Michael McKee

@mckonomy.bsky.social

International economics and policy for Bloomberg. And some snark Usually 35,000 feet above somewhere ✈️

Without going into all of the deals being made at the MLB trade deadline, it's pretty safe to say that there are a lot of teams who view themselves as contenders at the moment.

In addition to the potential unfolding WUI wildfire disaster in Spokane, WA, numerous other large & fast-moving fires (existing & new) are blowing up under extremely critical fire weather conditions & severe drought conditions from eastern slopes of Cascades eastward into ID/MT.

Snapshot from NOAA Wildland Fire Data Portal depicting numerous large smoke plumes and fire heat signatures (red, orange, and pink pixels) across eastern WA/OR, ID, MT, and southern British Columbia.

*TRUMP ORDERS ATTACK ON IRAN FOR AS SOON AS THIS WEEKEND: WSJ *WARSH CONSIDERS REDUCING FREQUENCY OF FED POLICY MEETINGS: NYT *FED'S MUSALEM SAYS EXPRESSED PREFERENCE TO RAISE RATES: FT *US TREASURY INTERVENED IN YEN EXCHANGE RATES ON FRIDAY : FT

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*UEFA MEMBERS AGREE TO BOYCOTT WORLD CUP *UEFA: TEAMS WONT PLAY AS LONG AS PROPOSALS REMAIN ALIVE *UEFA: NO NATIONAL TEAMS WILL PARTICIPATE IN FIFA COMPETITIONS *UEFA REJECT FIFA PROPOSAL TO TRANSFER WORLD CUP OWNERSHIP ETTD?

The very stable genius seems to be calling for a substantial Fed rate increase this week. Comments to reporters on AF1: "We should have the lowest interest rate in the world. Like it used to be 30 years ago. We always made the lowest rate." Rates mid-1996:

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June 17 Fed Minutes: "Almost all...indicated that some policy firming would likely be warranted...(if) inflation would remain elevated due to strong AI-related demand, the conflict in the Middle East, or the effects of tariffs." ✅ Demand (Google) ✅Middle East ($100 Brent) ✅Tariffs (Canada)