Tiago A. Marques

@talom.bsky.social

Researcher in ecological statistics, teacher of stats to ecologists, citizen of the world, dog owner & dad. Love and trust science. Intolerant to science deniers. Hate people who hate other people. Worried about climate emergency.

Could not help myself but laughing when I saw what the drop down menu offered me today as suggestions, no doubts based on past choices, regarding personal profile keywords in a journal's reviewer system

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O problema do país parecem ser os imigrantes criminosos, com valores de criminalidade residual, e os deputados do chega, onde a proporção de criminosos ronda os 20% www.publico.pt/2025/01/22/p... não os podemos mandar fazer as malas 😝 e enviar para o país deles? Aí, espera... o pais deles é o nosso.

Quase um quinto dos deputados do Chega teve ou tem problemas na Justiça

Pelo menos nove dos 50 deputados eleitos do Chega já tiveram processos na Justiça. Miguel Arruda é o caso mais recente.

publico.pt

A cool example of using a model for (multi) species abundances to reconstruct an image (unrelated to species abundances!), by treating the RGB channels as 3 different species. It's remarkable how you can get a good idea about the overall picture just from RGB values on a very small sample of pixels.

Javier Fernández-López@javi-ferlop.bsky.social · 2y ago

spAbundance package (Doser et al. doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.14332) was published this year at @methodsinecoevol.bsky.social! It fits a variety of single/multispecies abundance models using Bayesian Inference allowing also for hierarchical frameworks. Let me show you a funny example 🧵👇(1/6) #rstats

Insightful post from Peter Ellis on the relation between depression levels at the US county level and proportion of Trump voters. Code to gather data + run analysis available. Cool analysis illustrates how logistic regression might severely underestimate precision freerangestats.info/blog/2024/12...

Depression incidence by county and vote for Trump

Multi-level modelling with spatial auto-correlation! I look at county level data on incidence of depression in 2020, and voting for Trump in the 2024 US Presidential election, and conclude that there'...

freerangestats.info

Near-0 probability event: level unlocked. Today I was the external examiner of an MSc dissertation. Drove to a different uni. A car hit me from behind (really far from the uni!). A few chaotic minutes later... the MSc's student boyfriend was the co-pilot, his cousin the driver. What are the odds??

Today is a pleasure to host at our Modelação Ecológica class my former Biostatistics MSc student now full grown researcher Pedro Nicolau about "Statistical ecology and environmental consultancy", based on his personal experience at biodiversity based company Strix

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Congratulations to my former student Pedro Brandão that perservered to get his MSc thesis published after a couple of years of back and forth with journals: "Trends in fish diversity in Portuguese estuaries in the past decades and predictions in face of global changes" doi.org/10.1016/j.ec...

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The dream team today at Feira da Matemática at Museu Nacional de História Natural e da Ciência, (yesterday schools and) today helping the general public know how we count wild animals. Thanks Matilde Correia, Miguel Martins and Gabriela Xavier-Quintais, all students of the Biostatistics MSc at FCUL.

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Today I was at Museu Nacional de História Natural e da Ciência, at Feira da Matemática, with an activity about how to count animals. Highschool kids and as usual some climate change, Dunning-Kruger effect, passive acoustics density estimation, ACCURATE cue rates, distance sampling, capture-recapture

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Today I was at Escola Secundária Romeu Correia talking to the students about science and the importance of statistics in our lives and how it might be a carreer choice. With quick detours to talk about climate change, the Dunning Krugger effect, critical thinking, estimating animal abundance...

Me talking about a slide with the #showyourstripes Lisbon stripes

Making my first post here in a long time, but as many others more and more disappointed with twitter each day. How's the environment around here? Are there fundamental things to do/not do here? Any pointers greatly appreciated!

I got a standing ovation during Ecologia Numérica class @FC_UL ok, details: an Asian wasp got in the classroom, I managed to get it out of the room with the help of a student's jacket, after 5 minutes of mayhem. In a few years I'll forget details, I'll just remember t ovation 🤣we

A meme: We don't need all the details

#HiSciSky first post here. Please be gentle to this #TwitterRefugee I enjoy ecological statistics, the importance of statistical literacy for effective citizenship, and I am mildly intolerant to anti-science folks.