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Sinan Ciddi

@sinanciddi.bsky.social

Associate Professor, Security Studies Marine Corps University, CSC | Non-Resident Senior Fellow on Turkey @FDD | Adjunct Professor @georgetownsfs

231 Posts665 Follower77 Folgt
Sinan Ciddi@sinanciddi.bsky.social · 2w ago

The S-400 was never 🇹🇷's only problem. ZTE owns ~48% of its top telecom integrator. Huawei runs its mobile networks. Reinstating 🇹🇷 into the F-35 program means flying 🇺🇸 most guarded jet through a network 🇨🇳 can tap at will. Our piece for @thecipherbrief.bsky.social with Jack Burnham

Ankara's Charm Offensive Should Not Buy Back the F-35

The choreography in Ankara last week was impressive, even by Recep Tayyip Erdogan's standards. Cannons fired, mounted honor guards paraded, and jets flew overhead trailing red, white, and blue smoke a...

thecipherbrief.com

Sinan Ciddi@sinanciddi.bsky.social · 4w ago

If your “solution” to the S-400 crisis is simply changing the shipping address, you’re solving 🇹🇷 political headache—not 🇺🇸 security dilemma. Congress should reject any backdoor attempt to revive the F-35 deal through a Gulf transfer. My latest for FDD w/my colleague Tyler Stapleton

Selling the S-400 to Qatar or the UAE Solves Turkey's Problem, Not Washington's

Turkey’s decade-long standoff with Washington over the S-400 may finally be nearing an inflection point, though not in the tidy way Ankara once imagined, and not without a fresh dose of frustration...

fdd.org

Howard Eissenstat@heissenstat.bsky.social · 4w ago

“There’s a difference between an illiberal democracy and a hybrid regime. There’s a difference between a hybrid regime and full-bore authoritarianism and a single-party state.” My comments in the NY Sun, along with my friend @sinanciddi.bsky.social www.nysun.com/article/in-n...

In NATO Summit at Ankara, Turkey’s Deepening Crackdown on Dissent Was the Unspoken Issue | The New York Sun

President Trump and European leaders kept their attention focused elsewhere even as Turkey fills its jails with critics and opposition figures.

nysun.com

Sinan Ciddi@sinanciddi.bsky.social · last mo.

NATO is a collective alliance that safeguards the security of all its members. It is not a body created to further one autocrat’s irredentist vision. The Trump administration should remember that before approving F-35 sales to 🇹🇷 My latest for FDD

Sinan Ciddi@sinanciddi.bsky.social · last mo.

Washington appears to be moving forward to sell jet engines to 🇹🇷 Call me ignorant, but this seems like a particularly unwise move, given the almost daily news that details Ankara's support of terrorism My latest for @FDD with @AhmadA_Sharawi www.fdd.org/analysis/202...

Hamas Haven Provided by Turkey Fuels Terror in the West Bank

Israel’s Shin Bet security agency announced that it had foiled dozens of planned terror attacks in the West Bank directed by Hamas operatives in Turkey over the past year. According to the agency,...

fdd.org

Sinan Ciddi@sinanciddi.bsky.social · 2mo ago

My latest for the Jerusalem Post, I argue "Erdogan’s regime may be more brittle than it seems. But frailty does not guarantee openings. Sometimes it breeds regimes more ruthless in repression, more wary of rivals, more willing to demolish the last channels for peaceful change"

Recep Tayyip Erdogan is dismantling Turkey’s last democratic safeguards | The Jerusalem Post

A court ruling targeting the CHP shows how Turkey's institutions now serve power rather than democratic change.

jpost.com

Sinan Ciddi@sinanciddi.bsky.social · 2mo ago

"What is unfolding is no longer simply democratic backsliding. It is the deliberate use of state power to ensure political competition no longer poses a genuine threat to Erdogan's rule" My take on the decapitation of 🇹🇷 main opposition CHP for FDD

Sinan Ciddi@sinanciddi.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Since (at least) 2023, I have (reluctantly) argued that Erdogan will not leave office through elections The 5/21 decapitation of CHP’s elected leadership was the final indicator In my latest for the National Interest, I outline the grave consequences👇for 🇹🇷

Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s ‘Decapitation Strike’ on Turkey’s Opposition Party

In April 1960, Turkey’s second president, Ismet Inonu, and leader of the founding Republican People’s Party (CHP), issued a stern warning to the ruling Democrat Party (DP): Now, the revolution...

