Sam Greene

@samagreene.bsky.social

Professor of Russian Politics, King's College London. Political sociologist. Progressive. Co-author, Putin v the People. 🇬🇧/🇺🇸

Once more: The incoherence of the Trump administration should not be confused with incapacity. Trump inherited structures of incomparable global power and is unencumbered by calculations of consequence. This power may dissipate, but the costs in the interim will be immense.

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So, the party of limited government, strict constitutional originalism and free markets is now lining up for federal troops in cities, government-imposed censorship in education and state ownership of major corporations. Shocking, but not surprising, I suppose.

For six months now, European leaders have confused Trump‘s malleability for an opportunity. What it really means is that US policy is not the foundation on which European and Ukrainian security can be built. A quick thread /1

Most of us had assumed, I think, that the Anchorage summit ended early because the sides couldn’t agree on much. Turns out Putin just decided to quit while he was ahead. The ball is now in Europe’s court.

Ok, so this tweet didn’t age well. The piece did, though: “Reversing this trajectory will require … a commitment to the near-term reduction of European dependence on US decision-making, while simultaneously building credible deterrence against Moscow.”

Sam Greene@samagreene.bsky.social · 12mo ago

As expected, Trump and Putin leave Anchorage adrift. As I wrote Thursday for @cepa.org, the question now is as it has long been: can Europe take charge? cepa.org/article/unmo...

"The risk is not that Europe overreaches, but that it undershoots. Europe will never have all the resources it needs to assure itself of victory. Failing to go to diplomatic war with the army it has, however, assures it of defeat." My two cents ahead of Anchorage for @cepa.org

Unmoored in Anchorage: Europe’s Dangerous Game

Europe has done everything possible to align itself with the US administration. That has avoided difficult decisions, but comes at a risk.

cepa.org

As things stand, Ukraine and Europe are on the verge of being confronted with exactly the kind of Faustian deal they feared would emerge back in February. The fact that Europe hasn’t moved to block such a deal in the past six months is a failure of leadership and diplomacy. /1

I stand with Ukrainians, who have shown time and again that they will not abide tyranny, whether it comes from without or within. Zelensky made a mistake. He will pay the price when elections come. But Ukrainians will not thank us now or later if we use this as an excuse to abandon their defense.

Putin: “I’ve already said that Russians and Ukrainians are one people. In that sense, all of Ukraine is ours. … We have this old rule, that wherever a Russian steps foot — that’s our territory.” Whatever this is, it’s not a president preparing his people for compromise.

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