parker fleming
@statsowar.bsky.social
football | economics | data science
DID WE REALLY GET BEAT THAT BAD is now live on cfb-graphs.com. You can net success rates for all games in a week, or for a specific team, see their net success rate in every game.
📊🏈COLLEGE FOOTBALL'S MOST EFFICIENT TEAMS 2025 FULL SEASON ↗️🟢: Good Offense, Good Defense ↖️🔵: Good Offense, Defense Needs Work ↘️🟡: Good Defense, Offense Needs Work ↙️🔴: We're Trying Our Best!
📊🏈DID WE REALLY GET BEAT THAT BAD? Season Net Success Rate FBS vs FBS 2025 ~DISASTER GRAPH~
Today, for paid subscribers of Phantom Island: @statsowar.bsky.social joins me to talk about what roster lessons other teams can take from Indiana and Miami (and what red herrings we should avoid) podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/n...
Numbers & Words: The Roster Lessons to learn from Indiana and Miami with Parker Fleming (PREVIEW)
Podcast Episode · Phantom Island · 01/23/2026 · 6m
podcasts.apple.com
For Phantom Island subscribers, I'm back on with Ryan Nanni talking about the roster-building lessons we can learn from Indiana and Miami this year. Enjoy.
📊🏈DID WE REALLY GET BEAT THAT BAD? Net Success Rate in the National Championship
Enjoyed this conversation with UM Professor Justin Angle and Montana's Chief Revenue Officer Marcus Welnel about the state of money in college athletics. Check out A New Angle wherever you listen to podcasts!
🏈📊CFP SEMI-FINAL 1 ADVANCED STATS PREVIEW MIAMI VS OLE MISS
🏈📊New Year's Eve Bowls Advanced Stats Previews RELIAQUEST BOWL: IOWA v VANDERBILT SUN BOWL: ARIZONA STATE v DUKE CITRUS BOWL: NEBRASKA v UTAH LAS VEGAS BOWL: TEXAS v MICHIGAN cfb-graphs.com
a reminder that rushing overview cards are live on cfb-graphs.com
Tech’s defense against Oregon’s offense is gonna be some absolute heavyweight stuff. Can’t wait.
parker fleming@statsowar.bsky.social · 7mo ago
1000 yard rushers (regular season only) in FBS: 2025: 31 (4 QBs) 2024: 39 (5 QBs) 2023: 39 (2 QBs) 2022: 38 (1 QBs) 2021: 46 (2 QBs)
1000 yard receivers (regular season only) in FBS: 2025: 11 2024: 21 2023: 24 2022: 23 2021: 30
"Wins Above What An Avg Team Would Be Expected to Have Against Your Schedule" v1 1 IND +7.21 2 UGA +6.75 3 OHST +6.31 4 TAMU +6.12 5 BYU +5.64 6 OKLA +5.55 7 ORE +5.50 8 BAMA +5.37 9 TT +5.31 10 OM +5.29 11 ND +4.79 12 VAN +4.62 13 MIA +4.29 14 UTA +4.16 15 MICH +4.16 16 TUL +4.05 ... 19 JMU +3.34
📊🏈 College Football's Most Efficient Teams Opponent-Adjusted EPA/Play Through the Regular Season 🟢⬆️➡️: Good Offense, Good Defense 🔵⬆️⬅️: Good Offense, Defense Needs Work 🟡⬇️➡️: Good Defense, Offense Needs Work 🔴⬇️⬅️: We're Trying Our Best
🏈📊College Football's Most Efficient Teams Opponent-Adjusted EPA/Play through Week 14 🟢⬆️➡️: Good Offense, Good Defense 🔵⬆️⬅️: Good Offense, Defense Needs Work 🟡⬇️➡️: Good Defense, Offense Needs Work 🔴⬇️⬅️: We're trying our best!
Was curious about which FBS offenses thrived in normal vs non-normal situations. Definition: Normal is 1st & 10 or less, 2nd and 5 or less. Everything else from scrimmage is "non-normal", all between the 20s. ➡️Better "normal" efficiency ⬆️Better "non-normal" efficiency
One way to evaluate run games in college football is to compare scheme and OL (yards before contact) with RB ability (yards after contact): Further right => Better scheme/OL Further up => Better RB talent/ability
📊🏈College Football's Most Efficient Teams Opponent-Adjusted EPA/Play through Week 13 🟢⬆️➡️: Good Offense, Good Defense 🔵⬆️⬅️: Good Offense, Defense Needs Work 🟡⬇️➡️: Good Defense, Offense Needs Work 🔴⬇️⬅️: We're Trying Our Best!
everything i post here is something i posted on X/twitter that i remembered to post over here too
All Saints Dae@ourdailybadge.bsky.social · 9mo agoIs this graph post elsewhere online? Looking for week 12 if available
