More often then not you will lose 11 inning games where your starter leaves after 4 with an injury
Matt Winkelman
@mattwinkelman.bsky.social
Cats, phillies prospects, hopefully less unhinged rants. He/Him. I write things at https://philliesminorthoughts.com/ / @philliesminorthoughts.com
Bowlan’s velocity is down again as he was warmed up the previous two days without need.
JT wasting the last challenge, having a great at bat, and then striking out on a pitch that should have been a walk is perfect
I bet it takes over a month for the broadcast to realize Raley isn't that good. It might take Mattingly longer
I was thinking about trades and chains of trades last night, so I just wrote something fun about it.
A Little Phillies Trade Diversion
The trade deadline is stressful and it is a time of loss and new hope. Which of course is why after it I was left wondering how far back trade chains go after the Phillies traded Seth Johnson to the Athletics. Of course last night Sam McWilliams pitched against the Lehigh Valley IronPigs and kicked this diversion into high gear.
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Well he didn't retire so it isn't a Jeremy Guthrie situation. But also this is the type of arm available, and probably was available in trade. Maybe a guy like this is will to be stashed in AAA, but there is so much more upside in rolling with Painter.
The fact that there are at least 4 rankings of prospects traded at the deadline from what are considered the industry expert sites and they wildly at odds with each other about the top players traded should say a lot about trades, rankings, and the deadline, but it probably won't sink in.
I for one thought Eric Lauer would continue to run a sub .200 BABIP with the Dodgers
Gabriel Azocar, Luis Gonzalez, Rainy Mota, Pedro Peralta, Trent Farquhar, Liover Peguero, Riley Tirotta, and Nikau Pouaka-Grego were released
Assuming my math is right, the Phillies have 4 days to free up 10 minor league roster spots for draftees and UDFA signings. I expect some maybe in the FCL, but AAA also now suddenly has a ton of hitters.
Last call for mailbag questions as part of the Phillies minor league July retrospective
The difference in ERA and ERA estimators and how they drive WAR is continuously interesting with Jesus Luzardo, but you are essentially arguing is a top 10 or top 15 pitcher. What is amazing to me given everything prior to his time in Philly is that he is tied for 4th in IP since the start of 2025.
The IronPigs faced Noah Song and Sam McWilliams tonight. For those are asking, who is Sam McWilliams? He was the Phillies 2014 8th rd pick who they traded for Jeremy Hellickson who they traded for Garrett Cleavinger who they traded for Jose Alvarado
Anyone willing to track who gets warm each game? Getting usage is easy, but there is no public tracking and that is another game with Bowlan getting up and not used.
Why does Mattingly insist on constantly warming up everyone in the bullpen every game. Can his son explain to him that we don’t do that anymore? I don’t care if it is the one that is the GM or the teenage one.
Why does Mattingly insist on constantly warming up everyone in the bullpen every game. Can his son explain to him that we don’t do that anymore? I don’t care if it is the one that is the GM or the teenage one.
Yesterday I called him the Willians Astudillo we were promised and as someone who was talking about Astudillo all the way back in 2012, the player is quite fun
*extremely Marge Simpson voice* I just think he’s neat.
The thing about Luis Arraez is that he is a good hitter that fans of a certain age bracket think is an elite offensive player. If he is playing a solid second base he is a quite good all around player. It just feels like the battle lines always end up as you have to think he is HoFer or he sucks.
Caden Bogenpohl’s first pro homer finishes off a seven-pitch AB and gives Clearwater a 2-0 lead. It goes 393 feet at 102.4 mph for the second round pick
Phillies 13th-round pick Brayden Bakes hits a moonshot for his first pro hit, a 429-foot solo home run at 106.6 mph gives Clearwater a 3-0 lead
Having Bohm bat behind Arraez is just an automatic double play every single game.
Will Gasparino walks (and steals a base) and then Caden Bogenpohl follows up with a home run. Just how they drew it up in the draft room
It was on my mind today, here is a comparison of roster today to NLDS (which was 14 hitter/12 pitchers). Out: Marchan, Kemp, Bader, Castellanos, Kepler, Wilson, Banks, Strahm, Suarez, Robertson, Walker In: Stubbs, De La Cruz, Hill, Arraez, Crawford, Wheeler, Painter, Bowlan, Kilian, Raley, Shugart
In the inevitable Sosa-Harper-De La Cruz outfield, who is playing center field?
Don Mattingly indicated everything is possible in New Phillies Order. Harper could be lifted for defense late in games. He might not. Stott and Bohm could end up back at their normal positions if subs are needed. Arraez could play first if needed. There are no rules.
A nice play by Juan Parra with the infield in to make a strong accurate throw home that gave Nelson Prieto plenty of time to make a nice pivot and throw to first for the double play.
DSL Phillies dance out of a bases load jam to win 4-3. They move to 29-17 and a 2.5 game lead in their division.
It looks like Washington is using a lefty opener so the Phillies are stacking lefties at the bottom of the lineup like it is a RH SP, but hoping they are far enough down to keep them away from the opener. Interesting strategy.
Assuming my math is right, the Phillies have 4 days to free up 10 minor league roster spots for draftees and UDFA signings. I expect some maybe in the FCL, but AAA also now suddenly has a ton of hitters.
Doing some arm chair pitch stuff, and the low hanging fruit on Kilian is that his fastballs has cut and ride, and he gets misses up in the zone with it. Predictably his sinker performs best off of that (so bottom third in on righties), but he doesn't throw it there that often.
I don't know if it files under 4-D chess, galaxy brain, conspiracy theory, cope. Is there a chance that Harper has been so bad defensively at 1B and Rincones, et al have been so bad in RF that part of this weirdly works out. I don't know what happened, but Harper's defense has dragged everyone down.
Week 19 in the Phillies system, Jonathan Hogart is mashing lefties, Mavis Graves is a reliever, DSL Phillies keep hitting, and Bryan Rincon has a Bryan Rincon week
Phillies Minor League Recap (Week 19 7/28-8/3)
This Week's Schedule Lehigh Valley (51-47) @ Worcester (56-47) Reading (50-52) @ Richmond (60-40) Jersey Shore (40-60) vs Frederick (59-39) Clearwater (60-40) vs Tampa (59-42) DSL Phillies (28-17) Hitter Spotlight OF Jonathan Hogart 5 G 9-19 1 2B 3 HR 14 RBI 5 BB 6 K .474/.560/1.000 Much like former teammate Nathan Humphreys, Hogart was brought in as an undrafted free agent by the Phillies in 2025.
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