Oleg Shakirov

@shakirov2036.bsky.social

I study Russian foreign policy, cyber security, arms control

My paper got accepted for a pretty cool panel at #ISA2027 A lot of cyber conflict research focuses on offensive operations, but I think it's as important (and maybe even more challenging) to analyze defensive operations during the war

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Kaspersky reports on NightEagle's attacks on firms in Russia, an expansion of geography This actor was first exposed in July 2025 by QiAnXin (as APT-Q-95) & Qihoo 360 (as APT-C-78) for attacking China Both CN vendors labeled it a North American APT securelist.com/tr/nighteagl...

NightEagle APT targets Russian organizations

Kaspersky GERT experts have uncovered a new campaign by the NightEagle APT, featuring the GhostContainer backdoor and tools hosted on GitHub. The group is also exploiting vulnerabilities in Active Dir...

securelist.com

I wasn't accepted to a conference with a presentation on militarily significant cyber attacks. But I've just discovered a little noticed but very relevant case illustrating my argument. Alas, I still need to find a place to speak about it

What books on the challenges of cyber defense would you recommend? Not too technical, but also not to geopolitical My picks: The Fifth Domain by Richard Clarke & Robert Knake; You'll See This Message When It Is Too Late by Josephine Wolff; A Vulnerable System by Andrew Stewart

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Among the things that puzzle me about last week's memo allowing private companies to engage in offensive cyber ops is that I don't get why the United States need this. It has overwhelming cyber capabilities, whose funding & skill is far beyond anyone 1/4 www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...

Expanding Capabilities to Combat Transnational Cyber-Enabled Crime

MEMORANDUM FOR THE VICE PRESIDENT THE SECRETARY OF STATE THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY THE SECRETARY OF WAR THE ATTORNEY GENERAL THE SECRETARY OF COMMERCE

whitehouse.gov

Personnel change in Russian cyber diplomacy. Artur Lyukmanov, Russia's cyber ambassador, has been appointed Ambassador to Egypt & Representative to the Arab League. His successor at the International Information Security Department at the Foreign Ministry hasn't been announced yet

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I can't find the text of the agreement establishing the World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization. It was signed nearly two weeks ago but I've seen neither Chinese, nor English version. This is pretty unusual for modern international agreements. Has anyone seen it?

U.S. concerns about China's prepositioning in critical systems are somewhat similar to Soviet/Russian fears in the early 90s that the U.S. could change parity through backdoors in imported tech Here's one example from an article by military officer turned scholar Rafael Yusupov

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Join me on a little 30-second rabbit hole... 🕳️🐇 There’s something weird about the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs’ statement in response to the Five Eyes security bulletin, as shared below. Have a close read, if you can see it. I myself didn't until I added the statement to my copy. [1/11]

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Davis Center's abandoned domain for the Working Group on the Future of U.S.-Russia Relations is now a "Russian dating site." Sweet that the new owner still pays homage to the original project & keeps US-Russia Future in the head

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TIL that, in 2002, Kazakhstan & China signed an agreement on the Prevention of Dangerous Military Activities (DMA) Because it's modeled on the 1989 Soviet-U.S. DMA, it includes procedures for ship-to-ship communications Which is very helpful given the geography of their border

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Russia and China consider new steps to expand their digital cooperation including on software development and satellite Internet and declare adherence to cyber norms. In this post, I review the relevant sections of the recent joint statement from Beijing fromcyberia.substack.com/p/putin-and-...

Putin and Xi Plan for Co(de)dependence

Russia and China consider expanding their digital cooperation per the joint statement following recent talks in Beijing.

fromcyberia.substack.com