It's been a while since I logged in! A lot has happened in the world...
MacV
@macvsog.bsky.social
Geopolitics & Security | Ex Schola Agentes in Rebus | Collegium Regale Londinense
Losing two more A-50 "Mainstay" AEW aircraft cripples Russia’s aerial C2 network. Massive gaps now emerge in radar coverage, degrading early warning, integrated SAM performance, and deep-strike bomber coordination. Russia forced into defensive crouch, ceding air tempo to Ukraine. (1/6)
Russia’s Peace Proposal = Capitulation... At Turkey peace talks, Russia demanded Ukraine withdraw all troops from Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson & Zaporizhzhia—only then would Russia agree to a ceasefire. Ukraine still controls parts of these. A non-starter.
Russia's military building up at Finland's border over potential NATO clash, WSJ reports kyivindependent.com/russia-milit...
Russia's military building up at Finland's border over potential NATO clash, WSJ reports
These efforts include expanding military bases near the Russian city of Petrozavodsk, around 160 kilometers (100 miles) east of Finland, the planned site for a new headquarters that could potentially ...
kyivindependent.com
Phoenica: Toward a Programming Language of Trade, Trust, and Maritime Memory medium.com/@macvsogjc/p...
Phoenica: Toward a Programming Language of Trade, Trust, and Maritime Memory
I. The Orangery Hypothesis
medium.com
The international rules-based order, once upheld as a triumph of civilization over brute force, has collapsed with barely a murmur. In its place stands a world dictated by strongmen Putin, Trump, Xi Jinping who make deals as they please, unburdened by law, precedent, or principle.
Trump says he thinks the annexation of Greenland will happen. Trump is taking a leaf out of Putin's playbook. This is unprecedented, and the international rules based order no longer exists. www.cnbc.com/2025/03/13/t...
Trump on U.S. annexation of Greenland: 'I think it'll happen'
"We don't want to be Americans. No, we don't want to be Danes. We want to be Greenlanders," said Jens-Frederik Nielsen of the island's Demokraatit party.
cnbc.com
EUs President comments on the proposed cease fire talls.
We welcome today’s news from Jeddah on the U.S.-Ukraine talks, including the proposal for a ceasefire agreement and the resumption of U.S. intelligence sharing and security assistance. This is a positive development that can be a step towards a comprehensive, just and lasting peace for Ukraine.
BREAKING Russian State Duma Deputy Viktor Sobolev on the ceasefire proposal: “absolutely unacceptable" and goes on to say that such a truce would only 'play into the hands of Ukrainian fascists', allowing them to 'regroup and rearm'.
🚨 Today, X (formerly Twitter) suffered a massive DDoS attack, with Dark Storm Team claiming responsibility. Elon Musk confirmed the disruption, highlighting the scale and coordination. This attack underscores the growing threat of hacktivist-driven cyber warfare. 🌐💻 1/3
While Trump casts doubt on NATO policy, B-52s make first ever bomb drops over Lapland www.thebarentsobserver.com/security/whi...
While Trump casts doubt on NATO policy, B-52s make first ever bomb drops over Lapland
This is the first time bombs have been dropped by United States strategic bombers, hitting targets in Rovajärvi firing range, a short 100 km from Finland's northern border with Russia.
thebarentsobserver.com
There are some terrible scenes coming out of Syria at the moment. HTS carrying out reprisal executions against allawite civilians including children. Grim watching. It's clear the honeymoon period is over and the challenge in managing the deep rooted sectarian hatred within HTS will continue.
Despite 🇺🇸 scaling back intel sharing, 🇬🇧🇫🇷🇩🇪🇵🇱 also provide SIGINT, satellite data & HUMINT incl. via NATO & EU partners. Kyiv won’t be left blind conpletely blind. Western ISR assets still monitor 🇷🇺 movements. Intelligence systems will adapt, and warfighting will evolve to meet this. 🛰️📡
BREAKING: Norway increases support to Ukraine to $7.8bn. Støre says: "Europe is now in a historically important phase" www.nrk.no/norge/store_...
Støre: Ukraina-støtten økes til 85 milliarder kroner
Partiene på Stortinget er enige om å øke støtten til Ukraina med 50 milliarder kroner til 85 milliarder i 2025. Det kom frem etter et møte mellom de parlamentariske lederne på Stortinget.
nrk.no
UK and France 'refining peace plan' to present to US within 'days not weeks' news.sky.com/story/trump-...
Ukraine war latest: Russia threatens all of Europe, Macron tells France; White House defends Musk's lack of a suit
Zelenskyy's top aide says American and Ukrainian teams have agreed to meet again. Earlier, the US cut off intelligence sharing with Ukraine. Listen to the latest episode of The World below as you scro...
news.sky.com
President Zelensky makes a statement about the meeting in the Oval Office with President Trump and VP Vance last Friday. x.com/ZelenskyyUa/...
Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський on X: "I would like to reiterate Ukraine’s commitment to peace. None of us wants an endless war. Ukraine is ready to come to the negotiating table as soon as possible to bring lasting peace closer. Nobody wants peace more than Ukrainians. My team and I stand ready to work under" / X
I would like to reiterate Ukraine’s commitment to peace. None of us wants an endless war. Ukraine is ready to come to the negotiating table as soon as possible to bring lasting peace closer. Nobody wants peace more than Ukrainians. My team and I stand ready to work under
x.com
Alnur Mussayev, ex-Kazakh KNB chief, posted 20 Feb 2025: 'In 1987, I served in KGB 6th Directorate, Moscow. Recruited U.S. businessman Donald Trump, age 40, as 'Krasnov'.
There is a lot of discussion on various platforms about US funds sent to Ukraine and if they're missing. There are a lot of gullible people buying straight into Putin's playbook. Please read some credible sources on this. www.csis.org/analysis/whe...
Where Is the Missing $100 Billion in U.S. Aid for Ukraine?
“I don’t know where all the money is"—CSIS expert Mark Cancian covers the facts behind Ukraine’s “missing” $100 billion.
csis.org
If anyone needs some lazy Sunday TV watching... I can recommend 'The Making of "The Battle of Britain' with a rather cool Michael Caine presenting. youtu.be/q9feW93AZf8?...
The making of "The Battle of Britain" movie (1969).
YouTube video by Gunit
youtu.be
7 🚨 Danish intelligence warns: 🇷🇺 could be ready for a large-scale war in Europe within 5 years. If the war in Ukraine ends or freezes, Moscow may shift its focus westward. NATO must prepare. 🛡️📡 1/7
Sweden innovates with drone swarms. They are starting to prove their worth to NATO far more then many existing members who fail miserably.... www.defensenews.com/global/europ...
Sweden unveils drone swarm to be paired with ground troops
In a demonstration video, a formation of 10 quadcopters is seen taking off and relaying video footage from above snowy forests to ground operators.
defensenews.com
On 14 Jan 2025, 🇺🇦 launched precision strikes deep into 🇷🇺, using Storm Shadow cruise missiles, ATACMS ballistic missiles, and over 140 drones. Targets included Bryansk, Tula, Kazan, and Saratov regions, showcasing Ukraine's advanced strike capabilities. 🛡️✈️ 1/5
Stavanger-Sola Air Base, a critical hub for Norway's military and NATO, is in disrepair. 3 of 4 taxiways are closed due to years of neglect. While 500M NOK is earmarked for upgrades, Avinor has yet to present a concrete maintenance plan. Operational readiness is at risk. 1/3
Gram om Sola: Nedprioritert over mange år
Avinor har satt ned foten for militær aktivitet på Sola fordi taksebanene er i så dårlig forfatning. Lokal- og stortingspolitikere har bedt forsvarsministeren ta grep.
forsvaretsforum.no
I've been working on an OSINT tool to analyse the Russian Shadow Fleet. This is a very early Proof of Concept. At the moment I'm avoiding subscription services as they actually have severe limitations on the fleet sizes 1/2
Hong Kong-flagged freighter XIN XIN TIAN 2 has been shadowed by NATO units the last 12 hours as she is leaving Baltic Sea. XXT2 was just ahead of EAGLE S as the Gulf of Finland cables broke. She showed no track irregularities, but is conspicious by family bands to old saboteur Newnew Polar Bear.
How NATO Intelligence Could Disrupt Russian Maritime Intelligence Activities... Thread below:
UPDATE! Facinating details emerge. Russia's "dark fleet" tanker Eagle S (Cook Islands-flagged) seized by 🇫🇮 reveals covert ops in the Baltic. Equipped w/ SIGINT devices, it sabotaged Estlink 2 power cables. Finnish forces ID’d this as a hybrid warfare escalation against NATO infrastructure. 🛡️⚡ 1/7
UPDATE! Facinating details emerge. Russia's "dark fleet" tanker Eagle S (Cook Islands-flagged) seized by 🇫🇮 reveals covert ops in the Baltic. Equipped w/ SIGINT devices, it sabotaged Estlink 2 power cables. Finnish forces ID’d this as a hybrid warfare escalation against NATO infrastructure. 🛡️⚡ 1/7
🚨On Dec 25, 🇫🇮 executed a high-risk tactical operation against the 🇷🇺linked tanker Eagle S (IMO:9329760), suspected of severing critical undersea cables. The mission was conducted by the Border Guard Special Intervention Unit (SIU) and Police "Bear Unit" - elite forces trained to SOF standards. 🛡️⚓ 1/8
UPDATE! Facinating details emerge. Russia's "dark fleet" tanker Eagle S (Cook Islands-flagged) seized by 🇫🇮 reveals covert ops in the Baltic. Equipped w/ SIGINT devices, it sabotaged Estlink 2 power cables. Finnish forces ID’d this as a hybrid warfare escalation against NATO infrastructure. 🛡️⚡ 1/7
🚨On Dec 25, 🇫🇮 executed a high-risk tactical operation against the 🇷🇺linked tanker Eagle S (IMO:9329760), suspected of severing critical undersea cables. The mission was conducted by the Border Guard Special Intervention Unit (SIU) and Police "Bear Unit" - elite forces trained to SOF standards. 🛡️⚓ 1/8