Tired: AI is bad at predicting Supreme Court case outcomes because it's led astray by coverage emphasizing partisan splits. Wired: Virtually all academic Supreme Court case prediction discourse is a waste of time, and moving beyond it would make everyone more productive.
This paper tests #GPT-5, Gemini 2.5 Pro, Claude Sonnet 4.5 & Grok 4 on every SCOTUS argued case from OT 2025. Accuracy looked good until you realise most of it just reflected the Court's usual ideological alignment, not actual legal analysis. spkl.io/633247zQpk #AI #LegalTech