Migration Observatory

@migobs.bsky.social

The Migration Observatory at the University of Oxford provides independent, authoritative, evidence-based analysis on UK migration.

Can immigration policy deliver everything people want from it? Our Director Madeleine Sumption discusses the ideas behind her new book, What Is Immigration Policy For?, including why immigration policy involves difficult trade-offs. Check it out 👉 www.civilserviceworld.com/in-depth/art...

'Immigration policies often just don’t work very well': Interview with migration expert Madeleine Sumption

Why does migration policy cause so much division? And what might help to resolve it?

civilserviceworld.com

The Migration Advisory Committee has published its recommendation on which middle-skill jobs should be eligible for temporary work visas via the Temporary Shortage List. The headline? Welders and other more technical jobs are in. Jobs that are more generic (e.g., Business sales executives) are out.

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Between Jan 2021 and March 2026, 52k international students switched into the care sector (44% of people who switched from study to work visas). Will these study-to-care switchers stay in the sector? That will depend on whether the qualifying period for ILR is increased from 5 to 15 years... (1/2)

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In 2021, foreign nationals were slightly less likely to live in social housing than British citizens. However, the share of new social housing lettings in England to non-UK nationals has increased in recent years, likely due to their rising share in the population.

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Since 2024, the earnings of new non-EU employees (relative to the median) have fallen back significantly, despite the fact that restrictions introduced in 2024/2025 made the work visa system more selective. Why?

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A mention for my new book in the Economist - and the (I think?) rarely mentioned point that the same set of policies would deliver higher migration in the UK than in less attractive destinations All else equal we should expect UK work/study policies to be a bit more restrictive

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Our fully updated briefing on asylum accommodation in the UK is out! We look at the rise and fall of hotel use, where asylum seekers live, and the share of people who do not receive government support 👇https://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/briefings/asylum-accommodation-in-the-uk/

Asylum accommodation in the UK - Migration Observatory

This briefing examines the accommodation of asylum seekers in the UK.

migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk

68% of the increase in the UK’s population growth between 2005 and 2024 was due to net migration, and ONS projections assume this will rise to 144% in the coming years—in other words, the population would decline without net migration. See our updated briefing for more.

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New Migration Advisory Committee analysis: which people on skilled worker visas stay long term vs leave the UK? Most likely to remain long term are lower-paid workers, health & care workers, women, young people, people granted first SW visa in-country, and ppl from lower-income countries of origin

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How does your local area compare with others on migration? With local elections this week, we've just published a new edition of our local data guide. Explore how each local authority profiles on immigration, foreign students, asylum seekers and more. migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/projects/loc...

Local data on migrants in the UK - Migration Observatory

This guide has been developed to help people answer key questions about migrants in local areas around the UK: How many migrants are there in different local areas? How is this changing over time? Wha...

migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk

“I think the book should be compulsory reading for every civil servant at the Home Office and every MP” - Former Home Secretary Amber Rudd on Madeleine Sumption's new book "What is Immigration Policy For?" Link to the book in the reply, for those civil servants and MPs who don't have their copy yet

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ONS significantly downgrades UK population growth forecast on the back of falling net migration - with net migration central estimate reduced from 340k per year to 230k (means population of the UK would hit 71m by 2034, rather than 72.2m, as projected in 2022)

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How much do migrants on Skilled Worker visas get paid? New FOI data show big differences by skill level and whether the job was in healthcare or other industries. For context, median earnings for full-time employees were £39,000 over the same period.

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