Raza

@transfusion.health

🩸Physician + Researcher @UToronto. Medical decision-making, data science (stats, AI), films, and rock climbing #TMSky #Hemesky

In medical science, we do a terrible job of enabling non-physicians to do healthcare research There is no notion of protected research time, specific-grant funds, or recruiting their perspectives in the things we write Meanwhile non-physicians vastly outnumber physicians in healthcare provision

Survival analysis is among the most beautiful areas of biostats. As a clinician I am blown away by the ingenuity of concepts such as partial likelihoods, martingales, subdistributional hazards, transformation models. How many lives have been saved because we had the right tools for the job!? #stats

Over-optimism for AI comes partly from the coincidence that the people developing it (coders) happen to perform the economic task it is the most adept at (coding). This creates a very strong self-reinforcing loop of hype and (imo) naive over-extrapolation of capabilities to other domains

I find 'alpha spending' to be an incredibly awkward concept. How many hypotheses can I test? At what point does it stop being kosher? How much do I need to correct for multiple testing? How many tests can I run and how many I should just never test again? Is pre-specification the only answer? #stats

One of the best pieces of advice I got as a doctor in training was to share my uncertainty and transparently lay out my thought process with patients. It goes against conventional wisdom that one may appear incompetent, unconfident, or indecisive. I've yet to meet a patient who didn't like it #meded

If you have a statistician, ML engineer, or some similar methods expert on your project, give them commensurately high author line credit. They usually contribute far more and consequentially to studies than most other authors, yet often end up low middle-author or sometimes left off entirely #stats

Among adults undergoing cardiac surgery at high risk of bleeding and platelet transfusion, cryopreserved platelets did not meet noninferiority for controlling postoperative bleeding and were less effective than liquid-stored platelets. #CCRdownunder ja.ma/4rEC06z

JAMA article titled 'Cryopreserved vs Liquid-Stored Platelets for the Treatment of Surgical Bleeding'. Key points: cryopreserved platelets may be less effective/safe than liquid-stored for cardiac surgery bleeding; didn't meet noninferiority criterion.

A lot of people in healthcare are asking, "I want to use AI for [my field]" Higher yield: Let’s make a list of problems worth solving, then discuss if any are best addressed with AI (most won't be) (e.g. studies aren't typically motivated by, "I want to use retrospective cohort design")

I think most people in the ML/AI space understand that, for most real-world uses, LLMs are merely the gateway drug to entice authority figures to invest in resources that will enable more reliable analytical ML systems. Kind of like how the WWF uses pandas to fund saving other endangered species

I was a programmer before I was a data analyst, and so have a toxic trait of jumping to nested loops for problems where dataframe transformation would be far more elegant. I can't possibly be alone? #stats #ML

Classic teaching is that no post-1 hr increment points to immune refractoriness. One important exception is device-related failures, e.g. plts going into a clotted line, a faulty dialysis/apheresis circuit, an ECMO machine, etc! #hemesky #transfusion

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What is the current state of AI/ML research in transfusion medicine? Co-authors Na Li, @ruchika_goel1, et al, have compiled a critical summary of research applying AI/ML in transfusion, including some glossary tables lay readers will helpful Read here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Transfusion Practice: An Analytical Assessment

Transfusion medicine is vital to healthcare and affects clinical outcomes, patient safety, and system resilience while addressing challenges such as b…

sciencedirect.com

My progression as a reader of scientific literature can be summarized by the first sections I read when I pick up an article High school: Abstract → Conclusion Undergrad: Abstract → Introduction Medical school: Abstract → Discussion Postgraduate: Abstract → Results Now: Abstract → Methods #medsky

Fancy health AI tool/models have to produce *some* real-world healthcare benefit on one of 5 core health outcomes: 1. Death 2. Disease = occurrence/severity/complications 3. Discomfort = phys/emotional 4. Disability = functional impact 5. Destitution (cost to individual/system) #ai #mlsky #medsky

I believe when working with big data for causal inference, you HAVE to pre-specify your analyses (esp within a project). Do it for yourself, not for reviewers. As Feynman said, “[in science] the first principle is that you must not fool yourself and you are the easiest person to fool” #stats

“This trial adds to the growing body of evidence suggesting no clinically meaningful benefit to albumin administration in the resuscitation of septic patients”

REBEL EM@rebel-em.bsky.social · 11mo ago

🧪 ICARUS-ED: Early albumin in sepsis? 📉 Minor gains in numbers, no real outcome benefit 💰 30x the cost vs crystalloids ⚠️ Outcomes > optics 🔍 Full breakdown: https://wp.me/pdrP8b-5oc ❤️ Like 🔁 Repost 🔔 Follow for more #FOAMed #MedX #MedTwitter #MedEd