Dec 21, 2019: Macron and Ouattara announce the end of the CFA franc. A new currency, the eco, to replace it by June 2020. Six years later the rate reads 655.957 to the euro. Same as 1999. Same as after the 1994 devaluation. 🧵 #CFA

Bitcoin miners switching off machines sounds bearish. Historically, the more interesting moment often comes later — when the network begins to recover after the weakest miners have already capitulated.

🌡 Arena Pulse today: 43/100 — Neutral 🚦 Stage 2/5 · 🔥 F&G 73/100 · 📊 MVRV +0.9 Market undecided. https://tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/arena-pulse

The most expensive trading tool may be the dashboard you feel compelled to check every ten minutes. A better workflow defines the state change that matters: pulse crosses a threshold, cycle band changes or a strategy signal flips.

“Does RSI-SMA work on weekly Bitcoin?” That is still missing the most important qualifier: when? An aggregate backtest blends expansion, contraction, inflation shocks and liquidity recoveries into one average.

🌡 Arena Pulse today: 48/100 — Neutral 🚦 Stage 2/5 · 🔥 F&G 73/100 · 📊 MVRV +0.9 Market undecided. https://tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/arena-pulse

Metaplanet's stated KPI isn't revenue or profit. It's bitcoin per share. That makes it unusually easy to check, because it turns capital allocation into arithmetic. And on Sept 1 it filed a disclosure about something it did NOT do. 🧵 #MTPL

"Trading WORLD CHAMPION reveals the orderflow strategy that won the Robbins Cup." The champion is real. The win is real. The audit is real. And none of that establishes what the title claims. So I read the rulebook before watching. 🧵

September 2025. Bitcoin goes nowhere. Altcoins burned everyone. No altseason. The market crawls sideways, good news doesn't land, every rally gets sold. But there's still the BOT — the blow-off top that always comes in the post-halving year. This is how a herd gets built. #Bitcoin #Crypto

“Bitcoin is up. Is the market bullish again?” Price alone cannot answer that question. A better briefing separates three layers: current market heat, Bitcoin’s broader cycle phase and the macro regime surrounding risk assets.

🌡 Arena Pulse today: 48/100 — Neutral 🚦 Stage 2/5 · 🔥 F&G 74/100 · 📊 MVRV +0.9 Market undecided. https://tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/arena-pulse

Bitcoin above the 50 week MA. If we close the week above it? The bull market is on. We only need 6k more until the end of the year to make it the first green bear market year ever. Just like 2025 was the first red post-halving year. Frontrunning was real.

Part 2 Watch Bitcoin ETF flows long enough and you see it: price up, inflows. Price down, outflows. Everyone reads that one way — money comes in, price goes up. We pre-registered both directions and measured them on the same 62 days. 🧵

"Once a stock is in an ETF, it gets a permanent bid." You hear this constantly. It has a real finding underneath it. It's just not where anyone looks for it — and the most obvious test of the claim fails outright. 🧵 #BTC

🌡 Arena Pulse today: 49/100 — Neutral 🚦 Stage 2/5 · 🔥 F&G 65/100 · 📊 MVRV +0.8 Market undecided. https://tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/arena-pulse

Looks like BTC could be up for one of these #BTC

Connect Backtesting Arena to Claude — or any MCP client — and your chat can read the live crypto market in plain language. "How greedy is the market right now?" → it just answers, with real data. 🧵

Every Bitcoin chart has support lines. Move the timeframe or change the zoom and the “important” level moves too. The problem is not drawing a line. It is knowing whether the market actually recognized it.

🌡 Arena Pulse today: 49/100 — Neutral 🚦 Stage 2/5 · 🔥 F&G 63/100 · 📊 MVRV +0.8 Market undecided. https://tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/arena-pulse

„Houston, we have a drawdown."

A screener stamps ~1,000 altcoins uptrending, basing or downtrending against Bitcoin. Green, grey, red. It never says what followed the stamp. We measured it: 370 Binance pairs, 457,994 trading days, definition fixed before the run 🧵 #altcoins

“Should I buy Bitcoin now or wait for the dip?” sounds like a price-prediction question. It is really a regret-management question.

🌡 Arena Pulse today: 50/100 — Neutral 🚦 Stage 2/5 · 🔥 F&G 69/100 · 📊 MVRV +0.8 Market undecided. https://tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/arena-pulse

Two on-chain metrics measured what the market paid for its bitcoin today. One says holders are 21% up. The other says they are 16% down. Same day, same chain, same coins. 🧵 #Bitcoin

„Discipline, for lack of a better word, is good."

“Where is Bitcoin support?” If the answer is one exact number, it is probably pretending to know too much. Market levels are better treated as zones. Their relevance increases when on-chain cost bases, technical structures and other independent references cluster nearby.

🌡 Arena Pulse today: 45/100 — Neutral 🚦 Stage 2/5 · 🔥 F&G 62/100 · 📊 MVRV +0.8 Market undecided. https://tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/arena-pulse

📊 Weekly Macro Regime — 🟢 Sweet Spot (composite 62) · 7d +3 Top movers 7d: Net Liquidity -11911.0, Jobless Claims +1500.0, VIX -1.5 https://tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/macro-regime

A Sharpe ratio of 2.1 can mean “excellent strategy.” It can also mean “excellent curve fit.” The distinction appears only after the strategy meets data it did not optimize on — with fees included.

🌡 Arena Pulse today: 49/100 — Neutral 🚦 Stage 2/5 · 🔥 F&G 69/100 · 📊 MVRV +0.8 Market undecided. https://tradingstrategies.work/dashboard/arena-pulse