Pinar Gunes

@pigunes.bsky.social

Assistant Prof. of Economics at University of Sussex. Research Fellow at the CITP. Formerly OECD and KOF, ETH Zurich. HEC Lausanne. International trade, trade policy, digital trade, AI, labour economics.

My new paper, When Tariffs Bite: The Short-Run vs Long-Run Welfare Effects of Trade Wars, is now on SSRN! Do tariffs become more damaging over time? Not necessarily. My main finding is that LR adjustment does not mechanically amplify the SR effect. For more detail 👇 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

When Tariffs Bite: The Short-Run vs Long-Run Welfare Effects of Trade Wars

This paper estimates short-run and long-run sector-specific trade elasticities using a panel of 170 countries and 22 manufacturing sectors over 1995-2022, and i

papers.ssrn.com

📣 I wrote the first piece in @uktpo.org’s new Beginner’s Guide series, exploring a fundamental question: why do countries trade? 🌍 It explains the basics in an accessible way and argues that trade is about mutual benefit, not just competition 🤝 Read it here 👉 www.uktpo.org/2026/04/08/w...

Why do countries trade?

This blog is part of our ‘Beginner’s Guide’ series; insightful, accessible explainers of all things trade. The author of this instalment is Pinar Gunes, an Assistant Professor in Trade and CITP resear...

uktpo.org

📢 Interested in the critical link between international trade and sustainability? Join our next module, where we’ll explore the link between trade and environmental policies, climate change 🌍, critical minerals ⚒️, and the transition to a circular economy ♻️.

CITP@thecitp.bsky.social · 8mo ago

Join our online Diploma in International Trade Policy, designed to accelerate your knowledge of trade policy & transform your ability to navigate this challenging landscape. Next module starts Jan 2026. Join us to drive forward trade and trade policy 👉 www.sussex.ac.uk/study/short-... @sussex.ac.uk

I’m excited to share my recent publication with Suleyman Faruk Gozen and Mehmet Furkan Karaca. Our findings show that AI adoption raises sales for firms of all sizes, with stronger effects for exporters—lifting domestic sales for smaller firms and foreign sales for larger ones.

CITP@thecitp.bsky.social · 9mo ago

New research reveals AI adoption impacts firm performance, but the benefits vary by firm size 👉 citp.ac.uk/publications... @bristoluni.bsky.social, @pigunes.bsky.social, @sussexunibusiness.bsky.social, @sussex.ac.uk, @universityofessex.bsky.social

This is an interesting paper on the global distribution of authorship in economics journals. It shows that authors from low-income countries remain severely underrepresented and are far less likely to publish in top-tier outlets even controlling for citations. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

The global distribution of authorship in economics journals

We assemble a dataset of the universe of economics and business journal articles published since 1980 to assess differences in the levels and trends o…

sciencedirect.com

🌍 Interested in gender and trade? Join our webinar tomorrow at 1 PM BST, which I’ll be chairing. Looking forward to a rich discussion on how trade can better promote gender equality and inclusion.

CITP@thecitp.bsky.social · 10mo ago

Interested in gender and trade? Join this online event on Friday 17 October 1pm BST. Based on a recent report published by the Scottish Government and work on inclusive trade at the @oecd-ocde.bsky.social. Chaired by @pigunes.bsky.social Register here 👉 universityofsussex.zoom.us/webinar/regi...