Mario Holzner
@marioholzner.bsky.social
macro-economist & director @wiiw.ac.at, historian @dshcs.bsky.social, visiting professor @collegeofeurope.bsky.social, policy, econometrics, EU, Central, East & Southeast Europe
🎧The new episode of CEE Exchange: Richard Grieveson & @marioholzner.bsky.social on our new forecast for Central, East, Southeast Europe. With the Iran war, the region's macro outlook shifted, requiring leaders to move beyond "cheap labour" towards a high-tech future. open.spotify.com/episode/4VVK...
The CEE Growth Model in Transition
open.spotify.com
My assessment of the long-term development of the Hungarian economy under Viktor Orbán: The illiberal economy wiiw.ac.at/p-7558.html
The illiberal economy: The long-term development of the Hungarian economy under Viktor Orbán (publication)
This assessment provides a long-term analysis of Hungary’s economic trajectory under the administration of Viktor...
wiiw.ac.at
Europe must grasp the nettle and use enlargement to force deep integration – before delay turns into decline, argues @marioholzner.bsky.social in his new opinion piece. wiiw.ac.at/n-716.html #enlargement #EuropeanUnion #EU #Ukraine
United Europe 2031: Widen, Deepen, Survive (news article)
Europe must grasp the nettle and use enlargement to force deep integration – before delay turns into decline
wiiw.ac.at
My five cents opinion piece on how to manage EU enlargement in a big bang United Europe accession regatta by 2031
wiiw@wiiw.ac.at · 6mo agoEurope must grasp the nettle and use enlargement to force deep integration – before delay turns into decline, argues @marioholzner.bsky.social in his new opinion piece. wiiw.ac.at/n-716.html #enlargement #EuropeanUnion #EU #Ukraine
📢 Coming on December 15... the 4️⃣th edition of @econforhealth.bsky.social #CigaretteTaxScorecard! The 🆕 Scorecard uses latest data from @who.int to assess #cigarette tax policies in 171 countries 🌐 Join us for the launch #webinar at 9am ET to hear from the authors 📽️ jh.zoom.us/j/9242517268...
👉 Explore the full results at geoii.eu and join our online launch event on 1 October, 14:00–15:30 CEST here: ➡️ wiiw.ac.at/how-big-is-t... 10/10
The Geoeconomic Interconnectivity Index
Geoeconomic Interconnectivity Index analyzes evolving trade/investment ties between EU, US, China, Russia 2010-2023 #geoeconomics
geoii.eu
How connected is the 🇪🇺 to its neighbourhood – and how does it perform compared with 🇨🇳, 🇷🇺, and the 🇺🇸? Our new study and index with @bst-europe.bsky.social and ECIPE explain Europe’s economic and political ties with its neighbours. 1/10 🧵#Thread 🔗 geoii.eu
The Geoeconomic Interconnectivity Index
Geoeconomic Interconnectivity Index analyzes evolving trade/investment ties between EU, US, China, Russia 2010-2023 #geoeconomics
geoii.eu
New study with @bst-europe.bsky.social & ECIPE: The 🇪🇺 is gaining influence in Eastern Europe, but losing ground to 🇨🇳 in North Africa and 🇹🇷. The 🇪🇺 should therefore strategically leverage its economic relations with its neighbourhood to remain competitive with 🇨🇳, 🇷🇺, 🇺🇸. wiiw.ac.at/the-eu-is-ga...
The EU is gaining influence in Eastern Europe, but losing ground to China in North Africa and Turkey (news article)
New Geoeconomic Interconnectivity Index (GEOII) shows: The EU should strategically leverage its economic relations with neighbouring countries in...
wiiw.ac.at
Hot off the press: Our new paper by @marioholzner.bsky.social et al.: Local politicians are the primary obstacle to high-speed rail projects in Europe, as shown by the case of the Brenner Base Tunnel in Germany and Austria. #EuropeanSilkRoad Download: ➡️ wiiw.ac.at/p-7397.html
📢Join us on 1 Oct 2025, 18:00 (CET) at the Vienna School of International Studiesfor the event: "Africa’s Impact on Europe’s Future" 🌍🇪🇺 Speakers: Wolfgang Pusztai, @ghainzl.bsky.social , @marioholzner.bsky.social Moderator: Dr. Werner Fasslabend #AIES #Africa #Europe #Geopolitics #Vienna
Tariff at the end of the tunnel Trump's tariffs hit EU exports with 15% duties. Trade drops, prices fall, and output shrinks slightly. EU likely sees balanced welfare effects, but tensions and uncertainty remain. See my latest trade war simulation 👇 wiiw.ac.at/tariff-at-th...
Tariff at the end of the tunnel (news article)
Trump's tariffs hit EU exports with 15% duties. Trade drops, prices fall, and output shrinks slightly. EU likely sees balanced welfare...
wiiw.ac.at
Australia meets Austria on 20 July 2025 at 11:00 @Musikverein 🦘🦘🦘 www.musikverein.at/konzert/?id=...
EU budget: Back to the future – From coal and steel to wind power and drones The EU needs to transform its budget into a fully-fledged fiscal policy instrument. A European Treasury should issue Eurobonds, financing strategic public goods. Pages 35-38: www.eca.europa.eu/ECAPublicati...
eca.europa.eu
“Despite this lack of notoriety, Austria’s [EVG and IMS] are quietly critical for all advanced semiconductor manufacturing . . . , we find it humorous that Austria could single-handedly bring the semiconductor supply chain . . . to its knees.” www.ft.com/content/1c4f...
Austria’s ‘hidden’ tech champions at the core of global chipmaking
Two companies produce the lion’s share of high-tech tools crucial to make chips
ft.com
A pessimistic take on AI's effect on white collar labour markets in the short run... www.axios.com/2025/05/28/a...
Behind the Curtain: Top AI CEO foresees white-collar bloodbath
Hardly anyone is paying attention.
axios.com
As Canada is moving closer to the EU in terms of defence, why not think about a joint 🇨🇦🇪🇺 customs union? We have simulated the potential effects: www.fiw.ac.at/en/publicati...
FIW-PB 67 (Customs) unity as strenght: How the EU and its partners can respond to tariff threats - FIW
Abstract:This Policy Brief explores the potential impact of forming a customs union between the European Union (EU) and key global partners (e.g. Canada, the UK, Mexico and Japan) as a strategic respo...
fiw.ac.at
EU Council@consilium.europa.eu · last yr.🇪🇺 #OnThisDay 39 years ago, the EU’s 12-star flag was raised for the first time outside the @ec.europa.eu building in Brussels. Today, it stands as one of the most recognisable symbols of European unity and identity. Curious to know more about its history and meaning? Learn more ⬇️ europa.eu/!7mbGym
“Fifty years from now, you will want to be able to look in the mirror and know that you did what you thought was right, in every part of your life,” the Fed chair said. “At the end of the day, your integrity is all you have.” on.ft.com/3HoKfAV
Federal Reserve’s Jay Powell urges US university students to protect democracy
US central banker praises American colleges as Trump steps up attacks on Ivy League
on.ft.com
The answer must be (customs) unity - check our latest @CentreFiw policy brief on a simulation of a customs union between 🇪🇺🇬🇧🇨🇦🇲🇽🇯🇵 fiw.ac.at/en/publication…
Join our 59th FIW lecture in Vienna on 22 May at 09:30, where Romana Vlahutin, @ho2604.bsky.social & yours truly, will discuss how the EU and its partners can respond to tariff threats, based on this policy brief: www.fiw.ac.at/en/publicati... Register here 👇👇👇 www.fiw.ac.at/en/event/59-...
FIW-PB 67 (Customs) unity as strenght: How the EU and its partners can respond to tariff threats - FIW
Abstract:This Policy Brief explores the potential impact of forming a customs union between the European Union (EU) and key global partners (e.g. Canada, the UK, Mexico and Japan) as a strategic respo...
fiw.ac.at
You want to know more about @wiiw.ac.at ? Check out our 2024 online annual report - particularly the highlights section...
wiiw@wiiw.ac.at · last yr.Proud to present our new website on our #annualreport2024. Interactive infographics with our key indicators on budget, personnel, projects, publications, media & PR provide an overview of our work. Check it out: ➡️ annual-report.wiiw.ac.at 🧵1/2
Proud to present our new website on our #annualreport2024. Interactive infographics with our key indicators on budget, personnel, projects, publications, media & PR provide an overview of our work. Check it out: ➡️ annual-report.wiiw.ac.at 🧵1/2
Don't miss today, 20 May, 16:00 CET @wiiw.ac.at: What can the rise of China, the decline of the US, and the legacy of Yugoslavia teach us about the future? Great event with Branko Milanovic and Anastas Vangeli. For more: ➡️https://shorturl.at/sunNR
Join our 59th FIW lecture in Vienna on 22 May at 09:30, where Romana Vlahutin, @ho2604.bsky.social & yours truly, will discuss how the EU and its partners can respond to tariff threats, based on this policy brief: www.fiw.ac.at/en/publicati... Register here 👇👇👇 www.fiw.ac.at/en/event/59-...
FIW-PB 67 (Customs) unity as strenght: How the EU and its partners can respond to tariff threats - FIW
Abstract:This Policy Brief explores the potential impact of forming a customs union between the European Union (EU) and key global partners (e.g. Canada, the UK, Mexico and Japan) as a strategic respo...
fiw.ac.at
This year's #RECETFestival on "Migration & Transformation" is coming up. We are ready and excited to welcome you in our festival tent on June 3-June 5, 2025. Visit www.recet.at/festival to find out more about the Festival line-up.
What can the rise of China, the decline of the US, and the legacy of Yugoslavia teach us about the future? Join us for a great event with Branko Milanović and Anastas Vangeli in Vienna on 20 May 2025 at 16:00 @wiiw.ac.at Register here: 👇👇👇 wiiw.ac.at/futures-of-g...
Futures of Global Capitalism: China, the US, and the Lessons of the In-Between – From Sino-Yugoslav Relations to a Post-Globalization World (event)
What can the rise of China, the decline of the US, and the legacy of Yugoslavia teach us about the future?
wiiw.ac.at
Join us on 3 June @wiiw.ac.at Spring Seminar in cooperation with @wien.gv.at & @kdzaustria.bsky.social on "Growing Cities vs. Shrinking Countryside in Central Europe" with our distinguished keynote speakers CoR President Kata Tüttő & @rodriguez-pose.bsky.social Register 👇👇 wiiw.ac.at/spring-semin...
Spring Seminar 2025: Growing Cities vs. Shrinking Countryside in Central Europe (event)
wiiw.ac.at
"consolidate the various stocks of debt already issued with the joint backing of EU member states. A single issuer and set of bonds could over time replace the jigsaw of national bonds, as well as cover all new ones" on.ft.com/3GGii7s
Trump has created a chance for the euro to rival the dollar
European leaders need to shed their political timidity to take the necessary steps
on.ft.com
