Nick Nelson

@nicknelson.bsky.social

Writer, marketer, baseball fan www.twinsdaily.com

The Twins' bullpen focus at deadline heightens pressure on the rotation and lineup — both well below average in the past month — to get on track. Otherwise the trades don't matter. Last night a perfect example: Twins were down 5-1 by the time a reliever set foot on the mound.

The Twins Boldly Bolstered Their Bullpen. Can the Rotation and Lineup Do Their Parts?

The Twins upgraded their bullpen but are leaving a slumping rotation and offense to figure it out on their own.

twinsdaily.com

Twins have been held to 2 or fewer runs through 6 innings in each of their past 7 games, and 10 of their last 11. Hard to win if you can’t build leads and are constantly fighting from behind.

What the Twins sorely need is for Josh Bell to get it going again. 99 OPS+ not good enough from DH and #3 hitter. We know he can flip a switch. Last 20 games: .234/.298/.312, 0 HR, 3 RBI Previous 20 games: .310/.380/.662, 6 HR, 21 RBI

Here's my take on the Twins' approach at the trade deadline. On the surface, it might not make a lot of sense to focus entirely on the bullpen when it's been their biggest strength for the past month. But the FO is wisely looking deeper: twinsdaily.com/news-rumors/...

The Twins Boldly Bolstered Their Bullpen. Can the Rotation and Lineup Do Their Parts?

The Twins upgraded their bullpen but are leaving a slumping rotation and offense to figure it out on their own.

twinsdaily.com

Feels like Twins are leaning into the volatility & randomness of relief pitching. Go with what you know. Hoffman's been somewhat worse in high-leverage spots over small sample? We know he's good, get him. MN bullpen was among league's best in July? We know it's bad, improve it.

Wherever it goes from here, I’m really appreciating this Twins season. A team that never quits fighting. A front office that actually seems compelled to improve. An owner who is, to some extent, putting his money where his mouth is. #noticing

Twins are in such a weird position. Aggressively seeking RPs despite the bullpen being what's kept their season afloat. (4th in MLB in WPA last month.) Meanwhile they’re shopping their 2 best healthy hitters on a short-circuiting offense. (23rd in runs, 27th in wOBA since ASB.)

The Twins got no-hit through 6 innings, and were down 3-0 with two outs and nobody on in the 9th. Moments later, Kody Clemens wins it on a walk-off grand slam. One of the most wild turns of events you'll ever seen in a ballgame. Back to .500.

Twins have been held to 2 or fewer runs in 6 of 12 games since the AS break. Thats not counting the finale in Cleveland where they scored 1 run through 11 innings, or last night when they had 1 scored with 2 outs in the 9th.

Twins have now won 8 of Taj Bradley’s last 9 starts. They’re 14-7 with him on the mound this year. He’s quietly building an argument for team MVP, especially with the outlooks for Buxton and Ryan in question.

We’ll see where things go from here, but for the time being, that feels like a season-saving victory for the Twins. Now gotta make hay at home against the A’s and Royals.

Another scoreless inning in high leverage from Andrew Morris, who has been a revelation in the Twins bullpen. The rookie has a 0.45 ERA in his past 20 innings of work, and ranks fourth among MLB relievers in WPA during that span.

Wrote today at @twinsdaily.com about how Twins fans have been spoiled by elite offensive production at the catcher position, with Jeffers the latest. "It shouldn't be taken for granted how unusual it is for a team to be able to bat their catcher second or use them as a credible DH."

Ryan Jeffers and the Twins' Unlikely Legacy of Elite-Hitting Catchers

Jeffers is following in the footsteps of Mauer and Garver as elite producers at a notoriously glove-first position.

twinsdaily.com

Since 2008, 5 catchers have posted a .400+ wOBA in 300+ PA. 2009: *Mauer* (.438 in 606 PA) 2011: Napoli (.445 in 432 PA) 2012: Posey (.406 in 610 PA) 2019: *Garver* (.404 in 359 PA) 2021: Grandal (.402 in 375 PA) Jeffers has a .409 wOBA in 169 PA. Leads all catchers by 50 pts.

Encouraging thing about this year’s Twins is how they’ve fared against quality opps. Big diff from last season (43-60 vs. >.500 teams). This year: 20-23, with winning records against almost everyone in the ALWC race. Test coming against good teams (CHC, CLE) coming out of ASB.