Can’t believe I’ve been tweeting this for 250 years 😂
Sarah Binder
@sarahbinder.bsky.social
Political scientist by day (and night). GWU and Brookings. Co-editor, https://goodauthority.org/ sarahbinder.weebly.com
Some thoughts on the Slaughter-house Six and the death of Humphrey’s Executor on @goodauth.bsky.social … and look for @sarahbinder.bsky.social and Mark Spindel on the companion Cook decision too! goodauthority.org/news/after-t...
After the Supreme Court’s Slaughter decision, how far does the president’s power extend?
There’s a place for Congress in structuring the executive branch.
goodauthority.org
New @goodauth.bsky.social post w/ Mark Spindel on Supreme Court Trump v Cook decision. Throws 🛟 to Gov Cook but carves out possibly only a tenuous safe harbor for the Federal Reserve. We also revise chief justice's revisionist history of central banking in America 🤓 goodauthority.org/news/scotus-...
SCOTUS stays Cook slaughter
What Trump v. Cook means for the Federal Reserve.
goodauthority.org
Kevin Warsh confirmed Fed chair on most partisan confirmation vote ever (since Congress mandated vote to confirm chair). Dems likely viewed Warsh too close to Trump, unwilling to distance himself from POTUS even on q of who won 2020 election. Writing's been on the wall; remarkable shift all the same
Key takeaway from Trump (🌮) move to abandon criminal investigation of Powell & Fed renovation cost overruns: Fed independence" is no sure thing. The Fed needs defenders-- players who will come to the Fed's defense when politicians try to bully central bankers for lower rates.
Wishful Axios thinking that GOP can move Warsh nom to a floor vote just as Dems secured confirmation vote for Justice Jackson in 2022. Then, 50/50 Senate had a temporary majority discharge rule to free measures/noms tied in comm. Today, GOP would first need 60 votes for cloture on discharge motion
Axios@axios.com · 5mo agoWhat happens next in the nomination of Kevin Warsh, the president's pick to succeed Powell on May 15, is as cloudy as ever.
The Federal Reserve is still playing defense. Here are four takeaways from the latest bouts between Trump and the Federal Reserve. Read the latest from @sarahbinder.bsky.social & Mark Spindel: goodauthority.org/news/the-fed...
The Federal Reserve is still playing defense
The Federal Reserve is still playing defense. Four takeaways from the latest bouts between Trump and the Federal Reserve.
goodauthority.org
The Fed might seem on a roll. Today it drew support from SCOTUS; last week, from markets & key GOP senators. But the Fed is not out of the woods. New @goodauth.bsky.social post w/ Mark Spindel on why Fed remains on defense & vulnerable to POTUS efforts to steer it. goodauthority.org/news/the-fed...
The Federal Reserve is still playing defense
The Federal Reserve is still playing defense. Four takeaways from the latest bouts between Trump and the Federal Reserve.
goodauthority.org
New post for @democracyproject.bsky.social's "100 ideas" on the challenges of president-proofing legislative agencies-- especially GAO. Time is running out for Congress to consider ways to protect its non-partisan watchdog from a vortex of presidential power. democracyproject.org/posts/insula...
Insulating Legislative Agencies
A broad range of views on democracy to help break the stalemate caused by partisan conflict.
democracyproject.org
Powell goes full Schattschneider 🤓! Expand the scope of conflict, get audience off the sidelines & into the game. Gambit to rally political support for Fed & put Trump on defensive. Reminder that Fed depends on political support (from lawmakers, markets, judges, POTUS) to secure its “independence”
Federal Reserve@federalreserve.gov · 7mo agoVideo message from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell: www.youtube.com/watch?v=KckG... www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
Where's Congress on Venezuela? New Brookings post: Don't count on Congress but don't count it out either. Bipartisan Sen. WPR discharge vote today is case in point: WH failed to keep GOP in line. POTUS use of force is not a cakewalk for POTUS or slim GOP majorities. www.brookings.edu/articles/the...
The global implications of the US military operation in Venezuela | Brookings
Brookings scholars assess the global implications of the U.S. military operation in Caracas, Venezuela.
brookings.edu
Discharge rule continues campaign for 2025 MVP award🏆! Coalition to extend ACA support hits 218 signatures, matching record 4 "entered" discharge petitions set 90 years ago (1937-8). Speakers today may have peak agenda power, but that's no match for angry 218 (and an organized minority).
