Kurt MIT-shock-man

@sorrytobekurt.bsky.social

Prof cemfi. Former Editor Restud. Macro, food, coffee and cocktails. 🌈🇩🇪🇸🇪🇺🇸

We started a project with Marcus and Anton Nakov a few months ago, and have had some extremely thought-stimulating calls. Perhaps the most vivid memory is from a call on Dec 24th, when after an almost 3-h brainstorm we got the code to run. We called it a Christmas miracle! RIP Marcus

Kurt MIT-shock-man@sorrytobekurt.bsky.social · last yr.

With great sadness, I announce the passing of my co-author and friend, Marcus Hagedorn. His acerbic wit was as sharp as the vision of Toni Kroos. He attacked big research questions like he tackled the mountains of Mallorca on his bike. He will be missed.

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Very sad news...the days that Marcus brought German intensity (and commentary) to the foosball table in McNeil seem only yesterday. My thoughts are with his family & friends. Rest in peace, Marcus.

With great sadness, I announce the passing of my co-author and friend, Marcus Hagedorn. His acerbic wit was as sharp as the vision of Toni Kroos. He attacked big research questions like he tackled the mountains of Mallorca on his bike. He will be missed.

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Reminder - submission deadline on Monday for the 17th annual Normac conference. Don't forget to submit! Email submissions to: normac.conference@gmail.com

Kurt MIT-shock-man@sorrytobekurt.bsky.social · last yr.

🚨 Call for Papers 🚨 Now accepting submissions for the 17th Annual Normac conference Keynote @aauclert.bsky.social Juniors in macro apply! A connection to the Nordics a + but not required. Send papers or abstracts to: normac.conference@gmail.com by April 7, 2025 www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/z6nly...

New Paper! This time with a thread. What determines the output effect of different fiscal stimulus policies? We offer a model, some analytical insights, and some numbers to help answer this. Joint with Tobias Broer, @jeppedruedahl.bsky.social and @harmenberg.bsky.social cepr.org/publications...

DP19823 Stimulus Effects of Common Fiscal Policies

We study the output responses to common fiscal policies in a macroeconomic framework with a frictional labor market, incomplete asset market and nominal rigidities. The frame- work admits data-consistent dynamics of hiring and firing and consumption responses to job loss, making it suitable for comparing the stabilizing effects of several household transfer policies and firm subsidies. Despite its richness, the model’s sequence-space representation is analytically tractable as a directed cycle graph between three blocks. This allows an “information-poor” ranking of fiscal multipliers on the basis of their partial-equilibrium fiscal costs alone, and identifies their key determinants. A baseline calibration predicts large differences in fiscal multipliers across policies. Relative to an increase in government consumption, the efficacy of universal or conditional transfers to households hinges on the degree of partial consumption insurance (through marginal propensities to consume and the response of precautionary savings). The relative efficacy of firm transfers depends on the elasticities of vacancies and separations to job values, the marginal propensity to consume out of dividend income, and the degree of nominal frictions.

cepr.org

Thanks to all our reviewers and to my co-editors for their very hard work and tight turnaround at the QJE @qjeharvard.bsky.social

The Quarterly Journal of Economics@qjeharvard.bsky.social · 2y ago

The #QJE received 1,972 new submissions during 2023:Q4 – 2024:Q3. 1,340 (68%) submissions were desk rejected and 632 were sent to referees. If sent to referees, median days to first decision = 34, mean days = 38, max days = 92. Thank you for your submissions, and to our referees!

Happy 100th Republic Day to Turkey 🇹🇷 I was there for the 90th ten years ago. The fireworks over the Bosphorus were probably the most spectacular I’ve ever seen. Probably even better tonight for the 100th!

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