MacV

@macvsog.bsky.social

Geopolitics & Security | Ex Schola Agentes in Rebus | Collegium Regale Londinense

Losing two more A-50 "Mainstay" AEW aircraft cripples Russia’s aerial C2 network. Massive gaps now emerge in radar coverage, degrading early warning, integrated SAM performance, and deep-strike bomber coordination. Russia forced into defensive crouch, ceding air tempo to Ukraine. (1/6)

Russia’s Peace Proposal = Capitulation... At Turkey peace talks, Russia demanded Ukraine withdraw all troops from Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson & Zaporizhzhia—only then would Russia agree to a ceasefire. Ukraine still controls parts of these. A non-starter.

The international rules-based order, once upheld as a triumph of civilization over brute force, has collapsed with barely a murmur. In its place stands a world dictated by strongmen Putin, Trump, Xi Jinping who make deals as they please, unburdened by law, precedent, or principle.

BREAKING Russian State Duma Deputy Viktor Sobolev on the ceasefire proposal: “absolutely unacceptable" and goes on to say that such a truce would only 'play into the hands of Ukrainian fascists', allowing them to 'regroup and rearm'.

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🚨 Today, X (formerly Twitter) suffered a massive DDoS attack, with Dark Storm Team claiming responsibility. Elon Musk confirmed the disruption, highlighting the scale and coordination. This attack underscores the growing threat of hacktivist-driven cyber warfare. 🌐💻 1/3

There are some terrible scenes coming out of Syria at the moment. HTS carrying out reprisal executions against allawite civilians including children. Grim watching. It's clear the honeymoon period is over and the challenge in managing the deep rooted sectarian hatred within HTS will continue.

Despite 🇺🇸 scaling back intel sharing, 🇬🇧🇫🇷🇩🇪🇵🇱 also provide SIGINT, satellite data & HUMINT incl. via NATO & EU partners. Kyiv won’t be left blind conpletely blind. Western ISR assets still monitor 🇷🇺 movements. Intelligence systems will adapt, and warfighting will evolve to meet this. 🛰️📡

Alnur Mussayev, ex-Kazakh KNB chief, posted 20 Feb 2025: 'In 1987, I served in KGB 6th Directorate, Moscow. Recruited U.S. businessman Donald Trump, age 40, as 'Krasnov'.

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7 🚨 Danish intelligence warns: 🇷🇺 could be ready for a large-scale war in Europe within 5 years. If the war in Ukraine ends or freezes, Moscow may shift its focus westward. NATO must prepare. 🛡️📡 1/7

On 14 Jan 2025, 🇺🇦 launched precision strikes deep into 🇷🇺, using Storm Shadow cruise missiles, ATACMS ballistic missiles, and over 140 drones. Targets included Bryansk, Tula, Kazan, and Saratov regions, showcasing Ukraine's advanced strike capabilities. 🛡️✈️ 1/5

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Stavanger-Sola Air Base, a critical hub for Norway's military and NATO, is in disrepair. 3 of 4 taxiways are closed due to years of neglect. While 500M NOK is earmarked for upgrades, Avinor has yet to present a concrete maintenance plan. Operational readiness is at risk. 1/3

Gram om Sola: Nedprioritert over mange år

Avinor har satt ned foten for militær aktivitet på Sola fordi taksebanene er i så dårlig forfatning. Lokal- og stortingspolitikere har bedt forsvarsministeren ta grep.

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I've been working on an OSINT tool to analyse the Russian Shadow Fleet. This is a very early Proof of Concept. At the moment I'm avoiding subscription services as they actually have severe limitations on the fleet sizes 1/2

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Hong Kong-flagged freighter XIN XIN TIAN 2 has been shadowed by NATO units the last 12 hours as she is leaving Baltic Sea. XXT2 was just ahead of EAGLE S as the Gulf of Finland cables broke. She showed no track irregularities, but is conspicious by family bands to old saboteur Newnew Polar Bear.

UPDATE! Facinating details emerge. Russia's "dark fleet" tanker Eagle S (Cook Islands-flagged) seized by 🇫🇮 reveals covert ops in the Baltic. Equipped w/ SIGINT devices, it sabotaged Estlink 2 power cables. Finnish forces ID’d this as a hybrid warfare escalation against NATO infrastructure. 🛡️⚡ 1/7

MacV@macvsog.bsky.social · 2y ago

🚨On Dec 25, 🇫🇮 executed a high-risk tactical operation against the 🇷🇺linked tanker Eagle S (IMO:9329760), suspected of severing critical undersea cables. The mission was conducted by the Border Guard Special Intervention Unit (SIU) and Police "Bear Unit" - elite forces trained to SOF standards. 🛡️⚓ 1/8

UPDATE! Facinating details emerge. Russia's "dark fleet" tanker Eagle S (Cook Islands-flagged) seized by 🇫🇮 reveals covert ops in the Baltic. Equipped w/ SIGINT devices, it sabotaged Estlink 2 power cables. Finnish forces ID’d this as a hybrid warfare escalation against NATO infrastructure. 🛡️⚡ 1/7

MacV@macvsog.bsky.social · 2y ago

🚨On Dec 25, 🇫🇮 executed a high-risk tactical operation against the 🇷🇺linked tanker Eagle S (IMO:9329760), suspected of severing critical undersea cables. The mission was conducted by the Border Guard Special Intervention Unit (SIU) and Police "Bear Unit" - elite forces trained to SOF standards. 🛡️⚓ 1/8