggested a NATO-Russia confrontation might be closer. But the opposite could be true. 👇 www.crisisgroup.org/europe-centr...

Drones over Poland | International Crisis Group

Crisis Group expert Olga Oliker analyses the implications of the decision by Poland and its NATO allies to shoot down Russian drones over Polish territory on 9 September

crisisgroup.org

Von der Leyen on Israel: - We will put our financial support to Israel on hold - We will propose sanctions on extremist Israeli ministers and violent settlers - We will also propose a partial suspension of the association agreement on trade-related measures

Noah Barkin@noahbarkin.bsky.social · 12mo ago

Von der Leyen on Gaza: "Man-made famine can never be a weapon of war. For the sake of the children, for the sake of humanity, this must stop"

Ursula von der Leyen: "We need to move to qualified majority in some areas, for example, in foreign policy. It is time to break free from the shackles of unanimity. The point is that we need to make sure our Union is faster and can deliver for Europeans." #SOTEU

In her #SOTEU State of the Union speech Von der Leyen surprised with harsh word's against Israel and plans to push for sanctions and partial suspension of Association Agreement www.politico.eu/article/ursu...

Von der Leyen announces plan to sanction Israeli ministers — live updates

Follow our analysis as the European Commission chief outlines the EU’s priorities against the backdrop of a turbulent world order.

politico.eu

Colombia is entering a difficult election year, amid rising armed group violence. The temptation to seek a military solution is a false one. Peace talks work. Sustaining their gains is harder. My column today in @nytimes.com offers a way forward. www.nytimes.com/2025/09/08/o...

Opinion | A New War Is Emerging in Colombia

nytimes.com

Israel orders evacuation of Gaz city via @financialtimes.com on.ft.com/3Vaxi1v @crisisgroup.org warned in a recent statement that if Israel’s assault on Gaza city, in the midst of a famine, continues, the results look set to be still more horrifying than what the world has witnessed to date.

Israel orders evacuation of Gaza City

Benjamin Netanyahu has argued assault is needed to break Hamas

on.ft.com

UPDATE: it's now 187 NGOs & trade unions urging suspension of the #EU - #Israel Association Agreement. Credible findings of genocide & apartheid are NOT compatible with the human rights clause - nor is inaction. EU ministers failed on June 20. They must not fail again on July 15. #SuspendTheDeal

Claudio Francavilla@claudiofrancavilla.bsky.social · last yr.

Ahead of EU foreign ministers meeting, 110+ NGOs & trade unions urge suspension of the #EU - #Israel Association Agreement Under the #Genocide Convention, EU states are bound to act. Signatories "appalled" it took so long for the EU to launch review of the agreement: hrw.org/news/2025/06...

Letzte Woche war voll geopolitischer Entwicklungen. Um alles einzuordnen, waren MdEP Tobias Cremer, @lisamusiol.bsky.social und ich bei @euronewsde.bsky.social zu Gast und sprachen über: 🛡️ NATO-Gipfel ❗ Angriff auf Irans Atomanlagen 🤝 EU–Kanada-Gipfel 🎥 www.youtube.com/watch?v=p-cS...

Brüssel, meine Liebe? Ein besänftigter Trump und das europäisch-kanadische Liebespaar

YouTube video by euronews (deutsch)

youtube.com

Iran attack could be the death knell for nuclear non-proliferation More countries will seek atomic weapons unless Europe and its allies defend a flawes but vital treaty - on.ft.com/45Jehd3 via @FT

Iran attack could be the death knell for nuclear non-proliferation

More countries will seek atomic weapons unless Europe and its allies defend a flawed but vital treaty

on.ft.com

My quotes @deutschewelle.bsky.social coverage on EU's Gaza policy "It seems that after the recent escalation between Israel and Iran, many member states have fallen into their old positions," she said. www.dw.com/en/double-st...

