Air is a public good and in any society with common sense, it should be a top government priority to provide clean air. Alas, as we wait for that common sense to dawn on us, let's at least mask up in the meantime. #SkySky AirQuality
Sai Krishna
@thechaoticneuron.bsky.social
I do statistics ๐, writing โ๏ธ and acting ๐ญ - in no certain order Here to become wiser with every post. https://d-saikrishna.github.io/
LogProbs is a cool Prompt Engineering skill. ๐ค๐ #Statsky #Stats #AI #LLM medium.com/@saikrishna_...
LogProbs
LogProbs is one of the basic skills for a Prompt Engineer to have.
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One key insight about the impact of LLMs on creative writing from Andrej Karpathyโs LLM Deepdive: medium.com/@saikrishna_... #AI ๐ค๐ #LLM #WritingCommunity
Will an AI joke land?
One key insight about the impact of LLMs on creative writing from Andrej Karpathyโs LLM Deepdive
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When I write stories, I ensure that I have the climax first with all its payoffs ๐
I have started #writing backwards for my #PhD papers, and I have noticed a clear improvement in my sentence structure, grammar, and flow. I never thought about starting with the #conclusion, but now that I have, I am not going back โ only backwards! I highly recommend doi.org/10.1007/s429.... ๐งช
๐๐ก๐๐ง ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ ๐๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ก ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐ญ๐๐๐ญ๐ก? 1. Brush twice a day โ Morning and Night after dinner. 2. Morning, itโs better to ๐๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ก ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ซ ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ค๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ. If you find it scandalous, read this blog! medium.com/@saikrishna_... #rstats #Stats #StatSky ๐ค๐
When to brush your teeth? A good ANOVA study!
I found this paper which did a simple ANOVA study to find out when should one brush their teeth!
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Trying my hand at writing poems ๐ Thanks to Douglas Kearneyโs course! www.coursera.org/learn/poetry... #Poetry #TinyPoem
TL;DR Paper tried to compare air quality between land cover classes using Kruskal Wallis tests link.springer.com/article/10.1... But practical significance seems neglected for statistical significance. What do you say? #Stats #rstats ๐ค๐ medium.com/@saikrishna_...
Statistical issues in this paper studying relation between air quality and LULC
A paper got published in Environmental Monitoring and Assessment. It studied relation between land-use classes (Urban, Shrubland, Forestโฆ
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Grove air quality sensor + ESP8266 reporting indoor air quality to a google sheet every 10 minutes #IoT github.com/d-saikrishna...
๐๏ธ Interesting argument on lack of democratic accountability ๐๏ธ osf.io/preprints/os... 1. Itโs not the lack of awareness. But political partisanship is an obstacle to accountability. 2. Lack of social capital. Public support to policies that preserve public goods reduces if there is personal cost
This is my yearly reminder that published results of coefficients using logistic regression in Python are likely wrong because they are L2 penalized by default: github.com/scikit-learn... #rstats #statistics #digitalhumanities
Suggestion: Add support for unpenalized logistic regression ยท Issue #6738 ยท scikit-learn/scikit-learn
LinearRegression provides unpenalized OLS, and SGDClassifier, which supports loss="log", also supports penalty="none". But if you want plain old unpenalized logistic regression, you have to fake it...
github.com
If I ask you to forecast pollution in Delhi on some random day, you'd say a number X If I further ask you to forecast on a Winter Day, you'd top up X with some y This is Bayes theorem running in your head. This blog attempts to quantify it medium.com/@saikrishna_... #rstats #stats ๐ค๐
Bayesian probabilistic forecasts using categorical information | Part 1
In this blog, I will make Bayesian forecasts of Ozone concentrations.
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No answers :/ Anyways. Even without an uninformative prior, we provide a bounded prior in a Bernoulli trial. P(p) = 1 (when 0<=p<=1) P(p)=0 (otherwise) So the bayesian estimates are informed of this bounded nature of p. The MLE doesnโt consider that. Hence the difference. #rstats #stats ๐ค๐
Quiz time! Why is the Maximum Likelihood Estimate (MLE) of probability of success (p) in a Bernoulli trial not equal to the Bayesian Estimate? p_mle = r/n p_bayesian = (r+1)/(n+2) (Assuming uninformative prior) r = number of successes n = number of trials #rstats #stats ๐ค๐
So if x^2 is the confounder, adding x to the model may not completely remove the Omitted Variable Bias ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ฌ Seems obvious now. But wow, thatโs an interesting thing! Makes causal inference more complex
Bias remaining after adjusting for pre-treatment variables. Also the challenges of learning through experimentation. statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/12/10/b...
๐๐ก๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง? It impinges on a thinking mind and makes it change its opinion. How should this change be affected? ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐. ๐๐ก๐ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ค๐๐ฅ๐ข๐ก๐จ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ ๐๐ง๐๐ซ๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ฒ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง - an extract from an autobiographical essay of statistician Debabrata Basu #stats #rstats ๐ค๐
Freshly published: Assessing Air Quality during Indiaโs National Clean Air Programme (NCAP) www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Assessing Air Quality During Indiaโs National Clean Air Programme (NCAP): 2019-2023
Did air quality improve during Indiaโs National Clean Air Programme (NCAP)? Since its inception in 2019, 131 cities were designated as non-attainment โฆ
sciencedirect.com
๐๏ธ A good read for policy folks ๐๏ธ
Sharing one of my favourite reads of the year (thanks to colleagues for sharing it with me). "Science could solve some of the worldโs biggest problems. Why arenโt governments using it?" www.nature.com/articles/d41...
How can a causal variable become useless in prediction? 100% Mediation in Action! medium.com/@saikrishna_... #rstats #stats #Statistics ๐ค๐
100% Mediation in Action
I wrote about Mediators in the previous blog. This is a follow-up blog to it.
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Time to revise โValue of Scienceโ essay by Richard Feynman calteches.library.caltech.edu/1575/1/Scien...
calteches.library.caltech.edu
Science minister Judith Collins just announced she's changing the Marsden Fund rules so that 50% of funds go towards supporting proposals with "economic benefits to New Zealand". This is the only fund for fundamental 'blue-sky' research www.beehive.govt.nz/release/mars...
Cofounder causal diagram will become mediator causal diagram when we turn it. Both variables will be needed to get the unbiased effect of the Mediator. Mediator should be removed to get the unbiased effect of Confounder. #Stats is absurd at times :p #rstats ๐ค๐ medium.com/@saikrishna_...
Wrote a short story about a very important hobby :) dsaikrishna.substack.com/p/retire
Retire
It has been a month since Padmakshi resigned.
dsaikrishna.substack.com
Visualize Collider Bias with me. Wrote this for myself. To get an intuitive understanding of Collider bias without any regression equations and lines. Hope it helps other learners as well! medium.com/@saikrishna_... #stats #rstats
Visualize Collider Bias with me
Itโs 2020. You are a doctor. COVID19 has just picked up. You are going to face a flood of patients today.
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