New 🇪🇺🇹🇷 article by @news.dw.com is kind enough to quote my analysis. Çok teşekkürler / Danke🙏 Topic: İmamoğlu imprisonment and Erdogan reach for power & international bargaining 🇺🇸🇪🇺👇 🔸”Türkiye's 🇹🇷 natural choice should be Europe, where it shares a common geography.” . . . Continued

I wish I could have joined you in Rome 🇮🇹🇪🇺, Bucharest 🇷🇴🇪🇺, Belgrade 🇷🇸🇪🇺, Brussels 🇧🇪🇪🇺, Berlin 🇩🇪🇪🇺, Tbilisi 🇬🇪🇪🇺and many more cities this weekend for the #EuropeMarch. I wore my 🇪🇺 jumper for a morning jog. Viva L’Europa! 🙏 #UnitedInDiversity #StrongerTogether #ContinentalUnity

Thousands of people gathered in Bucharest, Romania to declare their solidarity with Europe and Ukraine, and to reject Russia and Trump's attempts to corrupt their democracy. #3E #RomaniaProtests

I wish I could have joined you in Rome 🇮🇹🇪🇺, Bucharest 🇷🇴🇪🇺, Belgrade 🇷🇸🇪🇺, Brussels 🇧🇪🇪🇺, Berlin 🇩🇪🇪🇺, Tbilisi 🇬🇪🇪🇺and many more cities this weekend for the #EuropeMarch. I wore my 🇪🇺 jumper for a morning jog. Viva L’Europa! 🙏 #UnitedInDiversity #StrongerTogether #ContinentalUnity

#French 🇫🇷🇪🇺 #intelligence community publishes my views on considering #Türkiye 🇹🇷 in European security architecture 👇 Ex-senior-intelligence & military-industrial expert Alain Rodier adds my views in 2025 public article for ‘Centre Francais Recherche sur les Renseignement’👇 cf2r.org/actualite/quel…

. . . Now, geo-politics, customs union and new security agenda are at play. Paradoxically, EU-Türkiye 🇪🇺🇹🇷 relations have never been more relevant and fragile at the same time. Read my article (2024) about #Türkiye in Europe’s New Security Architecture 🇪🇺🇹🇷 liberalforum.eu/wp-content/u...

. . . Perhaps personal relationship of two leaders is lacking. Perhaps structural-divisions are too great between two of Europe’s leading powers. Only time will tell. What remains certain: 🇫🇷 popular misconceptions about 🇹🇷 and 🇫🇷 should be relegated to the past. . . . (Continued)

. . . Complex points of contention 🇫🇷🇹🇷👇 🔸Africa influence 🔸Caucasus & Central Asia 🔸Customs Union & EIB 🔸Security, Space & Defence 🔸Strategic Autonomy 🔸Eastern Mediterranean 🔸Cyprus territorial integrity 🔸Greek maritime 🔸Nuclear Plants 🔸Theology & Laicite 🔸Syria 🔸Migration . . . (Continued)

. . . @EmmanuelMacron.bsky.social should accept Erdoğan’s invitation to Ankara instead of always stalling. @rterdogana.bsky.social personnel should privately propose something more concrete to Paris, instead of offering little concrete. . . . (Continued)

The fastest way for Europe to counter American threats is through 🇫🇷🇪🇺🇹🇷 Franco-Turkish rapprochement. The question is whether 🇹🇷 Ankara and 🇫🇷Paris are willing to sacrifice or will instead out-rat/out-bid each other to Washington. . . . (Continued)

No Elon Musk. Europe does not need American 🇺🇸 and Russian 🇷🇺 foreign interference to make “Europe Great Again”. Europe needs👇 🔸 EU Unity 🇪🇺 🔸 EU Defence 🚀 🔸 EU Bonds 💶 🔸 EU Nuclear ☢️ 🔸 EU Technology & Social Media👨‍🔬

