Trita Parsi

@tparsi.bsky.social

2010 Grawemeyer Award for Ideas Improving World Order Recipient. Executive VP @quincyinst. Author of Losing an Enemy, Single Roll of the Dice & Treacherous Alliance. Views are my own.

Told @cnn both sides are under pressure and can't sustain this conflict indefinitely. Iran has borne greater pain, but its tolerance is higher because it sees itself as fighting a defensive war. But Americans' pain tolerance is lower because most opposed the war from the outset.

“Trump’s entire premise for this war—that Iran is weak and as a result the U.S. can coerce it into capitulation—has proven false over and over again, yet Trump is unwilling to accept this,” said Parsi. “He’s looking for a knockout blow when there is none” www.nytimes.com/2026/08/02/u...

New Round of Trump Threats and Pullbacks Raises Uncertainty in Mideast

Analysts and lawmakers are trying to divine whether Mr. Trump’s latest announcement means negotiations with Iran will truly get underway Monday or if the president is just working through unappealing ...

nytimes.com

@AJEnglish asked me if there is any credibility left on the US side for diplomacy, and I pointed out that neither Trump's promises nor his threats appear to be taken seriously by Tehran at this point, making effective diplomacy all the more difficult.

Trita Parsi, the co-founder of the @QuincyInst, wrote that Mr. Zelensky could achieve a “strategic breakthrough” with the “dangerous gambit” of trying to persuade Washington that the two wars are intertwined. www.nytimes.com/2026/07/31/u...

Ukraine’s Strike on Iranian Ship Shows How Two Wars Could Spiral

Iran sent military aid to Russia for its war against Ukraine. Now the question is whether that conflict and the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran are converging.

nytimes.com

An industry source based in Shanghai tells me that China's green technology orders are through the roof as a result of the Iran war. One company apparently has orders for the next ten years...

Told @AJEnglish that Iran appears to have concluded, right or wrong, that Trump will not seriously pursue diplomacy until he has realized that he has no military option. The surprise attacks on US bases in Jordan are likely part of Tehran's effort to convince him of that.

The pro-Israel crowd tries to portray Mamdani's position on Netanyahu as a fringe. In reality, 49% of Americans support arresting Netanyahu; only 22% oppose! Among young people, the split is 58-17 But here's the kicker: Among Harris voters, it's 74-10!

Bild

Seems Pahlavi has not updated his talking points since February, when he helped sell the disastrous Iran war. This may be because he has lost his Israeli funding and, as a result, can't afford the consultants who previously wrote his talking points...

Tomorrow is Lindsey Graham's funeral. Here is some previously unseen footage of his monstrous reaction to Trump starting the illegal war with Iran. [laughing] - We have done it! [more laughter] - I almost cried! [of happiness] - How long have we pushed this?

Told @BBCWorld that it was a massive mistake by Trump to start the war of choice in Feb with Iran, but it is even more stunning that, with hindsight at hand, he decided to restart the war. 13 days into the bombing campaign, there are no signs of anything that resembles a winning strategy.

CNN points out that Israel used to be a consensus issue - both the left and the Right agreed on supporting Israel. Then, the Left turned against Israel. But now, it is once again a consensus issue: Both sides oppose Israel...

This is the same desperate, frustrated tone we heard from Trump during the period in which he had understood that the war was a mistake, but he didn't know how to get Iran to the negotiating table...

Bild

So Israeli settlers attack a Palestinian village, throw gasoline through a window onto a baby, nearly burning the young child alive, and beat a pregnant woman with stones. Zero Western media coverage. The complicity runs so deep...

Make no mistake: Advocates for war with Iran make no secret of what they expect/want - AN ENDLESS WAR. This retired general says that "I do expect we are going to be there for a long time.... Where are we going to have to stay there..."

Summary: The US, Israel & the Lebanese gov are planning a Lebanese civil war and are toying with the idea of asking the Sharaa government in Syria to participate as well. Because if there is one thing the region hasn't had enough of, it's civil war... www.wsj.com/world/middle...

The U.S. Puts Once-Unthinkable Ideas on the Table to Disarm Hezbollah

Proposals such as enlisting Syria, vetting Lebanese troops or relying on Israel alone face steep hurdles.

wsj.com

"Iran’s government is unlikely to feel significant impact or soften its negotiating position as a result of new rounds of U.S. military strikes like those now underway, according to a new intelligence assessment." www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...

U.S. strikes unlikely to move Iran, intelligence reports say

American agencies see a long standoff between Tehran and Washington, as Iran is unlikely to soften its negotiating position because of U.S. military action.

washingtonpost.com

Explained on @AJEnglish that as long as the parties seek to negotiate while simultaneously shaping the diplomatic landscape through military means, then talks will not succeed. Iran will likely seek to impose such a high cost on the US that Trump won't be tempted to return to military action again.

Told @AJEnglish that Iran is unlikely to accept Qatar's 10-day ceasefire proposal. Tehran will likely see it as an effort to calm energy markets, only for the US to restart attacks in 10 days. And then repeat this cycle in another month or so.

Oil traders warn market is close to running on empty as Hormuz shuts again Stockpiles that acted as shock absorbers early in Iran war are running low as crucial waterway closes again “We’ve burned through all of the buffers we had. Everything.” www.ft.com/content/6c31...

Oil traders warn market is close to running on empty as Hormuz shuts again

Stockpiles that acted as shock absorbers early in Iran war are running low as crucial waterway closes again

ft.com

MUST READ by @nahid8: "This, I came to think, was exactly the point: not to convince anyone of a particular truth, but to trap millions of Iranians in a tangled web of stories that, however implausible, were just plausible enough to sow doubt." www.nybooks.com/online/2026/...

Spreading Static | Nahid Siamdoust

In mid-February I found myself stuck for two days at Berlin’s Brandenburg Airport, stranded by a winter freeze. It had been a month since Iran’s security

nybooks.com