Rare House discharge success today. Reminder that the rule was born of legislators' frustration with an overbearing and overreaching Speaker (Czar) Joe Cannon in 1910. Granted, Speakers Cannon & Johnson had different reasons to batten down the floor agenda. But overreach can sometimes prove costly!
Now this is a great speech for a POTUS to deliver when he visits the Federal Reserve (in 1937). Watch FDR live! (starts at .22) sarahbinder.weebly.com/uploads/3/1/... Or read the whole speech here 🤓 www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/ad...
What to expect while you're expecting (Massie's discharge petition ...)
Sarah Binder @sarahbinder.bsky.social · last yr.Massie introduced rule on July15 to discharge unrelated bill. Rule has to be pending in Rules panel for 7 *legislative* days before he can file discharge petition. So it'll be Sept before he can file petition. At that point, any MC can sign it at Clerk's desk. www.congress.gov/bill/119th-c...
Senate GOP tactics to make 2017 tax cuts "permanent" required nuclear move on Senate floor-- weakening authority of the parliamentarian, blowing hole in Byrd Rule, & possibly making future debt crisis more likely. New @goodauth.bsky.social post on fallout from OBBB goodauthority.org/news/three-b...
Three big takeaways from that “One Big Beautiful Bill.“
Republican tactics seem likely to weaken the Senate – and make fiscal crisis more likely.
goodauthority.org
Reminder on Byrd process: Parliamentarian has identified OBBB text that violates Byrd rule. Her advice doesn’t block text. She’s saying: If GOP still keep Byrd-offending text in OBBB & send it to floor, a senator can cry fowl (😉). Supporters would then need 60 votes to keep each proposal in bill.
Sarah Binder @sarahbinder.bsky.social · last yr.Senate parliamentarian never sleeps! More Byrd droppings! These Ag panel droppings will get most 👀: Mandating ⬆️ state $$ contributions to fund SNAP & banning undocumented from food benefits These Byrd calls very slightly shift OBBB to center. Likely angers hawks, but might help Thune. Full list ⬇️
Senate parliamentarian never sleeps! More Byrd droppings! These Ag panel droppings will get most 👀: Mandating ⬆️ state $$ contributions to fund SNAP & banning undocumented from food benefits These Byrd calls very slightly shift OBBB to center. Likely angers hawks, but might help Thune. Full list ⬇️
Several Additional Provisions in Republicans’ “One Big, Beautiful Bill” Are Subject to 60-Vote Threshold, According to Senate Parliamentarian | U.S. Senate Committee On The Budget
The Official U.S. Senate Committee On The Budget
budget.senate.gov
Byrd droppings piling up from S Banking text. GOP-sought savings from Fed/CFPB are good reminder of Fed's *structural* independence. Guessing Byrd rule blocks zero'ing out of CFPB & Fed staff salary cuts, since Fed is self-funded & not reliant on Congress for appropriations.
Why did Trump send such a narrow and small rescission request to Congress? New @Brookings.edu FixGov post on the politics and rules of rescinding appropriations spending under federal budget law— and what’s at stake. www.brookings.edu/articles/tru...
Trump wants Congress to vote for his rescissions. Are Republicans willing to own the cuts?
President Trump has sent a “rescission” package to Capitol Hill, proposing $9.4 billion in cuts to international aid and public broadcasting.
brookings.edu
House GOP pay-fors more draconian for tax cuts this year compared to 2017 TCJA. Primary 2017 revenue raiser was🧂🧢 (after "border tax" killed). This time, slimmer GOP seeks more costly tax cuts & more politically salient revenue raisers (Medicaid/SNAP/ACA/Pell✂️). Pulls bill much farther to the right.
Congress was hiding in plain sight 🤓. Join me & @johnsides.bsky.social for Episode 2 of @goodauth.bsky.social's Where's Congress? We consider the big (yes), beautiful (eye of beholder) bill House GOP are trying to pass thru House --Senate GOP views be damned (for now) www.youtube.com/watch?v=UvfR...
Would Democrats take advantage of GOP-proposed tax-free "MAGA savings accounts" for their kids? Would be a good test of "partisanship is a powerful drug." Pre-register your survey experiment(s) now 🤓
Re-appointed [Faculty] Senate parliamentarian. Unanimous consent, no objections 🤣 🤞🏻🤞🏻I don’t get ignored or fired 😳