#Türkiye’s 🇹🇷 most read (top 3) newspaper @Hurriyet translated & reprinted my Op-Ed into Turkish languagefor domestic 🇹🇷 audience ⤵️ 🇪🇺🇹🇷 Çok teşekkürler 🙏 Main points of Op-Ed 👇 🔸Trump 🇺🇸 #hypocrisy with Zelenskyy 🇺🇦 🔸#Nuclear France 🇫🇷🇪🇺 & German 🇩🇪🇪🇺#Eurobonds to replace Washington? . . . Continued

. . . Continued 🔸#US 🇺🇸 gets closer to #Russia 🇷🇺 in order to fight #China 🇨🇳 at expense of 🇪🇺 Europe, including Türkiye 🇹🇷 🔸#Türkiye 🇹🇷 is an ally of Kiev 🇺🇦 & must be included in 🇫🇷🇩🇪🇪🇺 core European security architecture Link 🔗 Turkish language Hürriyet 🇹🇷 hurriyet.com.tr/dunya/ukrayna-… [END].

#French 🇫🇷🇪🇺 #intelligence community publishes my views on considering #Türkiye 🇹🇷 in European security architecture 👇 Ex-senior-intelligence & military-industrial expert Alain Rodier adds my views in 2025 public article for ‘Centre Francais Recherche sur les Renseignement’👇 cf2r.org/actualite/quel…

“The general sentiment in the EU is that Turkey is more important than ever on security cooperation. That ranges from military procurement to Ukraine, energy, critical infrastructure, you name it," said @samueljsdv.bsky.social. My latest for @turkeyrecap.bsky.social:

Turkey recap@turkeyrecap.bsky.social · last yr.

As doubts grow over US defense commitments to Ukraine and the EU, Ankara’s role in regional security is likely to expand due to its existing force and weapons production capacities. @diegocupolo.bsky.social reports with comments by @samueljsdv.bsky.social, Daria Isachenko and @yoruk.bsky.social.

As doubts grow over US defense commitments to Ukraine and the EU, Ankara’s role in regional security is likely to expand due to its existing force and weapons production capacities. @diegocupolo.bsky.social reports with comments by @samueljsdv.bsky.social, Daria Isachenko and @yoruk.bsky.social.

US policy shift on Ukraine boosts Turkey’s value as EU defense partner

ANKARA — On the third anniversary of the Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Russian FM Sergei Lavrov is in Turkey and the prospects for peace talks are in limbo amid the Trump administration’s o...

turkeyrecap.com

#Türkiye’s 🇹🇷 most read (top 3) newspaper @Hurriyet translated & reprinted my Op-Ed into Turkish languagefor domestic 🇹🇷 audience ⤵️ 🇪🇺🇹🇷 Çok teşekkürler 🙏 Main points of Op-Ed 👇 🔸Trump 🇺🇸 #hypocrisy with Zelenskyy 🇺🇦 🔸#Nuclear France 🇫🇷🇪🇺 & German 🇩🇪🇪🇺#Eurobonds to replace Washington? . . . Continued

🎇 @Turkeyrecap.bsky.social Editor @DiegoCupolo.bsky.social kindly asked me to predict EU-Türkiye 🇪🇺🇹🇷 in 2025 🎇 5-points👇⤵️ 1️⃣ #EU-#Türkiye 🇪🇺🇹🇷 relations in 2025 are fragile and very dependent on 🇺🇸 Donald Trump. . . . 👇

Turkey recap@turkeyrecap.bsky.social · 2y ago

2025 Predictions for Turkey’s EU Policy With contributions by: @samueljsdv.bsky.social www.turkeyrecap.com/i/153969325/...

