Houston 71.5% likely to beat Texas Tech; based purely on box score data. But at Week 3 the data pool is shallow and more likely to throw errors. Still, thinking of a shattered Cody Campbell this early in the season is bait for the rest of the Big XII. #cfb
ObjectivelyDrew
@objectivelydrew.bsky.social
Data over opinion (including mine) College sports metrics Design, UX, human/visual interaction Games of all kinds substack.com/@objectivelydrew drewchristien.com
Week 2-3 is *Fireworks Week* in college football. The season progression charts all go scatter-shot when teams add a real FBS opponent to (likely) an FCS blowout, or vice versa. Here are the P4:
Please don't jinx the class I never want to see USC Caleb again (Indiana Penix Jr. has been here for quite some time)
Auburn Bo Nix never left
It's been a journey, and objectivelyfootball.com was not necessarily the intended destination. I'm still very proud of it. If you're a college football fan, I'd love it if you loved it, too.
Building a College Football Website
The path of your work often leads to unexpected places.
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I like to think of the opinion polls as "What could be", and per play box score data vs SoS as "What the reality is". Team: Could be | currently is Texas: 1 | 7 Ohio St: 6 | 47 Texas Tech: 13 | 39 Oregon: 21 | 57
Some thoughts on the new AP poll — and nonconference scheduling: www.nbcsports.com/college-foot...
Big XII chaos is in full swing. Last week's #1, UCF, is now in 10th. West Virginia was in 13th, and is now in 2nd. It's always fun to see how teams' values move when they're purely box-score derived / unaffected by preseason polls, previous seasons, or opinions. #cfb
It's so obvious That the promise Keeps me here Painting pictures where All the colors Disappear
#82 Texas Tech really struggled to put away #128 Oregon St. Up 40 and still throwing eh?
OREGON STATE DOWN 4 WITH 1:48 LEFT GET TO CBS
When NAU scores I can't hear anything but Awnaw by Nappy Roots.
Up the middle for 6 👏 NAU goes up 10-7 against Incarnate Word
Ducks/OSU coverage: "You just pulled off one of the biggest upsets in the history of college football" is one hell of a statement considering Oregon wasn't even in the top 50 for performance against schedule.
Oregon entered the day ranked #66 in the objective performance rankings (Currently #75, as it re-racks every time a game ends). Ducks' performance has felt a lot more in line with that than the opinion polls. And ...fumble!
oregon has 3:11 to save their 2026 season. no pressure.
Oklahoma became the first SEC team of the season to take a loss. They slide to #12 in the current SEC rankings.
James Madison scores and goes to 80 points, the first team to hit the mark in 2026 and the first since South Alabama did it in 2024 (also on September 12th!)
You have to feel good for UMass, a team who can now look at a scoreboard like this and know they're not at the bottom of the FBS any more.
Virginia vaulted back to #1 in the nation last night with a high-scoring win, while bolstered by previously-vanquished NC State having a huge win of their own tonight (Mizzou also leapt up to #2). Don't expect it to hold, the games re-rank instantly whenever any game goes final. #cfb
One of the first games to produce live odds from pure box score data (both teams have already played an FBS school)! Rutgers gets right back in it.
Name a non-LOTR character who could resist the One Ring (if you feel like it)
Magneto Unleashes His Power
Alt: Magneto from the X-Men 90s animated cartoon intro. His fist is raised as magnetic waves emanate from it. He would just hover the One Ring over his shoulder and taunt people with it
static.klipy.com
Name a non-LOTR character who could resist the One Ring (if you feel like it)
I also have to wonder how much time he spent in the coaching staff's ears this past week. Campbell's tough-guy talk about 'throwing on opponents while up 40' doesn't align with this performance against an FCS school. More in the alt text. #cfb #cfbsky
The man whose sole focus is to protect and/or save college sports was conspicuously quiet as a scandal threatened to completely destroy the idea of amateurism. Why didn’t Cody Campbell speak up on LSU? I think I know whyyyyyyy www.foiaball.com/p/cody-campb...
Right after I said this the 'canes let off the gas. They move up to #18. After the ACC's weak opening, will Miami FL's 93rd-ranked strength of schedule pose problems down the line?
Miami FL is seemingly chasing 100 points, which might not impress some pollsters but will see them jump up from where they entered today, ranked #30 in Performance Against Schedule. #cfb
Miami FL is seemingly chasing 100 points, which might not impress some pollsters but will see them jump up from where they entered today, ranked #30 in Performance Against Schedule. #cfb
L'Empereur. I don't even know how I ended up with this cartridge as a kid. My dad may have gotten it thinking he'd play it? But he played Willow once until 3am and then never touched a video game console game again.
What's a video game you played for hours as a kid but never understood exactly HOW to play it? You never knew what the goal was, where to go, or what to do, but kept playing anyway! What's that game for you?
The CFP committee members serve their purpose in these kinds of dealings. This is what justifies their jobs. But securing the media bag for conference or school also makes them irreversably biased; they shouldn't be allowed within 500 yards of any team rankings
CFP to open talks with ESPN in prelude to potential 24-team expansion: www.sportsmediawatch.com/2026/09/cfp-...
The Objective 138 has been live since SMU/FSU's final whistle. It's purely based on per play box score data. No ai, no opinions, no preseason poll, no hand-picked stat ratios, no historic curves. Every FBS team started at the same 0. This is what they did from there.
✍️ This week's Athletic 138, ranking every FBS team: 1. LSU 9. Ole Miss 37. Michigan 38. Western Michigan 69. NDSU 100. UMass (in my top 100 for the first time ever!) Full rankings: www.nytimes.com/athletic/757...
Imagine being on the wrong side of the goat argument, but it's because you've gone even further and lower than Michael Jordan on gambling
Polymarket signs LeBron James as first athlete partner... I don't even understand how this is allowed in the first place but very disappointed in LeBron. Instead of re-signing with DraftKings, he opts for the unregulated prediction market. Shame on you, gambling addiction is as prevalent as ever.
If Lane Kiffin can say insane things, then I'll dare the Bears to move to Indiana while Notre Dame moves to Chicago as a new NFL team
The original 31 before our other goated 31. My favorite Cub from before my time.
54 years ago today, Fergie Jenkins (Chatham, Ont.) tossed a complete game in the Cubs' 4-3 victory over the Phillies to record his 20th win of the season. The win marked the sixth straight season he had 20 wins. No MLB pitcher has done this since.
I'm alive. We're back live. Production diary notes in the alt text.