Round 3 of Kleros Foresight is live. 20 films, 28 days of trading, and one question: What percentile would Clément give each movie? Market estimates so far: Kin-dza-dza! – 51.86% Interrogation – 51.83% Elysium – 51.43% Lolita – 51.43% Tenet – 50.78% Trade now!
Round 3 of Kleros Foresight is live. 20 films, 28 days of trading, and one question: What percentile would Clément give each movie? Market estimates so far: Kin-dza-dza! – 51.86% Interrogation – 51.83% Elysium – 51.43% Lolita – 51.43% Tenet – 50.78% Trade now!
Sneak peek at the rebrand site while we finalize things. Top 5 get $100 in credits each. And if we end up pulling anything from your brandkit into the winning identity - a wordmark, a typography direction, or something else, that's another $100, even if you're not in the top 5. Soon.
One clarification ahead of the market opening. Seer reserves the right to make minor adjustments to the winning submission after selection; standard practice in professional branding, where a team adopts a complete… https://firefly.social/post/ff-ae7d3e7489434b23873748913c1ad4e8?s=bsky
We're halfway through the Seer Rebrand Contest. A quick recap: • A new logo, wordmark, and core identity system • Colour schemes with hex codes • A short creative direction note (1–2 paragraphs) • 2–3 example applications (website header, social asset, UI mockup, or docs header)
The 5 movies Clément will watch for Kleros Foresight season 2: - Top 3 by market estimate: Ghost in the Shell, Cloud Atlas, The Big Short - 1 random pick: Les Misérables - 1 personal choice: The Menu All movies will be watched and markets resolved within the month.
@seer-pm.bsky.social · last mo..~12 hours left to bet on taste! The Foresight movie experiment closes on Sunday. 20 films. $10k in liquidity. One question: what will Clement rate each one? Top of the market right now: • Ghost in the Shell - 78.01% •… https://firefly.social/post/ff-1050b356ebe145098b252fca466b62cd?s=bsky
What are the odds they run it back? The reigning World Cup champions just showed what they're made of. Despite being down two goals against Egypt, they clawed back and won.
.~12 hours left to bet on taste! The Foresight movie experiment closes on Sunday. 20 films. $10k in liquidity. One question: what will Clement rate each one? Top of the market right now: • Ghost in the Shell - 78.01% •… https://firefly.social/post/ff-1050b356ebe145098b252fca466b62cd?s=bsky
A market on Octant Epoch 12 allocations is now live! Forecast the % of funding each project will receive and profit if you’re closer to reality than the current market. This generates two allocation signals: the official… https://firefly.social/post/ff-8dad2d76c3ba47b6b8e1f6fb199c3740?s=bsky
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A market on Octant Epoch 12 allocations is now live! Forecast the % of funding each project will receive and profit if you’re closer to reality than the current market. This generates two allocation signals: the official Octant outcome and the market’s estimate of what that outcome should be. Trade the round here: https://deep.seer.pm
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