Thanks all 😍 happy deadline day

FPL Cheetah@fplcheetah.bsky.social · 2y ago

@livefpl.net to other price predictions models

Another night of LiveFPL predicting 100% of rises and falls 🙏 🔼 Salah, Palmer, Jackson, J Pedro, Amad, AWB and Burgess 🔽 Madueke + Doku + White + Nkunku + Raul + Fatawu + Deivid + Murphy + Vicario + Khannous + Johnstone + Steele + Disasi

Still 6 hours till price changes but here is how predictions look at the moment (www.livefpl.net/prices) ⬆️ Salah + Jackson + Palmer + Amad + AWB + J Pedro + potentially: Saka + Kluivert + Kerkez + Burgess ⬇️ Diaz + Raul + Madueke + VdV + White + Dunk + McNeil

Good predictions! 🔼 Aina 🔽 Mbeumo + Konate + Elanga + Bruno G + Duran + Andreas + G. Rodriguez + Walton + Neto All predicted to change (except Neto at -99.91%) ✅ J Pedro no rise ✅

All risers and fallers were predicted by LiveFPL! 🔼 Saka + Odegaard + Cunha + Mitoma + VVD + Porro + Onana + RAN + Mazraoui + Young 🔽Haaland + Bernardo + Gvardiol + ESR + Vardy + Rogers + Adama + Scott + Munoz + Lewis + keane + Da Silva + Iroegbunam We had 2 false rise alarms

Early predictions for price changes tonight (www.livefpl.net/prices) ⬆️11 players: Porro + RAN + Mazraoui + Mitoma + VVD + Onana + Odegaard + Young + Aina + Saka + Cunha ⬇️Haaland, Semenyo (if red flag stays), Dunk, Raul, Lewis, Gvardiol, Vardy, ESR, Rogers, Watkins, Neto, White, VdV, Keane, ...

🥇 @livefpl.net - 3/4 rise, 3/5 drop, 1 false positive (VVD), bunch of false negatives. Only one who didn't have Haaland dropping & other 2/5 price drops were at 99%+ 🥈 FPL Statistics - 3/4 rise, 1/5 drop, 0 false positives, TAA & Haaland, bunch other false negatives. Other 4/5 price drops were 99%+

End of Gameweek 12 with Newcastle blanks Overall average is 48 Top10k average is 57 Elite average is 61

On to the results from today: 🥇 @livefpl.net - 3/3 rises, 3/3 drops, 1 false positive, a bunch of false negatives (similar across all sites). 🥈 FPL Statistics - 2/3 rises, 3/3 drops, 2 false positives, a bunch of false negatives. They had Veltman at 97.5%.

Price Changes (again 100% all rises and falls were predicted by LiveFPL) ⬆️ Salah + Saka + Veltman ⬇️ Diaz + McNeil + Faes Isak is the biggest false positive, didn't rise. Gabriel ended the day at 99.5%.

Price Changes (100% of both risers and fallers were predicted by LiveFPL!) 🔼 Bruno + Cunha + Joao Pedro 🔽 Haaland + Solanke + Raul + Bowen + Sancho + Mateta + Rice + Pau + Mavropanos + O'Reilly

Early Price Change Predictions (www.livefpl.net/prices): ⬆️ Bruno + Cunha + Joao Pedro. Veltman and Hojlund close ⬇️ Haaland + Solanke + Raul + Diaz + McNeil + Mateta + Rice + Foden + Pau + Bowen + Munoz + many others below 1% ownership.

The heartbreak continues for both Pep and Haaland owners/captainers.. Haaland is also set to fall in price tonight (according to www.livefpl.net/prices) from 15.2 to 15.1. If you bought at 15, it will affect your selling value.

