Jason Hancock and Rudi Keller break down the latest SLU/YouGov poll, what it says about Missouri’s political mood and whether signs of a strong Democratic year nationally could reach the state. #moleg #mogov

Could a ‘blue wave’ reach Missouri? What the latest poll says about November • Missouri Independent

Could a blue wave reach Missouri? The latest SLU/YouGov poll offers clues on Trump, Mike Kehoe, turnout and the 2026 election.

missouriindependent.com

🦠 St. Louis County reported its first measles case in 20 years today. In our August SLU/YouGov Poll, 85% of Missouri voters said the MMR vaccine should be required for eligible children to attend public schools. 🧵

💸 The Fed raised interest rates by 0.25 percentage point yesterday. What did affordability look like for Missouri voters before that decision? In our August SLU/YouGov Poll, majorities were worried about six of the seven household expenses we asked about. 🧵

🏗️ How much of Missouri voters’ opposition to data centers is “not in my backyard”? Our new SLU/YouGov Poll included a question-order experiment, and the results suggest where voters imagine the data center matters. 🧵

📊 Missouri voters are pretty gloomy about the economy, roads and public schools. But ask about their own physical and mental health, and the picture looks much brighter. Here’s how voters rate conditions in our new August 2026 SLU/YouGov Poll. 🧵

🗺️ Missouri redistricting is in the headlines (again) today after the U.S. Supreme Court’s ruling. But as attention turns to Proposition A, our new SLU/YouGov Poll suggests many voters may still be confused about what a YES or NO vote actually means. 🧵

📊 New SLU/YouGov Poll: Trump and Kehoe are underwater for the first time in our polling. Trump: 48% approve, 52% disapprove Kehoe: 40% approve, 49% disapprove Here’s what changed since February—and among key groups. 🧵

💸 Big hearing today on asking voters whether to replace the state income tax with a sales tax. Our 2025 SLU/YouGov Poll asked voters: "Would you support or oppose eliminating Missouri's state income tax?" 52% support, 25% oppose, but 73% of Reps support it vs. 23% of Dems📊(1/5)

In the February 2025 SLU/YouGov Poll, Missouri voters were split (44-43) on whether public schools should provide laptops or tablets to elementary school students. Note, *provision* of a laptop is not the same as Tricia Byrnes's legislation.

Missouri Independent@missouriindependent.com · 6mo ago

Public school districts will be encouraged to limit elementary school student use of iPads and laptops in the classroom under a Missouri House bill approved in a 143-10 vote Monday. #moleg #mogov

When asked in February 2026 by the SLU/YouGov Poll, 46% of Missouri likely voters said they approved of how ICE was handling its job, and 50% disapproved. Note, due to the split sample, this difference is within the margin of error

St. Louis Post-Dispatch@stltoday.com · 6mo ago

County Executive Steve Ehlmann tried to dispel concerns stemming from the collaboration, which will train up to 10 county police officers to assist U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement here.

Rep. Graves announced he will not seek reelection. 📊In the statewide February 2026 SLU/YouGov Poll, 51% of Missouri likely voters said they would support the Republican candidate in the 2026 election, 29% would support the Democratic candidate, & 7% were not sure.

Jason Rosenbaum@jasonrosenbaum.bsky.social · 7mo ago

WSJ reports what Missouri politicos have heard for a couple of month: Rep. Sam Graves is bowing out of his re-election bid. His northern Missouri district is safely Republican, even under the new map. But the other aspect of the rumor mill is lots of potential successors don't want to run:

⚾ Happy Opening Day, Missouri! 🎉 In August 2024, Missouri voters told the SLU/YouGov Poll their favorite baseball teams: ⚾️41% are Cardinals fans ⚾️20% back the Royals ⚾️26% have no favorite team PLAY BALL! 📊

In February 2025, Missouri voters told the SLU/YouGov Poll that children should be at least 12-years old before being legally able to access a social media account. www.slu.edu/research/res...

Home • Missouri Independent [Unofficial]@missouriindependent.com.web.brid.gy · 7mo ago

When asked in the February 2026 SLU/YouGov Poll whether they support the Missouri legislature's redistricting, 41% of voters supported the legislature's actions. 44% opposed. Interestingly, only 68% of Republicans supported the legislature's actions, while 86% of Democrats opposed.

St. Louis Post-Dispatch@stltoday.com · 7mo ago

The decision means Missourians will have to bring a photo ID to the polling place

The February 2026 SLU/YouGov Poll found that 41% of Missouri likely voters supported the state legislature adopting a new map, and 44% opposed. Interestingly Democrats were 18% more likely to oppose than Republicans were to favor the legislature's actions. More at slu.edu/poll

Stephen Wolf@stephenwolf.bsky.social · 7mo ago

Big news in the fight against GOP gerrymanders: Missouri group announces that local officials have verified enough voter signatures to suspend the new GOP congressional map until a veto referendum takes place. But GOP officials are trying to drag out the process to thwart it, & litigation is going

📚 Missouri voters are on board with public high schools discussing sexual orientation, according to our Aug 2023 SLU/YouGov Poll. Support drops, though, when it comes to middle and elementary schools.

SCOTUSblog@scotusblog.com · last yr.

