Sarah Hardy

@swhardy.bsky.social

Mainer from away (1999), news junkie, statistician, dog mom, dabbler, canvasser, night owl, ice cream addict.

#mepolitics Republicans are definitely using paid canvassers. To be fair, I also looked for paid Dem canvassing jobs in ME. Field organizers get paid $19/hr for 55 hrs/wk, but there are no paid canvassing jobs. We do it b/c we're passionate about the cause. www.canvassamerica.com/safapplyme?f...

SAF ME Application — Canvass America

Become a Canvasser - Starting at $24/hr We are looking to expand our team to reach more voters and broaden our impact. Be on the frontline in changing minds and giving voters information about conser...

canvassamerica.com

I was knocking on doors today in Farmington - someone I talked to said that a Collins canvasser had been there a few days ago. When she asked the canvasser a question he said "I don't know, I'm from Colorado." So she is using out-of-state money to pay for out-of-state canvassers. #mepolitics

Cyclospora, which causes explosive diarrhea that can last for weeks, was one of the 6 pathogens Trump and RFK removed from the mandatory tracking list. Ultra-wealthy ag owner Trump donors benefited. Susan Collins voted to confirm RFK. Susan does not care if you poop in your pants. #MEpolitics

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Delegate vote results from Franklin caucus: From Jackson slate - 7 of 9 (77%) From Maine People Power Movement "Unpledged and open-minded" flyer (available at meeting) - 3 of 5 (60%) Only one elected who was not in either of those two groups (a well-respected county commissioner). #MEpolitics

I'll support/canvas for Jackson if he's the candidate, but given the Jackson delegate slate machinery already in place, clearly connected to former Platner supporters, it looks like the reason Platner dragged his feet was so he could turn over all of volunteer/supporter info to Jackson. #MEpolitics

Another graph - this one is of the Platner primary votes vs the primary votes of the Governor candidates seeking to replace him (aggregated by county). Trends look pretty level, i.e. there are not any strong relationships. between the by-county percentages and any of the governor ca… #MEpolitics

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I wondered which candidate for Sen has the most support in the counties where Collins got >50% of the 2020 vote. Governor candidates have received the most vetting to date and are my top choices. Created this graph from scratch b/c the governor primary results by county were not posted. #MEpolitics

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From Fox News: Overall approval of Trump’s job performance comes in at 44%, down 5 points from 49% approval in March. That’s lower than the approval of Biden (54%), Obama (62%), and G. W. Bush (63%) at the 100-day mark in their presidencies. I love this for him!

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We’ll have estimates later today, but small towns are really showing up. You can tell, it’s catching local media off guard. Reporters are like, “Wow, we didn’t expect this kind of turnout here.” As for the comments on those stories, ignore the usual MAGA noise.