Steph Noh

@stephnoh.bsky.social

Senior NBA writer at @sportingnews.bsky.social. Previously Bulls stuff at The Athletic. Same username on most socials.

There are two teams that I am way lower on than consensus for the 2026-27 season, plus another that I think has a good chance of hitting their under on regular season wins. Why I think the Wizards, Mavericks, and Pacers might underperform expectations: www.sportingnews.com/us/nba/news/...

NBA over/under predictions: Win totals and best unders for 2026-27 season, including Wizards, Pacers, and Mavs | Sporting News

The best win total under bets for the 2026-27 NBA season.

sportingnews.com

It is so refreshing to see Olivia Miles going viral every night for beautiful basketball plays rather than agenda-pushing. If you love basketball, you can't help but get swept away by how brilliant her game is.

A few weeks ago, I released a free win projection model which, to my knowledge, is the only one that allows you to publicly create your own projections. Here's how to use it to see how good your team will be, or to project records for all 30 teams. winprojectionmodel.com

Fans started lining up at 7am for Peterson vs. Dybantsa. Still an hour until the first game in the big gym kicks off and more than five hours until Jazz vs. Wizards. The diehards are here for first come first serve seating.

NEW PROJECT ALERT: I built a free simple win projection model for NBA fans. Check it out to estimate how good your team will be next season. Link is in the thread below 👇

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Here's how some of the most prominent signings of the summer grade out in my salary model that translates expected impact --> dollar value. Green is a good contract, red is bad. Most contracts have been either good or neutral-ish, with one notable exception:

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I looked at the best and worst contracts handed out so far this summer. -Best contract: Neemias Queta, four years, $56 million -Worst contract: Trae Young, four years, $212 million Rest of the top/bottom five are here: www.sportingnews.com/us/nba/news/...

NBA free agency 2026: Trae Young, Neemias Queta highlight best and worst contracts handed out during first week | Sporting News

Ranking the top five best and worst contracts handed out during the first week of free agency.

sportingnews.com

Initially, I was lukewarm on the Celtics' return for Jaylen Brown. After sleeping on it, I think they're in great shape. Here's why I think they'll hit high 50's in wins, plus some ideas of what they could get if they wanted to flip Paul George: www.sportingnews.com/us/nba/bosto...

What's next for the Celtics? Evaluating Boston with Paul George, and also what PG could bring back | Sporting News

The Celtics may still be a strong regular season team with Paul George, but if they want to be in title contention, they may need to flip their newly acquired star.

sportingnews.com

How good would the Warriors even be if they added LeBron and AD? I built a simple win projection model (will eventually be publicly available!) and made a reasonable estimate of their regular season win total based on their depth chart: www.sportingnews.com/us/nba/golde...

LeBron James and Anthony Davis Warriors depth chart: How good Golden State would be after star acquisitions | Sporting News

Projecting how good the Warriors would be if they were able to land LeBron James in free agency and acquire Anthony Davis from the Wizards.

sportingnews.com

Reminder that you can use nbasalarymodel.xyz to see what fair market value is for any free agent. Adjust the slider bars for games played and mpg to create a minutes estimate, then see what a player is worth in the model. Here's what it has for Norman Powell:

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2026 NBA free agency officially opens at 6:00 PM ET. We're almost there! For @spotrac.com I broke down where each of the 30 teams falls with spending power. This factors in agreed-to signings and trades, as well projections for the cap space teams. Enjoy! www.spotrac.com/news/_/id/34...

Final 2026 Cap Space and Spending Power Projections | Spotrac News

2026 NBA free agency is here! Breaking down the cap space and spending power projections heading into the moratorium

spotrac.com

Free agency isn't even starting for another hour. We've already gotten -Kawhi trade -LeBron leaving Lakers -Ja trade -Warriors "big four" plan -LaMelo trade -Julius Randle trade -Giannis trade