NEW: In Mahmoud v. Taylor, a case about whether religious families have a First Amendment right to opt out of public school lessons involved LGBTQ themes, the court holds that the families are likely to succeed and are entitled to a preliminary injunction.

In August 2023, the SLU/YouGov Poll surveyed likely Missouri voters about public book bans of stories that feature LGBTQ youth. Most Missouri likely voters are opposed to such bans:

SCOTUSblog@scotusblog.com · last yr.

NEW: In Mahmoud v. Taylor, a case about whether religious families have a First Amendment right to opt out of public school lessons involved LGBTQ themes, the court holds that the families are likely to succeed and are entitled to a preliminary injunction.

"The legislation, if signed into law, would allow Missouri to offer incentives to pay for up to 50% of new or improved stadiums for the teams." In Aug 2024, only 8% of Missouri voters said the state government should pay at least 50% of stadium costs.

Kacen J. Bayless@kacen.bsky.social · last yr.

BREAKING: Missouri's plan to keep the Chiefs, Royals inside state lines is close to becoming law after narrowly passing the state Senate. Inside the vote, which came just before 2:30 a.m. after hours of chaotic dealmaking, and what's next for the proposal. www.kansascity.com/news/politic...

🏟️ As the special session kicks off, stadium funding takes center stage. In August 2024, the SLU/YouGov Poll found most Missouri voters, even Chiefs & Royals fans, think the state should cover 15% or less of new stadium costs. 📊 Full report: www.slu.edu/research/res...

🏟️ The SLU/YouGov Poll team broke down what Missouri voters think about the state government funding the construction of sports stadiums. 👇 slu.edu/research/res... 📊 Takeaway? Voters (including sports fans) believe owners, not the government, should foot most of the bill.

🏟️ State stadium funding? What do Missouri voters think (SLU/YouGov Poll Aug. 2024): 🔸 50% say team owners should cover at least 75% of stadium costs 📉Only 36% think the state should pay even 25% & fewer than 1 in 10 believe the state should pay 50% or more. A thread 🧵 (1/4)

In the August 2024 SLU/YouGov Poll, most Missouri voters said sports team owners - not the state government - should cover the cost of building stadiums.

Jason Hancock@jasonhancock.bsky.social · last yr.

Gov. Mike Kehoe will hold a press conference at the Missouri Capitol tomorrow at 10 am to announce details regarding a special session. #moleg #mogov

🔥 Memorial Day weekend is here—time to fire up the grills and smokers! 🍖 When it comes to BBQ, Missouri voters aren’t shy about their pick: Kansas City style beats St. Louis style by more than 2 to 1, according to the SLU/YouGov Poll. t.co/T6HJh1mGPb

In February 2025, a majority of Missouri voters supported expanding the Child Tax Credit from a max of $2,000 to $5,000. More Democrats than Republicans' supported Hawley's position.

Missouri Independent@missouriindependent.com · last yr.

U.S. House GOP backed a child tax credit bump. Josh Hawley wants much more #moleg #mogov

In 2022, the SLU/YouGov Poll found 60%+ of both D & R voters supported legal abortion in cases of rape, incest, or when the mother’s life is at risk. In Aug 2023, voters expressed more opposition to gender-affirming care for minors. *Note* these results are from '23 or earlier.

Jonathan Shorman@jonshorman.bsky.social · last yr.

BREAKING: Missouri will vote next year on whether to re-impose an abortion ban, after Republican lawmakers cut off a Democratic filibuster on Wednesday. The new statewide vote comes after Missouri voters overturned a ban in November w/ @kacen.bsky.social www.kansascity.com/news/politic...

💰 Missouri voters aren’t sold on footing the bill for pro sports stadiums. In Aug 2024, the SLU/YouGov Poll found most think the state should pay less than 20%, and a majority say under 13% is the right amount. They love the game, not the tab.

Missouri Independent@missouriindependent.com · last yr.

Missouri Gov. Mike Kehoe’s plan to cover up to half of the cost of a new stadium for the Royals and a refurbished Arrowhead Stadium for the Chiefs ran into a buzzsaw of bipartisan opposition in the state Senate Tuesday night. #moleg #mogov via @jasonhancock.bsky.social

It's Kentucky Derby hat day in the Missouri State Legislature. Photos from Alisa Nelson with Missourinet.com

In February 2025, a majority of Missouri likely voters told the SLU/YouGov Poll they support providing tuition benefits for first responders.

St. Louis Public Radio@stlpublicradio.bsky.social · last yr.

The Missouri legislature have voted to increase benefits for the families of police officers who die in the line of duty.

Learn more about what Missouri voters think about Open Enrollment in the SLU/YouGov Poll Open Enrollment Issue Summary www.slu.edu/research/res...

Missouri Independent@missouriindependent.com · last yr.

The split among Senate Republicans over a bill allowing Missouri students to enroll in neighboring school districts widened to a chasm they could not bridge Wednesday after the legislation was tied to an obligation to fully fund public education. #moleg #mogov via @anneliseh.bsky.social

📵 Parkway School District is cracking down on cell phones in schools. www.firstalert4.com/2025/04/17/p... They’re not alone—most Missouri voters agree. 📊The Feb 2025 SLU/YouGov Poll found 70%+ support for banning phones in elementary, middle, and high schools. @firstalert4.com