'Double standards': Spain slams EU inaction on Israel deal – DW – 06/26/2025

An EU report concluded Israel might be breaching human rights in Gaza. The bloc could suspend a major trade deal, but it won't. A brief hardening towards Israel appears to have dissipated after recent...

dw.com

In a new @crisisgroup.org 'Analyst Notebook' my colleague Marta Musiol unpacks the outcome of the NATO summit with all its pledges and ambiguities. 👇 www.crisisgroup.org/rss.xml

How war became contagious - on.ft.com/3GdXS5Z via @FT "Drones improve by the month, changing the geopolitical calculus."

How war became contagious

With peaceful norms fading, a new weapon has made conflict cheaper and easier

on.ft.com

NATO gathers: as U.S. recalibrates its role & Russia presses Ukraine, a certain amount of improvisation seems destined to be part of Europe’s security architecture, both when it comes to war in Ukraine & when it comes to other future challenges. www.crisisgroup.org/global-usrus... @crisisgroup.org

A Way Forward for Europe’s Coalitions of the Willing | International Crisis Group

Whatever the forthcoming NATO summit decides, the alliance’s European members are preparing for a continuing threat from Russia and reduced U.S. support for Ukrainian and regional security. To this en...

crisisgroup.org

Overdue. EU’s stance (or let’s rather say, non-stance) on Israel/ Gaza massively harms its credibility as a supporter of the rules-based international order.

Lisa Musiol@lisamusiol.bsky.social · last yr.

The EU “missed an important opportunity to make clear to the Israeli government that its policies in Gaza and the West Bank have long crossed a red line and will come at a cost for EU-Israel relations”. My quote in @theguardian.com coverage of yesterday's FAC. www.theguardian.com/world/2025/j...

The EU “missed an important opportunity to make clear to the Israeli government that its policies in Gaza and the West Bank have long crossed a red line and will come at a cost for EU-Israel relations”. My quote in @theguardian.com coverage of yesterday's FAC. www.theguardian.com/world/2025/j...

EU may take action against Israel if conditions in Gaza do not improve

Bloc’s foreign affairs chief warns of a response unless action is taken to ‘stop the suffering’ in Gaza Strip

theguardian.com

“The head-spinning course changes on Iran revealed once again how the US president alternates between blustery threats, efforts to cut deals, extreme measures and sudden victory laps — even when momentous issues are at stake.”

‘Regime change’ or peace: Donald Trump’s head-spinning Iran policy

President claims another Middle East war has ended — just days after the US joined it

on.ft.com

As the #NATO summit kicks off today, with my colleagues @olyaoliker.bsky.social and Marta Mucznik, we analayse the role that improvised platforms for cooperation may play in European security going forward. 👇 www.crisisgroup.org/global-usrus...

A Way Forward for Europe’s Coalitions of the Willing | International Crisis Group

Whatever the forthcoming NATO summit decides, the alliance’s European members are preparing for a continuing threat from Russia and reduced U.S. support for Ukrainian and regional security. To this en...

crisisgroup.org

❗Important new @crisisgroup.org statement on #EU, #Gaza & #Israel. Words are not enough. For EU governments to help change Israel’s policy, they need to throw more of their economic and diplomatic weight into signalling to Israel that the Gaza campaign must end. bit.ly/3FFM0t5

Europe on Gaza: Words Are Not Enough | International Crisis Group

A rising chorus of European states have condemned Israel’s military campaign in the Gaza Strip after months of siege and bombardment. While much depends on Washington, European leaders have levers at ...

crisisgroup.org

“South Sudan is one major escalation away from slipping into a new civil war” @crisisgroup.org Horn of Africa Director Alan Boswell @nytimes.com. www.nytimes.com/2025/03/17/w...

How South Sudan Returned to the Brink of War

An attack on a U.N. helicopter has highlighted rising tensions in the world’s youngest country, where a seven-year-old peace deal looks ever more fragile.

nytimes.com