Our new paper has an explanation for both slowing TFP growth and increasing R&D that is consistent with the Fort et al interpretation that the links between a firm’s R&D and *other* firms’ productivity has weakened.

Soumaya Keynes@soumayakeynes.ft.com · last mo.

Are ideas getting harder to find? Almost a decade ago, a banger of a study said YES. Over decades the US economy had been ploughing resources into R&D, with only slowing TFP growth to show for it. BUT newer evidence suggests more grounds for optimism 🧵 My latest column: as.ft.com/r/ee54d3c9-c...

Just finished this - a lovely read!

Emma-Lee Moss@emmaleemoss.bsky.social · 2mo ago

My Cantopop Nights: a Memoir in Songs is out now! www.penguin.co.uk/books/456270...

Just seen The Odyssey and my contribution to the discourse is that the meat soup looked gross

Struggling to cope with work from home? Maybe your business has a deeper management problem... New episode of The Economics Show with @NickBloom.bsky.social Transcript: www.ft.com/content/17c3... Listen: podfollow.com/economics-show

Looks like work from home boosted... baby making From the latest episode of The Economics Show podcast with Nick Bloom Transcript: www.ft.com/content/17c3... Listen: podfollow.com/economics-show

ft.com

Even if wealth inequality hasn't changed, the relative importance of income and wealth has. Fab column from @JBurnMurdoch.ft.com www.ft.com/content/6a35...

How the "Nostradamus of AI" fell from grace. Great reporting from my FT colleagues www.ft.com/content/620b...

Could we be at a productivity inflection point? New episode of The Economics Show with @NickBloom.bsky.social is cautiously optimistic... Transcript: www.ft.com/content/17c3... Listen: podfollow.com/economics-show

I don't want to be mean to the model but uh the residuals are quite large aren't they

High frequency data suggests that China's contribution to global imbalances is growing from IMF External Sector Report

IMF notes that the recent widening in China's external balance has set records

just realised that today is the last day of my mid-30s, which is why my next column will be titled "death comes for us all in the end"

China's share of the UK's goods trade flows looks familiar - growing as a share of imports, shrinking as a share of exports. From my column this week, on the UK's exposure to China Shock 2.0. www.ft.com/content/0ed8...

How exposed is the UK to China Shock 2.0? My column this week: www.ft.com/content/0ed8...

How exposed is the UK to China Shock 2.0? My column this week: www.ft.com/content/0ed8...

When I'm queen I will ban line graphs with curvy lines instead of jagged ones. Curvy ones make it hard to see how high frequency the data are and make it hard to read specific data points. I will hear no opposing views on the matter.

DELIGHTED to be on The Rest is Money, one of my favourite econ pods, to talk tariffs. Thanks @stephmcgovern.bsky.social & @peston.bsky.social! Come for nerdy tariff analysis, stay for me reminiscing about my child labourer days, beading hair clips for my school fair www.youtube.com/watch?v=zHrD...

Trump’s new tariffs - can anyone win a trade war?

How has Trump got away with bringing in new tariffs when the last lot were ruled unlawful? Why is the UK in a worse position than the EU now? Are trade wars always bad? Had anyone ever won one…

youtube.com

Thanks to @Channel4News for having me on the Fourcast podcast to talk tariffs! www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mj1r...

Huge thanks to Paul Krake for a wonderful review of "How to Win a Trade War"! Full review here: viewfromthepeak.substack.com/p/serious-pe...

Great choice!!

Pete@trez8181.bsky.social · 2w ago

Cheers to the weekend! #trade #tradepolicy #tradenerd @chadpbown.com @soumayakeynes.ft.com

“a book about a deadly serious subject that is engaging, whimsical, and at times downright funny, and it is more authoritative for it, not less.“ Thanks to Paul Krake for his thoughtful review of HOW TO WIN A TRADE WAR, my new book with @soumayakeynes.ft.com

Serious People, Unserious Tone, A Summer Read

A review of How to Win a Trade War: An Optimistic Guide to an Anxious Global Economy by Soumaya Keynes and Chad P. Bown

viewfromthepeak.substack.com

Went on Channel 4's "The Fourcast" podcast to talk tariffs. Obviously brought along a copy of "How to Win a Trade War". Just in case, you know, they wanted a reading. (They didn't.) www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mj1r...

"How to Win a Trade War" made it to number 1 in the "Business Economics" Amazon bestsellers list! Very exciting! And if you want the Kindle edition for 99p ***today only*** then here's the link: www.amazon.co.uk/How-Win-Trad...

China's AI sector has so far emphasised open source models. Could that be about to change? New pod with @kyleichan.bsky.social Links to listen: www.ft.com/content/9f7d... Link to transcript: www.ft.com/content/672a...

GUYS GUYS GUYS FOR ONE DAY ONLY (and what a day for it) "How to Win a Trade War" is... 99p Get it on Kindle here: www.amazon.co.uk/How-Win-Trad...

🔍

Soumaya Keynes@soumayakeynes.ft.com · 2w ago

The Trump administration, just a big bunch of softies caring deeply about workers' rights around the world www.ft.com/content/0782...

In celebration of "How to Win a Trade War" being available on Kindle for 99p today, have a song I wrote, called "The UK's trade identity crisis" Kindle deal link here: www.amazon.co.uk/How-Win-Trad...

Is China watching the US and thinking "okay, you go billions and billions of dollars racing for this AGI thing, and we’ll just clean up afterwards and make sure that we get rich actually implementing it?" New podcast alert, with @kyleichan.bsky.social

In celebration of "How to Win a Trade War" being available on Kindle for 99p today, have a song I wrote, called "The UK's trade identity crisis" Kindle deal link here: www.amazon.co.uk/How-Win-Trad...

GUYS GUYS GUYS FOR ONE DAY ONLY (and what a day for it) "How to Win a Trade War" is... 99p Get it on Kindle here: www.amazon.co.uk/How-Win-Trad...