Does anyone know which 7th the Colts sent to the Chiefs in the Josh Downs trade? I have them with two: their own, and Buffalo's from the Sedrick Van Pran-Granger trade.

Always appreciated when the precise picks traded are reported on. Given that the Vikings' own pick is highly likely to be much lower than the Eagles' 3rd, this makes sense.

Malik Willis going on IR could be very problematic for the Packers' 2027 compensatory picks. Missing at least 4 games looks like it could be enough to knock down the round the Packers get for Willis going to Miami from the 3rd round to the 4th round.

Arnold Ebiketie was signed as a compensatory free agent by the Eagles. The Bengals lost 3 CFAs and signed 2 (Cordell Volson not qualifying), thus they'd lose a 2027 3rd round comp pick that was via Trey Hendrickson going to Baltimore.

Jaylen Watson being out for the rest of the season will seal the deal on the Chiefs only getting a 5th round 2027 compensatory pick for going to LA, instead of a possible 4th rounder.

Jacoby Brissett is due $4.85M remaining in 2026 that the Ravens will take on in salary. Cardinals will have ended up paying him almost $8M more over 8 games than they would have if they didn't renegotiate his contract.

I'm already preparing myself for next season when the North and West Divisions in both the AFC and NFC will be playing each other plenty, and people will fall into the dark art of saying they'll have a tough strength of schedule based upon last season...

As draft order starts to get reported more frequently, here's the first regular reminder that some (such as we at OTC), calculate strength of schedule including future opponents. Doing so, that means the Jets currently have the 4th overall pick from Indy, instead of the 5th.

I like the touch of Mahomes as the Grim Reaper here, because he was seeking to reap the AFC West away likely for good in 2026, and the Broncos said "Not today!".

This is going to be an all time stat line for a QB that *won* the game.

Seems like we should be hearing more about Ashton Jeanty as a trade deadline candidate with stat lines like this.

Pretty cruel that on the one weekend we get an extra hour of time picked up, there's no international game in the morning to leverage that change with.

Ouch.

I don't think I've ever seen 60 yard field goals made by each team in a college football game. The kicking improvements in football continue to march on.

Dave Canales passes the down 8 test.

And I'm glad to see this AFC West division title magnitude quantified by @benbbaldwin here:

I had the Titans in my mind as a dark horse contender to draft a QB high in 2027, as it doesn't seem like Cam Ward is catching on in the NFL yet. Now they have the draft capital to make such a move if they so choose.

When's the last time that trading multiple 1st round picks for a non-QB worked out really well for the team that got the player?

For all the playoff odds projectors out there, I'd really be curious as to how big of a swing the upcoming Chiefs/Broncos game is for the odds of the AFC West title. If feels like KC is going to put the division on lockdown if Denver can't beat them at home.

I'm seeing lots of talk about teams circling the vultures around the Colts for trading for Jonathan Taylor, but I would think that Quenton Nelson or DeForest Buckner would make more logical trade targets.

Jordan Elliott had been right on the bubble to possibly award the 49ers a very late 7th round 2027 compensatory pick, perhaps the Mr. Irrelevant pick. But if he doesn't accrue any more snaps in 2026, SF might be left with no comp picks at all in the 2027 NFL Draft.

Romeo Doubs going on IR likely ends any hope of the the Packers getting anything higher than a 5th round 2027 compensatory pick for his signing with the Patriots.

Here is the complete list of unrestricted free agents in 2027 for the Colts, should the interim general manager feel it's time to move on from this season.

As far as I can tell, the most recent time a defensive player got both an offensive touchdown and an interception in the same game until Travis Hunter did it today was Champ Bailey in 2000. https://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/200012240was.htm

Whenever I start thinking about the trade deadline, my mind always drifts to vested veterans who are on the final season of their contracts. Here's the list of those players who are on the five 0-5 teams:

Jonathon Cooper's trial being on March 2-4 puts a tight window for the Broncos to make a decision on his 2027 roster status. On the 5th day of the 2027 league year, $3 million of his salary vests to fully guaranteed. That'd be March 15. It'd be voided if he's suspended.

Brian Schottenheimer passed the down 8 test.

I knew that Steve Gleason is a Pearl Jam fan, but I was unaware that Kevin Stefanski shares this with him until Peyton Manning said so. I approve!

I'm going to roughly guess that he needs about 40% of the defensive snaps to stay above the cutoff. He's currently averaging 61.7%.