I'm running an RCT on an anti-poverty program and I am curious how you think it will go. Methodologically, I am also exploring new ways of conducting mechanism analysis in experiments. Please consider answering this prediction survey: socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/cc...

Mechanisms Behind Poverty Graduation Programs

The study explores the mechanisms behind the success of Ultra-Poor Graduation Programs (UPGs), aiming to reduce extreme poverty through a livelihood intervention that bundles monthly cash transfers, g...

socialscienceprediction.org

TFW you wonder when the World Bank might release their 2024 PPP conversion factors because you need them for your job market paper… and then they announce that the next release is just a few days away 🥰

Sebastião Salgado has passed away 😢 He photographed the Rwandan genocide and so many other humanitarian catastrophes. Without him, the world might have never been able to imagine the horrors of what happened there. Toward the end of his career, he found that he could no longer photograph humans.

This is just a quick appreciation post for applied econometricians. I’m writing three papers right now and the methods I use did not yet exist when (or our understanding has dramatically improved since) I started my PhD. Amazingly timely ❤️

@moritzpoll.bsky.social now shows preliminary result on whether poverty alleviation should be scaled within or across villages. He finds negative spillovers to treating more households in the same village, households tend to enter the same industry (retail) leading to more competition. #OxCSAE2025

Keynote at @oxfordcsae.bsky.social #OxCSAE2025 by James Robinson

Very cool technology evaluated by @berberkramer.bsky.social : Evaluating crop loss for insurance payout with crop/field photos. Encouraging uptake results! ideas.repec.org/p/ags/aaea22...

The CSAE Conference has started! Welcome to all of our delegates. #OxCSAE2025

Good morning, Oxford

Learned an interesting thing from Leslie Maasdorp @britishintinv.bsky.social about the fundamental rules of development finance: When you set up a development bank like the World Bank, you sign that you will never get the money back that you put in. Pulling out entirely is not a sensible option.

Back in Oxford for the @oxfordcsae.bsky.social #CSAE2025 Conference 💙

Excited to see that #EconTwitter has found a new home on #EconSky Curious to see if we can rebuild the magic. I’m Moritz, I work on poverty alleviation programs and rural markets and I’ll be on the academic job market this Fall.