fdd.org

Sinan Ciddi@sinanciddi.bsky.social · 3mo ago

In my latest for The National Interest, I argue 🇹🇷 PMC "SADAT is fundamental to Turkish leaders’ desire for military power and Islamist influence in Africa and maintains a presence in nine states across the Horn of Africa, the Sahel, and the Maghreb"

SADAT: Turkey’s Wagner Group

Excerpt Turkey’s use of private military actors has become an increasingly important—if opaque —feature of its foreign policy toolkit. Among these, SADAT International Defense Consultancy stands...

fdd.org

Sinan Ciddi@sinanciddi.bsky.social · 3mo ago

My latest Insight piece w/my FDD colleague Jonathan Schanzer “The job of the 🇺🇸 ambassador to 🇹🇷 is not to make Ankara feel validated; it’s defend U.S. interests, uphold alliances, and confront a partner whose policies have repeatedly empowered America’s adversaries”

America’s Ambassador to Turkey Is Undermining U.S. Interests

U.S. Ambassador to Turkey Tom Barrack raised eyebrows last weekend at the Antalya Diplomacy Forum when he stated, “Turkey is not a country to be messed with,” –– a remark intended to blame Israel...

fdd.org

Sinan Ciddi@sinanciddi.bsky.social · 4mo ago

My first piece for JP w/ FDD colleague Natalie Ecanow ends nonsensical portrayals of 🇹🇷 as a "difficult" ally As we argue "the danger lies not in exaggerating Ankara’s ambitions, but in continuing to excuse them while they erode the very alliance structures that have long sustained Western security"

Is Turkey becoming a Middle East adversary to the West? | The Jerusalem Post

Turkey’s growing regional influence and ties to Hamas challenge NATO and US security.

jpost.com

Sinan Ciddi@sinanciddi.bsky.social · 4mo ago

🇹🇷 has many demands from 🇺🇸: F-35s, engines, sanctions relief... What is it offering the in return? Certainly no help with the Iran war 🇹🇷 has a sizable navy and mine clearing capabilities. Trump should demand co-operation My latest for @washingtonexaminer.bsky.social

Turkey is the NATO ally Trump should pressure first

Turkey takes U.S. aid, dodges U.S. asks, and still wants F-35s. If Trump wants NATO reciprocity, Ankara is the place to start.

washingtonexaminer.com

Dr Dion Georgiou 🇨🇾❤️🇬🇾@drdiongeorgiou.bsky.social · 5mo ago

'Storm clouds in the East Med? Turkey's escalation in Cyprus, Israel's offensive against Hezbollah, and Imamoglu's trial', w/ @thanosdavelis.bsky.social, @sinanciddi.bsky.social, Elisa Ewers, @liselhintz.bsky.social & Henri Barkey, on @kathimerini.gr & HALC's The Greek Current podcast.

Storm clouds in the East Med? Turkey's escalation in Cyprus, Israel's offensive against Hezbollah, and Imamoglu's trial

open.spotify.com

Turkey recap@turkeyrecap.bsky.social · 5mo ago

"Storm clouds in the East Med? Turkey's escalation in Cyprus, Israel's offensive against Hezbollah, and Imamoglu's trial" with @sinanciddi.bsky.social, Elisa Ewers, @liselhintz.bsky.social and Henri Barkey hosted by @thanosdavelis.bsky.social. [4/5]

Storm clouds in the East Med? Turkey's escalation in Cyprus, Israel's offensive against Hezbollah, and Imamoglu's trial | The Greek Current

Sinan Ciddi, Elisa Ewers, Lisel Hintz, and Henri Barkey join Thanos Davelis this week as we take a closer look at Turkey’s decision to deploy fighter jets to the occupied part of Cyprus, Israel’s esca...

thegreekcurrent.simplecast.com

Sinan Ciddi@sinanciddi.bsky.social · 5mo ago

During the Syrian civil war 1000’s 🇹🇷 nationals joined ISIS & over 40K foreign fighters were permitted to transit 🇹🇷’s “jihadi highway” to join the “cause” unhindered Now Ankara has to repatriate its ISIS brethren. My latest for FDD w/Ahmad Sharawi

Turkey Negotiates Repatriation of ISIS Detainees It Once Enabled

After years of serving as a key transit hub for foreign fighters and an enabler of the Islamic State’s (ISIS’s) campaign to establish a caliphate, Turkey is now in negotiations to repatriate its own.....

fdd.org