The fastest way for Europe to counter American threats is through 🇫🇷🇪🇺🇹🇷 Franco-Turkish rapprochement. The question is whether 🇹🇷 Ankara and 🇫🇷Paris are willing to sacrifice or will instead out-rat/out-bid each other to Washington. . . . (Continued)

As HRVP @kajakallas.bsky.social arrives in Ankara, it’s worth reading my 🇪🇺🇹🇷 prediction 2025👇 EU-Türkiye 🇪🇺🇹🇷 matters. Regardless of whether you’re secular or religious, or whether you like EU or Erdogan. Deteriorating relations would be a huge strategic, economic & security loss for both sides👇

Samuel Doveri Vesterbye@samueljsdv.bsky.social · 2y ago

🎇 @Turkeyrecap.bsky.social Editor @DiegoCupolo.bsky.social kindly asked me to predict EU-Türkiye 🇪🇺🇹🇷 in 2025 🎇 5-points👇⤵️ 1️⃣ #EU-#Türkiye 🇪🇺🇹🇷 relations in 2025 are fragile and very dependent on 🇺🇸 Donald Trump. . . . 👇

If you’re unsure why 🇹🇷🇪🇺 EU-Türkiye relations are important? 🔟-point-list 👇 ———————— 1️⃣ Germany’s 🇩🇪🇪🇺 economy (& by extension Europe) depends on 🇹🇷 Türkiye, and vice versa. German 🇩🇪🇪🇺 supply-chains (not only trade) largely depend on China 🇨🇳, Poland 🇵🇱🇪🇺 and Türkiye . . . Continued

5️⃣ Let’s not forget that a Turkish economy without 🇩🇪🇪🇺 Germany is weak, and vice versa, Germany can’t build cars without Europe’s biggest back office: 🇹🇷 Türkiye. . . . 👇 [END].

4️⃣ Existing vulnerabilities will be exploited. 🇫🇷🇪🇺 #France’s geopolitical rivalry w 🇹🇷#Turkey in #Caucasus & #Africa & disagreements over 🇬🇷🇪🇺 Greek & 🇨🇾🇪🇺Cypriot maritime in East Med are targets of foreign superpowers to divide Europe. A crisis will exacerbate vulnerable 🇪🇺🇹🇷 Euro-Turkish ties. . . . 👇

3️⃣ Ankara 🇹🇷 and Berlin’s 🇩🇪🇪🇺 deep supply chains and economic relations will be seen with caution by 🇺🇸 Washington. That is because 🇺🇸 Trump, and Washington generally, see “the new great threat as 🇨🇳 #China”. It’s the opposite for Europe, which sees 🇷🇺 #Russia as the main threat. . . . 👇

2️⃣ #Trump 🇺🇸 doesn’t want to give power to regional initiatives like 🇪🇺 EU. He prefers instead to handle relations bilaterally to weaken his counterparts. He will also be deeply uninterested in a powerful 🇹🇷 Türkiye since 🇷🇺 Russia’s wings have been clipped and #Ankara 🇹🇷 is gaining influence. . . . 👇

🔟 Türkiye 🇹🇷 has limited firepower without EU 🇪🇺. EIB & EBRD are pillars for success when it comes to large scale investments in technology, energy, infrastructure etc. It’s important that Türkiye 🇹🇷 start considering EU 🇪🇺 needs to attract investment, sustainable supply chains & defence coop. END.

. . . 9️⃣ CRM & Central Asia In today’s “hunt for Minerals” Central Asia will benefit from investment and tech-transfer. Uzbekistan 🇺🇿 & Kazakhstan 🇰🇿 have signed MOUs with EU 🇪🇺. Türkiye 🇹🇷 is well placed for processing, construction & other activities, provided 🇪🇺🇹🇷relations improve. Continued . . .

. . . 7️⃣ Russia 🇷🇺 containment. Nordics, Baltics & East of Europe know that Türkiye 🇹🇷 is a key ally in containing Russia 🇷🇺 in Central Asia, Caucasus and elsewhere. At the same time, Ankara has a polemically (unbalanced) energy relationship with Moscow in nuclear ☢️ and gas ⛽️. Continued . . .

6️⃣ Security. Türkiye 🇹🇷 is NATO member and - in the era of new European 🇪🇺 defence - it’s crystal clear that Türkiye 🇹🇷 needs the spending power and technology of the EU 🇪🇺defence industry, while EU needs Ankara for ground experience & strategic partnership. Continued . . .