Nutshell Sports
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Sports in a nutshell: fast, smart, backed by data and film. NFL Draft boards and football tools at nutshellsportz.com Totally Serious Chicago Sports Tweets as well
A look at how long quarterbacks held onto the ball in clean pockets vs. when under pressure. Caleb Williams holding onto the ball for so long under pressure makes his 14th-ranked pressure-to-sack rate (out of 42 QBs) very impressive. Pressure data via @ftnfantasy.com
A look at the top 30 wide receivers in On-Field Impact. The idea is to identify WRs who positively impact the passing game even on plays when they are not targeted. This helps account for non-traditional value, like field-stretching ability. Participation data via @ftnfantasy.com
A look at defensive performance on standard first downs. The Texans stood out as one of the league’s elite first-down defenses, while the Titans, Bears, and Dolphins struggled.
An in-depth look at how quarterbacks performed on static true dropbacks. All play type and direction (left/middle/right) charting via @ftnfantasy.com
A look at QB performance on static true dropbacks. This is a dropback with no motion, no play action, no screens, and no RPO. The goal is to capture how efficient QBs were when they simply had to drop back and pass without the added benefit of schematic help. Play charting data via @ftnfantasy.com
A look at how quarterbacks performed on out-of-rhythm throws in 2025. NGS defines out-of-rhythm throws as pass attempts where the QB holds the ball for at least 4 seconds. Jaxson Dart really shined here, while Shedeur Sanders struggled. Time to throw data via @ftnfantasy.com charting
A look at the 2027 NFL Draft quarterback rankings according to the media consensus board. Arch Manning and Dante Moore are currently two of the three total S-tier players on the board.
A look at which pass catchers had the most YAC over expected per reception in 2025, according to NGS. The Steelers had both of the top two with DK Metcalf and Pat Freiermuth.
A look at how effective and disruptive defenses were in light boxes (with 6 or fewer defenders). The Broncos had one of the highest rush stuff rates while also posting the highest pressure rate by a wide margin. Box defender charting via @ftnfantasy.com
A look at Defensive Rush Stuff Rate. The Buccaneers stopped rushes for 0 yards or fewer on more than a quarter of attempts. The Bengals finished dead last, but the addition of Dexter Lawrence should be a massive boost this season.
A look at quarterback EPA per play inside and outside the pocket. Brock Purdy, Matthew Stafford, and Jordan Love all stood out as highly effective in both situations last year. Inside/outside pocket designation via @ftnfantasy.com charting.
A look at stuff rate by running back in 2025. Stuff rate is the percentage of carries where a back is stopped for 0 yards or fewer. James Cook had a stuff rate of just 10.7% on 309 carries.
A look at which pass catchers lost the most potential EPA because of drops. Jameson Williams led the league by a significant margin. Drop data via @ftnfantasy.com charting
A look at the top 50 players on the 2027 media consensus big board as of July 12, 2026. There are currently six QBs inside the top 21, so it will be interesting to see how this season plays out for the top of the QB class.
A look at how often QBs were pressured and how often those pressures became sacks. Matthew Stafford stood out for avoiding both pressure and sacks, while backups like Brady Cook and Max Brosmer struggled to prevent pressures from turning into sacks. Pressure data via @ftnfantasy.com charting
A look at total EPA lost due to sacks for quarterbacks in 2025. Cam Ward lost by far the most EPA on sacks. Caleb Williams made a massive jump after being in a similarly bad place in 2024, when he lost 117.5 EPA on 68 sacks.
A look at how much EPA quarterbacks lost because of drops during the 2025 NFL season. Dak Prescott and Trevor Lawrence lost the most EPA to drops. Drop data via @ftnfantasy.com charting
A look at how NFL offenses performed by half based on EPA per play. The Bears and Packers led the league in second-half EPA per play, while the Patriots led the league in first-half EPA per play.
A look at how NFL offenses finished their drives during the 2025 regular season. The Rams led the league in touchdown drive rate, while the Raiders finished dead last.
A look at how teams were able to prevent pressure against blitzes and non-blitzes. As we can see from both extremes, with the Steelers allowing very little pressure and the Browns allowing a ton, these outliers seem to be driven heavily by QB play style and performance. Data via @ftnfantasy.com
A look at how often teams generated pressure with and without blitzing. Unsurprisingly, the Seahawks and Browns were near the top of the league, while the Panthers and Jets struggled to create pressure. Pressure data via @ftnfantasy.com charting.
Here is a look at offensive personnel diversity across the full 2025 NFL season using normalized Shannon’s entropy. The Chargers should see a major jump after bringing in Mike McDaniel, whose Dolphins led the league in offensive personnel diversity last season.
Coming soon to Nutshell Sports: player statistical profiles featuring advanced metrics and custom-derived stats designed to tell a deeper story than traditional numbers alone. Here is a preview of four QBs: Jalen Hurts, Dak Prescott, Caleb Williams, and Drake Maye.
A look at how NFL offenses performed in two-minute drills during the 2025 season The Cowboys led the league in two-minute efficiency, while the Jets finished by far the worst.
A look at which defenses generated more or fewer interceptions than expected. The Bears and Chargers finished well above expectation, while the Jets finished far below expectation. Expected INT data is based on historical pass volume and interception-worthy plays via @ftnfantasy.com charting data.
On the Nutshell Sports website, you can run mock drafts using several different big boards, including your own big board. After each mock draft, you can view your mock draft data to see which teams and fits show up the most, along with which players you are higher or lower on than the consensus.
A look at how effective teams were on screen passes during the 2025 season Kyle Shanahan had the 49ers cooking in the screen game last year. Screen pass designation via @ftnfantasy.com charting data.
A look at the betting markets and each player’s implied probability of going No. 1 overall in the 2027 NFL Draft In the Nutshell media mock draft database, Arch Manning has been mocked No. 1 overall 70.0% of the time, compared to 23.3% for Dante Moore.
One Caleb Williams talking point I think is a bit overblown is his high average time to throw. He did have a higher-than-average TTT in 2025, but he did not have the negatives usually associated with that number.