⚠️ 3:15pm Tuesday: A Tornado WARNING has been issued for Hamilton and southwestern Butler Counties through 3:45pm. This includes #Cincinnati. The storm is moving southeast at 45 mph. Protect yourself from flying debris! ⚠️

⚠️ 3:09pm Tuesday: A Tornado WARNING has been issued for southeastern Franklin, northeastern Ripley, Dearborn, northern Boone, and western central Hamilton Counties through 3:30pm. The storm is moving southeast at 45 mph. Do not wait to seek shelter! ⚠️

⚠️ 2:59pm Tuesday: A Severe Thunderstorm WARNING has been issued for Franklin, Ripley, Union, Dearborn, southeastern Fayette, northwestern Hamilton, and Butler Counties through 3:45pm. The storm is moving southeast at 45 mph. The storm may produce 70 mph wind gusts. Move to shelter! ⚠️

⚠️ JUST IN: A NEW Severe Thunderstorm WATCH or an expansion of the existing watch will be needed for the rest of the Tri-State within the next hour or so. Prepare now for destructive wind gusts and possible tornadoes late this afternoon! ⚠️ Technical discussion: www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/...

⚠️ JUST IN: A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect through 8pm Tuesday for Fayette, Union, Franklin, Butler, Warren, and Clinton County. Storms this afternoon and evening will be capable of destructive straight-line winds and tornadoes. An additional watch may be issued later today. Be alert! ⚠️

⚠️ JUST IN: A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect through 8pm Tuesday for Fayette, Union, Franklin, Butler, Warren, and Clinton County. Storms this afternoon and evening will be capable of destructive straight-line winds and tornadoes. An additional watch may be issued later today. Be alert! ⚠️

⚠️ JUST IN: A NEW Severe Thunderstorm WATCH will likely be issued for the Tri-State within the next couple of hours. You should prepare NOW for damaging to destructive straight-line wind gusts and possible tornadoes between 2pm and 8pm! ⚠️ Technical discussion: www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/...

Meanwhile near #Chicago at this hour...

Round #1 of strong/severe storms is ending. Round #2 of strong/severe storms comes between 1pm and 9pm (storm clusters and bowing segments are already organizing to our northwest). 🧵...

⚠️ The entire Tri-State is in a Level 3 out of 5 risk for severe storms and a Level 4 out of 5 risk for flash flooding through this evening. More storms are coming this afternoon and evening! Severe storm are most likely between 1pm and 8pm. Be alert! ⚠️

⚠️ JUST IN: A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect through 2pm Tuesday for all in the Tri-State except Ripley County. This means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms - including the threat of large hail and damaging straight-line wind gusts. ⚠️

Sunrise today in Cincinnati is at 6:46am; it comes 6 minutes later by next Tuesday. Sunset tonight is at 8:39pm; sunset will be 45 minutes earlier one month from today.

There is a significant threat for severe storms and flash flooding tomorrow! Mowing will be tricky the next four days. Plan on showers and storms Tuesday. The wind is noticeable the next five days. Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday are steamy, and Friday and Saturday are humid.

⚠️ The Tri-State is in a Level 3 to 4 risk for flash flooding Tuesday and Tuesday night. The last Level 4 risk for Cincinnati was issued in April 2025; historically, this is a once-or-twice per year flash flooding threat. Be prepared! Expect 2-4" of rain through 8am Thursday.⚠️

@akrherz.bsky.social Hey, Daryl! Do you have one of these for WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlooks? mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/nws/spc_outl... Thanks!

Scattered showers and storms are forecast Tuesday morning, and showers and storms are forecast tomorrow afternoon. Showers and storms are forecast Wednesday, and scattered showers and storms are forecast Thursday and Friday.

I'm a bit skeptical of this Severe Thunderstorm Watch. I'll increase the coverage of storms to scattered this evening given a disturbance approaching from the west, but I still see the best support for severe storms in our area to our north (over the Miami Valley and central Ohio). 🧵...

⚠️ JUST IN: A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect through 8pm Monday for the entire Tri-State. While strong to severe storms can't be ruled out, I'm skeptical on this watch! I feel the higher threat for severe storms will be to our north in the Miami Valley back into central Ohio. ⚠️

⚠️ JUST IN: Nearly the entire Tri-State has been UPGRADED to a Level 3 out of 5 risk for severe storms tomorrow and tomorrow night. Damaging straight-line wind gusts and flash flooding are the main concerns. ⚠️

⚠️ JUST IN: A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect through 8pm Monday for Adams and Highland County. Despite the watch, it appears storms that prompted the watch will stay way of the Tri-State.⚠️

Tricky forecast, but the right thing to do is to lower the coverage of showers and storms this afternoon and evening based on radar and guidance trends. Heat and humidity are here, but other triggers are lacking. 🧵...

⚠️ Most of the Tri-State is in a Level 2 out of 5 risk for severe storms through tonight. I'll reduce the risk of severe storms a bit and shift the main severe window to this evening and early in the overnight based on radar and guidance trends. ⚠️

Good morning! Expect waves of showers and storms the next few days. Strong storms, severe storms, and flash flooding are concerns through mid-week. Despite this, we can look forward to less heat and humidity nearing the weekend.

Plan for showers and storms tomorrow. Showers and storms are forecast Tuesday and Wednesday, and scattered showers and storms are forecast Thursday.

Severe storms and flash flooding are concerns for the work week. Mowing will be tricky the next five days. The wind is noticeable during the work week. Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday are steamy, and Friday will be humid.

⚠️ Showers and storms will produce 2-4" of rain in the Tri-State and #Cincinnati during the work week, and some will likely see a bit more than that. Much of this will fall late tonight through Wednesday night. Flash flooding is a concern through at least Thursday. ⚠️

⚠️ There is a Level 2 out of 5 risk for severe storms in the northern half of the Tri-State tomorrow. Damaging straight-line wind gusts are the main threat, and flash flooding is a secondary threat both in the morning and again in the late afternoon and evening. ⚠️

We're quiet this evening, but guidance trends support a wave of storms from late tonight through tomorrow morning then another round late tomorrow afternoon into the evening. Some storms may be strong or severe. 🧵...

With this update, I'll increase cloud cover through this evening and raise afternoon highs based on observation and guidance trends. 🧵...

Heat indices reach into the 80s and 90s Sunday through Thursday. The wind is sustained between 5 and 15mph through Thursday. Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday are steamy, and Thursday will be humid. Tomorrow is the best day to get your yard work done in the next few.