If the last two months break the Sox way with wins and health, I'd bet heavily on three guys injured right now taking their first three at-bats of the postseason. L Anthony R Mead S Rutschman R Contreras L Abreu R Rafaela L Yoshida/Duran R Story/Monasterio R Durbin
Rutschman has been pretty much been a failure from what he was expected to be. Most of his "bounce back" this season is from a 30 PA stretch in late April. Interesting to say the least. Paying a premium in the division is scary if this is where it's heading.
Campbell has had 18 batted balls in his last 10 games and 15 have gone for hits (2 HR, 2 2B, 11 1B) with a 47% hard hit rate. 33% K% and 42% whiff% are a massive drag on whatever positives are going on, though.
Franklin Arias is not in the WooSox lineup today - but per a source, it was a scheduled day off after he’d played the first five games of the series (Arias has been on a 4-5x a week schedule throughout this year). That said, the Sox have certainly been open to considering deals involving him …
Trying to connect the smallest bits of information, I’m wondering if Reid Detmers or Jose Soriano could be added to an expanded Zach Neto package that would satisfy their want for Arias and the the Red Sox reluctance to move him. Would likely swing the balance back to the Sox needing to add more.
NEW: Franklin Arias is one of MLB’s top prospects. Could the Red Sox be compelled to trade him? The latest with @ken-rosenthal.bsky.social Free to read www.nytimes.com/athletic/748...
Franklin Arias is one of MLB’s top prospects. Could the Red Sox be compelled to trade him? (Gift Article)
Boston is looking to improve its offense with a controllable major-league shortstop. But at what cost?
nytimes.com
Anthony Eyanson just set a new career high in strikeouts, he’s got 10 in 14 outs recorded so far tonight in Portland. Batters have swung 36 times and whiffed 19.
The only Red Sox players who have played shortstop in July are Andruw Monasterio and Tsung-Che Cheng. Together, they rank #1 in BA, #1 in OBP, #5 SLG, #3 in runs created, and #2 in wRC+ offensively this month at that position.
Duran's 0-4 tonight pushed his season wRC+ to 58, now lower than 1999 Darren Lewis, which was the worst qualified offensive season by a Red Sox player the majority of fans alive today have endured. Shoutout to anyone that remembers watching Denny Doyle or Glenn Hoffman.
Marlins' catcher and trade candidate Liam Hicks is mirrored Caleb Durbin
Great chart in this article from research by JJ Cooper
What would the prospect return be for 2x Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skubal? BA's J.J. Cooper values the potential trade deadline blockbuster in the context of other ace acquisitions of years past: www.baseballamerica.com/stories/what...
During Campbell's good stretch in AAA, his batted ball outcomes rank 17th/143 in the International League, but his quality of contact is only 90th/143. His whiff rate (33%) in this stretch ranks 126th/143. Hard hit rate (36%) ranks 83rd/143. Chase rate (23%) ranks 32nd/143.
In Justin Gonzales' last 100 plate appearances, he has 7 HR, 22 BB, 19 K
Interesting read. Wisdom of the crowd ranks Sox trade value as 33 Roman Anthony 39 Payton Tolle 43 Ceddanne Rafaela 60 Garrett Crochet 85 Wilyer Abreu 101 Ranger Suarez Early 95, Mead NR Lopez 46, Neto 50 Harrison 56
The 2026 Crowdsourced Trade Value Results blogs.fangraphs.com/the-2026-cro...
During this Red Sox run, which dates back to June 25, Justin Slaten has, on average, come into the toughest situations out of the bullpen. He's responded with a 1.86 ERA, 37% K rate, and 3% BB rate. Chapman, Whitlock, and Guerrero are next and have ERAs of 1.38, 0.63, and 0.82.
270 MLB players have more than 50 plate appearances over the past 30 days. Here is how Red Sox bats rank in xwOBA over that time, which is quality of contact + walk rate + strikeout rate.
Tyler Soderstrom healthy as an ox and ready to mash for the Sox, though.
Passan: Shea Langeliers could miss the rest of the season with torn meniscus.
Passan: "The Red Sox are not expected to stop with this deal, either, continuing to consider larger deals for another bat, sources said."
Mead has a very flat swing and has produced a lot of power. The other players that can do that are no f'in joke. Obviously, he needs to keep doing it.
Players that have at least 50 PA in each of the four months so far, and at least a .200 Isolated Power in each: Willson Contreras Curtis Mead Junior Caminero Dillon Dingler Juan Soto CJ Abrams Shohei Ohtani Yordan Alvarez Miguel Vargas
idk what the sox plans are, but in the last few days the talk has been they were looking for a RH power-hitting left fielder and were willing to look at guys that could need to change positions to take over there.
I've been digging in on the Padres... and I cannot believe how dreadful Bogaerts is. He's played for 20 months with SD; 12 of them he's had a wRC+ below 100. Since May 1, he's batting .196/.298/.279. Next year is his age 34 season with 7 years and $175M left on his contract.
During the Red Sox hot stretch, Willson Contreras has a 203 wRC+. His .517 xwOBA ranks 1st/272, expected BA 1st/272, expected SLG 1st/272, 13.7 Runs Above Average RE24 1st/272, fast swing rate 1st/272, 90th percentile exit velocity 2nd/272, Barrel% 3rd/272.
Jake Bennett's 2026 K% 18.7%, BB% 4.4%, GB% 48%, Contact% 78% A classic low strikeout, excellent command/control, groundball guy. Similar archetypes: Hiroki Kuroda, Masahiro Tanaka, Hisashi Iwakuma, Hyun Jin Ryu (also James Shields, John Lackey)
Want to see something funny, the closest speed/ movement/ handedness matches