Appreciate the analysis and hopefully we will keep learning more lessons about the price changes mechanics and get more accurate with time 🙏

Aris@arisfpl.bsky.social · 2y ago

🎖️ MEDALS FOR TODAY 🎖️ VERY clarifying data today 👀. We tallied 🧮 a score by giving 2 pts for correct predictions & -1 for incorrect ones. Two predictors stood head & shoulders above the rest. 🥇 @livefpl.net - 5/5 correct rises, 8/11 correct drops, 1 false rise, 4 false drops - final score of 21

Haven't been active today, how is bluesky doing compared to twitter on matchday?

Price Changes ⬆️ Salah + ESR + Murillo + Ait-Nouri + Fabianski (all predicted correctly) ⬇️TAA + Johnson + Duran + Vardy + Akanji + Sinisterra + Lewis + Dibling + Amo Ameyaw + Maddison + Forster

Early predictions based on current transfer trends (www.livefpl.net/prices) 🔼RAN + Fabianski + Salah + Murillo 🔽Vardy + Duran + Lewis + Johnson + Munoz + Mateta + ... Predictions may change. TAA not predicted to drop because of flag. Haaland not predicted either as 2nd fall is difficult

Only Evanilson ⬆️ (We had him at 98.7%) Not the best predictions tonight 🙏 However, TAA did not fall and Haaland did not fall, both confirming some rules we are speculating

LiveFPL@livefpl.net · 2y ago

Early predictions for price changes (livefpl.net/prices) ⬆️ Fabianski. Evanilson will depend on the next few hours ⬇️ Vardy + Duran + Dubravka + Ortega. Keep checking near the price change time as there is a heavy transfer activity going on that could change predictions

Early predictions for price changes (livefpl.net/prices) ⬆️ Fabianski. Evanilson will depend on the next few hours ⬇️ Vardy + Duran + Dubravka + Ortega. Keep checking near the price change time as there is a heavy transfer activity going on that could change predictions

The Haaland Price Change Theory: I am experimenting with a theory that could explain why Haaland didn't drop twice last gameweek (and hence may not drop again before the deadline). Without this theory, he should drop tonight. So we will see how it goes! Here is the theory:

Well, I've informally tracked this for quite a while and today's outcome was pretty much as I would expect. @livefpl.net has really gotten a handle on some things that Fix & FFH don't. FPL Statistics is also very good, but not as good as Live FPL.

Medals for Today: Everyone had Pedro. Beyond that, very interesting. 🏅 @livefpl.net - nailed Garner 🥈 FPL Statistics - had Garner at 99.9, but had a handful of others in line for a change Fix and FFH don't get on the podium today. Way too many drops predicted that didn't come to pass

Yes sir 🫡 ⬆️ Joao Pedro ⬇️ Garner All according to plan www.livefpl.net/prices

LiveFPL@livefpl.net · 2y ago

LiveFPL Price Change Prediction for Tonight (livefpl.net/prices) ⬆️ Joao Pedro ⬇️ A couple of low owned players Duran close to fall, Fabianski close to rise but probably not today Remember to check the link before 1:30 am GMT in case something changes 🙏 Good luck

LiveFPL Price Change Prediction for Tonight (livefpl.net/prices) ⬆️ Joao Pedro ⬇️ A couple of low owned players Duran close to fall, Fabianski close to rise but probably not today Remember to check the link before 1:30 am GMT in case something changes 🙏 Good luck

Raya + McCarthy fall ⬇️ Both predicted to fall. Pedro didn't rise

Miguel down ✅ No risers ✅ Raya + Duran still not falling ❌ I am getting more and more confident in the accuracy of the prediction model at www.livefpl.net/prices

oh my freaking days, look at that prediction!

livefpl.net/prices We're basically predicting no price changes today. Welbeck should be very close to rise though, Duran and Raya close to fall. We don't think any of the following players is close to change soon: Joao Pedro, RAN, Vardy, Lewis, Haaland, Salah

www.livefpl.net/prices (scroll to bottom) I wrote a short piece about my understanding of price changes after toying around with understanding how it works for 3 months now. Not the longest period, but I believe I am now familiar with the main struggles in predicting changes 🙏