Andrew Gelman et al.
@statmodeling.bsky.social
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Survey Statistics: structured MRP to smooth survey weights statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/04/s...
Survey Statistics: structured MRP to smooth survey weights | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
Stand-up comedy—like teaching, and book writing—requires “a collaboration with the audience.” statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/04/5...
Stand-up comedy—like teaching, and book writing—requires “a collaboration with the audience.” | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
What gets you is not what you don’t know but what you don’t know you don’t know. statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/02/w...
What gets you is not what you don’t know but what you don’t know you don’t know. | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
Why quantitative understanding of effect sizes matters, even if all you care about is the presence of the effect statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/08/01/h...
Why quantitative understanding of effect sizes matters, even if all you care about is the presence of the effect | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
Posterior predictive checking is for non-Bayesians too! statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/30/p...
Posterior predictive checking is for non-Bayesians too! | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
“Over-coverage caught by pre-registration: 47 of 56 inside a stated 50% interval” statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/29/o...
“Over-coverage caught by pre-registration: 47 of 56 inside a stated 50% interval” | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
Eleven Kinds of Loneliness: Richard Yates and the tragedy of agency statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/29/e...
Eleven Kinds of Loneliness: Richard Yates and the tragedy of agency | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
Survey Statistics: equivalent models, equivalent weights (locally) statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/28/s...
Survey Statistics: equivalent models, equivalent weights (locally) | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
Selection effects can go both ways (for taxi drivers as well as the rest of us) statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/28/s...
Selection effects can go both ways (for taxi drivers as well as the rest of us) | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
He fit the same statistical models with three different software and got much different estimates. It’s another dimension of the multiverse. statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/27/5...
He fit the same statistical models with three different software and got much different estimates. It’s another dimension of the multiverse. | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Scie...
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
People sometimes talk about “the Jewish vote,” but what’s relevant is not really the Jewish vote or Jewish public opinion; it’s really about campaign contributions and the news media. Also similar with Mormons. statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/26/t...
People sometimes talk about “the Jewish vote,” but what’s relevant is not really the Jewish vote or Jewish public opinion; it’s really about campaign contributions and the news media. Also similar ...
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
I don’t see journal review as a gatekeeping process that will keep erroneous articles from being published statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/25/i...
I don’t see journal review as a gatekeeping process that will keep erroneous articles from being published | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
How generic language shapes the development of social thought statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/24/h...
How generic language shapes the development of social thought | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
Pretty maps of the NY mayoral election vote. (The meta-point here is that people have a (false) intuition that any complicated piece of information can be conveyed in a single plot.) statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/23/p...
Pretty maps of the NY mayoral election vote. (The meta-point here is that people have a (false) intuition that any complicated piece of information can be conveyed in a single plot.) | Statistical M...
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
He “washed his hands in a can of tetraethyl lead at a press conference, claiming he was ‘not taking any chance whatever’. He knew this to be a lie, having already succumbed to a bout of lead poisoning.” statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/22/h...
He “washed his hands in a can of tetraethyl lead at a press conference, claiming he was ‘not taking any chance whatever’. He knew this to be a lie, having already succumbed to a bout of lead poisonin...
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
Survey Statistics: poststratification without population level information statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/21/s...
Survey Statistics: poststratification without population level information | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
Was this USDA survey really “redundant, costly, politicized, and extraneous”? statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/21/w...
Was this USDA survey really “redundant, costly, politicized, and extraneous”? | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
Rebecca Makkai points out: Fancy three-dimensional sets are easier to construct in books than in movies, but harder to explain statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/20/f...
Rebecca Makkai points out: Fancy three-dimensional sets are easier to construct in books than in movies, but harder to explain | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
Ted-talking University of California professor asks sex trafficker for $3,000,000 because he thinks there’s a “50% chance” he’ll make “important discoveries” in telepathy statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/19/u...
Ted-talking University of California professor asks sex trafficker for $3,000,000 because he thinks there’s a “50% chance” he’ll make “important discoveries” in telepathy | Statistical Modeling, Caus...
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
It’s all about the Super Pacs: How the New York Times completely misreported campaign contributions in the Maine Senate race statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/18/i...
It’s all about the Super Pacs: How the New York Times completely misreported campaign contributions in the Maine Senate race | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
More scientists in the Epstein files, including a roboticist and an ESP researcher statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/18/m...
More scientists in the Epstein files, including a roboticist and an ESP researcher | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
Reviews of our Bayesian Workflow book from Bin Yu, David Spiegelhalter, Brad Efron, Christian Robert, Rohan Alexander, and Mine Doğucu! statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/16/r...
Reviews of our Bayesian Workflow book from Bin Yu, David Spiegelhalter, Brad Efron, Christian Robert, Rohan Alexander, and Mine Doğucu! | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
A ranked-choice election in Maine: Using voting data to understand preferences statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/15/a...
A ranked-choice election in Maine: Using voting data to understand preferences | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
Survey Statistics: quantifying uncertainty in ranked choice voting polls statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/14/s...
Survey Statistics: quantifying uncertainty in ranked choice voting polls | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
“Making Statistics Work: Information Theory and Bayesian Inference” statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2026/07/14/m...
“Making Statistics Work: Information Theory and Bayesian Inference” | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu