Dave Wasserman (unofficial bot)
@redistrict.xpost.bot
Senior Editor & Elections Analyst of the nonpartisan @CookPolitical Report w/ @AmyEWalter. Nerd for 🗺️ maps, ⛷️ ski slopes & 🎻 trad tunes. Has seen enough. http://cookpolitical.com/about/staff/david-wasserman (Unofficial bot maintained by @manos.lol)
New @CookPolitical: with more than 15 million votes counted, Dems' lead in the national House vote is up to 13.2 points. www.cookpolitical.com/…
A rare and cool new @CookPolitical job opportunity for someone who loves elections & data visualization and has 1-2 years of relevant experience (including internships): Associate, Election Data & Analytics. cookpolitical.zohorecr…
The Cook Political Report - Associate, Elections Data & Analytics in Arlington
The Cook Political Report About the Role The Cook Political Report is seeking an Associate, Election Data & Analytics to join our editorial team. This
cookpolitical.zohorecruit.com
New @CookPolitical: with 114.7 million votes counted, Dems' lead in the national House vote is up to 13.1 points. www.cookpolitical.com/…
If there's one shift that sums up 2026, it's Kansas's Golden Triangle of meatpacking (Liberal, Dodge City, Garden City, 61% Hispanic), focus of sweeping ICE operations in September: 2024: Trump 15,915 (68%), Harris 7,240 (31%) 2026: Marshall 9,537 (46%), Hamilton 10,411 (51%)
How bad was 2026 for Republicans? Democrats' nominee in #TX09, a gerrymandered Trump +20 seat in the Houston suburbs, won a higher share of the vote than the GOP nominee for Wyoming's House seat.
Fact: 84% of the House districts Dems are on track to flip this year contain a Cracker Barrel, and just 59% are home to a Whole Foods. By contrast, 67% of the districts Dems flipped in 2018 contained a Whole Foods, and just 56% were home to a Cracker Barrel.
New @CookPolitical: with more than 114 million votes counted, Dems' national lead in the House vote is up to 12.9 points. www.cookpolitical.com/…
New @CookPolitical: with more than 113 million votes counted, Dems' national lead in the House vote is up to 12.8 points. www.cookpolitical.com/…
Of all the crazy things I’ve seen covering House races for 20 years, watching sitting DCCC and NRCC chairs lose in consecutive midterms is up there.
New @CookPolitical: with more than 112 million votes counted in House races, Dems' national lead is up to 12.4%. www.cookpolitical.com/…
With Dems all but certain to prevail in Mississippi and Alaska, we're most likely looking at a 56D-44R Senate and a ~260D-175R House, which would be Dems' largest House majority since 1992.
NEW @CookPolitical: our 2026 House vote tracker is live. With almost 112 million votes counted, Dems' national lead is 12.3% and growing. www.cookpolitical.com/…
Pretty astounding: at the moment, the *only* Senate or House Republican who appears to be outperforming the 2024 presidential margin in their state/district is Susan Collins... and she's only doing so by 0.5 points.
New @CookPolitical post-election analysis: Total annihilation of the Trump coalition, w/ Dems in striking distance of 56 Senate seats and 260 House seats, depending on uncalled races. www.cookpolitical.com/…
Post-Election Analysis: The Annihilation of the Trump Coalition | Cook Political Report
Ten years ago, Donald Trump shocked the political world with an Electoral College victory that hurled defiance at the polls, the pundits, and the traditional tenets of the Republican Party. On...
cookpolitical.com
I’ve seen enough: generational wipeout.
Honored to serve on the NBC Decision Desk projecting races tonight. Please tune into @SteveKornacki and the rest of the stellar @NBCNews team for the latest results and calls. And be sure to subscribe to @CookPolitical for the best post-election analysis in the business.
5pm update: Florida has crossed 7.7M ballots cast (final was 11M in 2024, 7.8M in 2022). Registered Ds are at 77% of their 2024 total turnout, Rs at 71%, NPA/others at 63%. Overall turnout is R+8.3 pts (2024 final was R+11.1 pts). Still modest but clear Dem enthusiasm edge.
Today's consensus across states w/ robust data: turnout is decent but not earth-shattering, and GOP voters/areas account for a disproportionate share of the decline vs. 2024. The rate at which independents break for Dems will determine whether tonight is a wave or a wipeout.
Headed on @KatyTurNBC's show shortly to talk the turnout data we're seeing today and the key races to watch for clues tonight.
Update: as of 2pm, Florida has crossed 7M ballots cast (final was 11M in 2024, 7.8M in 2022). Registered Ds are at 71% of their 2024 total turnout, Rs at 63%, NPA/others at 56%. Overall turnout is R+7.1 pts (2024 final was R+11.1 pts). Modest but clear Dem enthusiasm advantage.
If Dems were hoping favorable early vote patterns would extend into EDay, that's not happening in Florida, where EDay turnout is tracking *much* more GOP (51%-26%) than the early vote (40%-38%). Not at all surprising, considering so many energized Dems voted early/by mail.
New @CookPolitical: our final Senate ratings are live. We're projecting a Dem gain of 3-6 seats, and #MISEN moves from Toss Up to Lean D. Full analysis by @JessicaTaylor: www.cookpolitical.com/…
Don't miss @amyewalter's final @CookPolitical preview: we know Democrats will have a good night on Tuesday. But will it be a "once in a generation" win? www.cookpolitical.com/…
We Know Democrats Will Have a Good Night on Tuesday. But Will It Be a ‘Once in a Generation’ Win? |...
The question for Tuesday night isn’t whether it will be a good night for Democrats (it will be), but whether it will be a historic one.We expect Democrats to handily win control of the House, with...
cookpolitical.com
Final @CookPolitical House ratings: we're projecting a Dem gain of 15-25 seats, more than enough for a majority, and even higher Dem gains can't be ruled out. Solid/Likely/Lean D: 222 Solid/Likely/Lean R: 195 Toss Up: 18 Full analysis by @ercovey: www.cookpolitical.com/…
An Hour-by-Hour Election Night Guide to the Race for the House | Cook Political Report
Although Democrats are in a strong position to win control of the House, the magnitude of the expected blue wave is still in question. It may vary somewhat by state — due to top-of-the-ticket effects...
cookpolitical.com